Certify SOI-aligned Populace US data release

[MaxGhenis]

Summary

• certify US data release populace-us-2024-c86a631-6e1bcd0271a5-20260619T002242Z
• update the bundled US release manifest and TRACE TRO to the SOI-aligned Populace HF release
• update manifest/model tests for the certified release revision and H5 hash

Release evidence

• Populace PR: Align SOI target materialization with eCPS constraints populace#119
• HF release: policyengine/populace-us@populace-us-2024-c86a631-6e1bcd0271a5-20260619T002242Z
• H5 sha256: f0af25192d6c8a7efc2638da2bd8ec4278b066a1092cc89ef2275811efaff11d
• Calibration NPZ sha256: aff274bf4b9cf4224ddcb76b48134766ce926518684ab007ce99b642731fdd78
• Release manifest sha256: 10ce09590dc16b8fb2978de0d4f0811b51a628684ac022168ae0bdcf936d6096
• populace-data: 0.1.0
• policyengine-us: 1.729.0
• Final calibration loss: 0.04326315812340862
• Fraction within 10%: 0.8818058076225045
• Source coverage gate: passed

Validation

• Populace remote latest verification against HF: passed
• uv run pytest tests/test_release_manifests.py tests/test_models.py::TestUSModel::test_has_release_manifest_metadata tests/test_trace_tro.py -q: 75 passed
• uv run ruff check tests/test_models.py tests/test_release_manifests.py: passed
• uv run ruff format --check tests/test_models.py tests/test_release_manifests.py: passed
• git diff --check: passed