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philippine-statistics-authority

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Time series analysis and forecasting of Philippine household final consumption expenditure (2016–2025). Implements an additive Holt‑Winters model with bootstrap resampling to generate 95% prediction intervals. Includes seasonal decomposition, holdout validation, and forecast accuracy metrics (MAE, RMSE, MAPE).

  • Updated Apr 12, 2026
  • Jupyter Notebook

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