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Add logic for refundable credit claiming behavior #3079

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4b0efdd
Add internally generated credit_claim_urn input variable
martinholmer Jun 11, 2026
748a71d
Add eitc_claim_prob_scale parameter and associated logic
martinholmer Jun 11, 2026
80f1706
Update params files in taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests
martinholmer Jun 11, 2026
60424c7
Improve section E comments in EITC function
martinholmer Jun 11, 2026
5d5d940
Add actc_claim_prob_scale parameter and associated logic
martinholmer Jun 11, 2026
50908c5
Change credit_claim_urn from an 'read' variable to a 'calc' variable
martinholmer Jun 13, 2026
cabcd14
Improve actc_claim_prob_scale logic wrt max_amount
martinholmer Jun 14, 2026
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65 changes: 51 additions & 14 deletions taxcalc/calcfunctions.py
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Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -3005,7 +3005,8 @@ def EITCamount(basic_frac, phasein_rate, earnings, max_amount,


@iterate_jit(nopython=True)
def EITC(eitc_claim_thd, MARS, DSI, c00100, e00300, e00400, e00600, c01000,
def EITC(eitc_claim_thd, eitc_claim_prob_scale, credit_claim_urn,
MARS, DSI, c00100, e00300, e00400, e00600, c01000,
e02000, e26270, age_head, age_spouse, earned, earned_p, earned_s, EIC,
EITC_ps, EITC_MinEligAge, EITC_MaxEligAge, EITC_ps_addon_MarriedJ,
EITC_rt, EITC_c, EITC_prt, EITC_basic_frac,
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -3049,9 +3050,8 @@ def EITC(eitc_claim_thd, MARS, DSI, c00100, e00300, e00400, e00600, c01000,
`EITC_InvestIncome_c` ($11,950 for 2025) is modeled as a
smooth phaseout at `EITC_excess_InvestIncome_rt` (default
9e+99 → behaviorally identical to the cliff).
(E) Model-specific claiming approximation: filers with expected
credit below `eitc_claim_thd` (default 0) are assumed not to
claim. No form analogue.
(E) Model-specific claiming approximation: see details below.
No form analogue.

Downstream: `c59660` is the records-bound EITC amount consumed by
`IITAX` (Form 1040 line 27a, refundable credit) and reported in
Expand All @@ -3062,6 +3062,10 @@ def EITC(eitc_claim_thd, MARS, DSI, c00100, e00300, e00400, e00600, c01000,
eitc_claim_thd: float
Model-specific behavioral parameter: EITC amount below which
the credit is assumed unclaimed (no form analogue)
eitc_claim_prob_scale: float
See Section E logic and comments (no form analogue)
credit_claim_urn: float
See Section E logic and comments (no form analogue)
MARS: int
Filing (marital) status (1=single, 2=joint, 3=separate,
4=household-head, 5=widow(er))
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -3204,11 +3208,23 @@ def EITC(eitc_claim_thd, MARS, DSI, c00100, e00300, e00400, e00600, c01000,
red = EITC_excess_InvestIncome_rt * (invinc - EITC_InvestIncome_c)
c59660 = max(0., c59660 - red)

# ---------------- (E) Behavioral claiming approximation ----------
# Not on the form: filers with expected credit < eitc_claim_thd
# are assumed not to claim (default 0 = no suppression).
if c59660 < eitc_claim_thd:
c59660 = 0.
# ---------------- (E) Credit claiming logic ----------
if c59660 > 0.:
#
# Notice that `eitc_claim_prob_scale` and `eitc_claim_thd` can be used
# together to specify non-linear claiming probability schedules.
#
# Not on the form: credit claiming logic that uses claiming probability
# (default eitc_claim_prob_scale=9e99 implies always claim credit)
prob = eitc_claim_prob_scale * c59660 / max_amount
if credit_claim_urn >= prob:
c59660 = 0.
#
# Not on the form: filers with credit amount less than eitc_claim_thd
# are assumed not to claim
# (default eitc_claim_thd=0 implies always claim credit)
if c59660 < eitc_claim_thd:
c59660 = 0.

return c59660

Expand Down Expand Up @@ -4243,8 +4259,8 @@ def NonrefundableCredits(c05800, e07240, e07260, e07300, e07400,


@iterate_jit(nopython=True)
def AdditionalCTC(actc_claim_thd, codtc_limited,
ACTC_c, n24, earned, ACTC_Income_thd,
def AdditionalCTC(actc_claim_thd, actc_claim_prob_scale, credit_claim_urn,
codtc_limited, ACTC_c, n24, earned, ACTC_Income_thd,
ACTC_rt, nu06, ACTC_rt_bonus_under6family, ACTC_ChildNum,
CTC_is_refundable, CTC_include17, CTC_c,
age_head, age_spouse, MARS, nu18,
Expand All @@ -4257,7 +4273,12 @@ def AdditionalCTC(actc_claim_thd, codtc_limited,
Parameters
----------
actc_claim_thd: float
ACTC amount below which ACTC is unclaimed
Model-specific behavioral parameter: ACTC amount below which
the credit is assumed unclaimed (no form analogue)
actc_claim_prob_scale: float
See logic and comments at bottom of function (no form analogue)
credit_claim_urn: float
See logic and comments at bottom of function (no form analogue)
codtc_limited: float
Sch 8812 line 16a: Part I tentative credit minus the nonrefundable
portion absorbed (line 12 minus line 14); set in ChildDepTaxCredit
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -4298,6 +4319,7 @@ def AdditionalCTC(actc_claim_thd, codtc_limited,
c11070: float
Child tax credit (refunded) from Form 8812
"""
# pylint: disable=too-many-branches
# Sch 8812 line 16a: leftover Part I tentative credit
line16a = codtc_limited
# Sch 8812 line 16b: max refundable amount = ACTC_c per qualifying child
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -4351,8 +4373,23 @@ def AdditionalCTC(actc_claim_thd, codtc_limited,
c11070 = min(line17, line27)

