timeOfArrival

Code and data for CCMC Scoreboard Time of arrival forecasts analysis

The following is taken from the header information of the .R script....

Driver routine to read in the results of the CCMC shock arrival times forecasts, perform some statistics on them,

and make the figures found in the paper:

"Forecasting the Arrival Time of Coronal Mass Ejections: Analysis of the CCMC CME Scoreboard"

to be, or already published in "Space Weather".

by:

Pete Riley\affil{1}, Leila Mays\affil{2}, Jesse Andries\affil{3}, Tanja Amerstorfer\affil{4},

Douglas Biesecker\affil{5}, V'eronique Delouille\affil{3}, Mateja Dumbovi'{c}\affil{6,7}, Xueshang Feng\affil{8}, Edmund Henley\affil{9}, Jon A. Linker\affil{1}, Christian M"{o}stl\affil{4}, Marlon Nu~{n}ez\affil{10},Vic Pizzo\affil{5}, Manuela Temmer\affil{4}, W.K. Tobiska\affil{11}, C. Verbeke\affil{12}, Matthew J West\affil{3}, and Xinhua Zhao\affil{6}

}

\affiliation{1}{Predictive Science Inc., San Diego, USA}

\affiliation{2}{NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA}

\affiliation{3}{Solar-Terrestrial Center of Excellence, Royal Observatory of Belgium, Ringlaan 3, B-1180 Brussels, Belgium}

\affiliation{4}{Space Research Institute, Austrian Academy of Sciences, 8042 Graz, Austria}

\affiliation{5}{Space Weather Prediction Center, NOAA, Boulder, Colorado, USA}

\affiliation{6}{Institute of Physics, University of Graz, Graz, Austria}

\affiliation{7}{Hvar Observatory, Faculty of Geodesy, University of Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia}

\affiliation{8}{SIGMA Weather Group, State Key Laboratory of Space Weather, National Space Science Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China}

\affiliation{9}{Met Office, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, Devon, UK}

\affiliation{10}{Department of Languages and Computer Sciences, Universidad de M'{a}laga, Málaga, Spain}

\affiliation{11}{Space Environment Technologies, Pacific Palisades, CA 90272, USA}

\affiliation{12}{Centre for Mathematical Plasma-Astrophysics, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium}

Written 09/21/17 by PR. Continuously updated through July 18, 2018, at which point it was frozen for publication.

This is intended to provide support for the analysis presented in the aforementioned paper; however,

you are free to take/modify this code for their own purpose(s).

Disclaimer:

It includes all the gory details and transient changes so that I, or someone else

can recover all/earlier results. It's not supposed to be "production" code.

Please contact Pete Riley (pete@predsci.com) with any issues or suggested changes -

I'm more than happy to help set this up if you want to test YOUR forecasts against

those in the CCMC Scoreboard.

At some point, I'll update this to be a general purpose tool for testing/assessing other

forecasts to try to improve on the ones that are currently in the CCMC.

USAGE:

Point the "file" variable to the location of the csv file (included with the GitHub repository).

choose one of the plot/analysis options (myPlot)

Dependencies: Uses some R packages that are not installed by default.

You'll be prompted to install (via error messages) if you don't have them.