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Cross-Venue Arbitrage Engine (Kalshi ↔ Polymarket)

What it is:

  • Real-time scanner for equivalent contracts across venues
  • Normalizes fees + depth to compute true "net edge"
  • Executes arb opportunities automatically

Key pieces:

  • Pair map (Kalshi ticker ↔ PM market/outcome) + confidence (similarity score)
  • Effective price model (VWAP across top levels + fees)
  • Filters: min edge, min depth, max time-to-resolution

Execution:

  • Hedged two-leg execution with timeouts (IOC/FOK where possible)
  • Handles partial fills + reconciliation
  • Auto-unwind policy + kill switch (stale data, rejects, position drift)

Deliverables:

  • Live dashboard: top arbs ranked by net edge + available size
  • One-click / auto mode execution + trade timeline
  • Post-trade report: locked edge vs realized PnL + fees + slippage

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