# approximate ACTC claiming behavior
if c11070 < actc_claim_thd:
c11070 = 0.
if c11070 > 0.:
#
# Notice that `actc_claim_prob_scale` and `actc_claim_thd` can be used
# together to specify non-linear claiming probability schedules.
#
# Not on the form: credit claiming logic that uses claiming probability
# (default actc_claim_prob_scale=9e99 implies always claim credit)
max_amount = line17
prob = actc_claim_prob_scale * c11070 / max_amount
if credit_claim_urn >= prob:
c11070 = 0.
#
# Not on the form: filers with credit amount less than actc_claim_thd
# are assumed not to claim
# (default actc_claim_thd=0 implies always claim credit)
if c11070 < actc_claim_thd:
c11070 = 0.

return c11070

Expand Down
2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/cps-25-params.baseline
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Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
@@ -1,5 +1,7 @@
2025 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2025 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2025 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2025 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2025 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2025 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2025 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/cps-25-params.reform
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2025 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2025 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2025 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2025 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2025 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2025 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2025 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/cps-26-params.baseline
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@@ -1,5 +1,7 @@
2026 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2026 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2026 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2026 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2026 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2026 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2026 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/cps-26-params.reform
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@@ -1,5 +1,7 @@
2026 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2026 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2026 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2026 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2026 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2026 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2026 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/cps-27-params.baseline
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@@ -1,5 +1,7 @@
2027 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2027 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2027 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2027 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2027 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2027 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2027 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/cps-27-params.reform
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2027 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2027 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2027 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2027 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2027 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2027 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2027 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/cps-28-params.baseline
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2028 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2028 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2028 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2028 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2028 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2028 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2028 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/cps-28-params.reform
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2028 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2028 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2028 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2028 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2028 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2028 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2028 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/cps-29-params.baseline
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2029 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2029 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2029 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2029 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2029 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2029 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2029 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/cps-29-params.reform
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2029 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2029 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2029 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2029 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2029 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2029 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2029 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/cps-30-params.baseline
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2030 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2030 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2030 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2030 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2030 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2030 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2030 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/cps-30-params.reform
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2030 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2030 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2030 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2030 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2030 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2030 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2030 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/cps-31-params.baseline
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2031 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2031 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2031 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2031 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2031 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2031 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2031 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/cps-31-params.reform
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2031 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2031 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2031 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2031 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2031 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2031 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2031 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/cps-32-params.baseline
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2032 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2032 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2032 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2032 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2032 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2032 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2032 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/cps-32-params.reform
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2032 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2032 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2032 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2032 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2032 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2032 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2032 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/cps-33-params.baseline
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@@ -1,5 +1,7 @@
2033 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2033 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2033 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2033 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2033 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2033 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2033 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/cps-33-params.reform
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2033 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2033 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2033 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2033 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2033 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2033 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2033 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/cps-34-params.baseline
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2034 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2034 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2034 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2034 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2034 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2034 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2034 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/cps-34-params.reform
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@@ -1,5 +1,7 @@
2034 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2034 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2034 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2034 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2034 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2034 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2034 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/cps-35-params.baseline
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@@ -1,5 +1,7 @@
2035 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2035 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2035 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2035 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2035 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2035 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2035 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/cps-35-params.reform
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@@ -1,5 +1,7 @@
2035 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2035 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2035 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2035 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2035 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2035 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2035 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/tmd-25-params.baseline
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@@ -1,5 +1,7 @@
2025 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2025 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2025 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2025 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2025 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2025 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2025 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/tmd-25-params.reform
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2025 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2025 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2025 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2025 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2025 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2025 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2025 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/tmd-26-params.baseline
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@@ -1,5 +1,7 @@
2026 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2026 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2026 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2026 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2026 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2026 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2026 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/tmd-26-params.reform
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2026 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2026 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2026 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2026 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2026 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2026 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2026 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/tmd-27-params.baseline
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2027 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2027 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2027 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2027 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2027 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2027 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2027 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/tmd-27-params.reform
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2027 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2027 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2027 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2027 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2027 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2027 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2027 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/tmd-28-params.baseline
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2028 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2028 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2028 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2028 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2028 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2028 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2028 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/tmd-28-params.reform
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2028 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2028 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2028 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2028 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2028 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2028 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2028 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/tmd-29-params.baseline
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2029 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2029 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2029 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2029 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2029 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2029 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2029 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/tmd-29-params.reform
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2029 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2029 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2029 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2029 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2029 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2029 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2029 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/tmd-30-params.baseline
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2030 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2030 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2030 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2030 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2030 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2030 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2030 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions taxcalc/cli/input_data_tests/tmd-30-params.reform
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2030 parameter_indexing_CPI_offset 0.0
2030 eitc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2030 eitc_claim_thd 0.0
2030 actc_claim_prob_scale 9e+99
2030 actc_claim_thd 0.0
2030 FICA_ss_trt_employer 0.062
2030 FICA_ss_trt_employee 0.062
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