El Sector Público Nacional registró superávit financiero anual por primera vez desde el 2010. El resultado fiscal del 2024 fue de $ 1.764.786 millones (0,3% del PBI)
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
El Sector Público Nacional registró superávit financiero anual por primera vez desde el 2010. El resultado fiscal del 2024 fue de $ 1.764.786 millones (0,3% del PBI)
Durante diciembre, el Sector Público Nacional (SPN) registró un resultado financiero por -$1.557.305 millones, producto de un resultado primario de -$1.301.046 millones y de un pago de intereses de deuda pública neto de los intra-sector público por $256.260 millones. Vale resaltar que este resultado es menor en términos nominales al de diciembre del 2023.
+
Esto redundó en un superávit financiero para el año 2024 de $ 1.764.786 millones (0,3% del PBI) y uno primario de $ 10.405.810 millones (1,8% del PBI). Así, se consolida el ancla fiscal del programa de gobierno, que permanecerá durante el 2025.
+
Vale destacar que el resultado fiscal del 2024 se obtuvo con una deuda flotante en línea con la del cierre del 2023 en términos nominales, esto es, con una reducción real de la misma del 52%. Además de la racionalización del gasto de la Administración Nacional que llevó al primer resultado positivo de la misma previo a transferencias al resto de los sectores desde el 2014, destaca el saneamiento realizado en las empresas públicas, que permitió registrar el primer mes de superávit operativo de las mismas desde el 2009, y la disolución de 19 fondos fiduciarios para eficientizar el uso de los recursos públicos.
+
En detalle, los ingresos totales del SPN en el último mes del año alcanzaron los $9.871.121 millones (+133,5% i.a.). En lo que respecta a la recaudación tributaria, la misma presentó un crecimiento de +135,1% i.a. explicado principalmente por la variación de los ingresos correspondientes a las Ganancias (+218,7% i.a.), al Impuesto a los Débitos y Créditos (+180,7% i.a.), y a los Aportes y Contribuciones a la Seguridad Social (+166,6% i.a.).
+
Por su parte, cabe mencionar la recaudación correspondiente al IVA neto de reintegros (+123,3% i.a.), a los Derechos de Importación (+137% i.a.) y a los Derechos de Exportación (+45,8%).
+
Durante el mes de diciembre, los gastos primarios del Sector Público Nacional alcanzaron los $ 11.172.167 millones (+79,7% i.a.). En lo que refiere a las prestaciones de la Seguridad Social, las mismas ascendieron a $7.212.371 millones (+132,2% i.a.), producto del impacto de la fórmula de movilidad aprobada por la Ley N° 27.609 y el DNU 274/24, que adecuó la mencionada fórmula para que los aumentos jubilatorios acompañen la evolución de la inflación y otorgó una compensación adicional de 12,5% para todos los pasivos bajo ese régimen. Por otra parte, las remuneraciones alcanzaron los $1.634.415 millones producto de los incrementos otorgados en el marco de las políticas salariales acordadas.
+
Las transferencias corrientes alcanzaron los $3.255.195,5 millones. Aquellas correspondientes al sector privado presentaron un crecimiento de $ 769.547,3 millones. Entre ellas, destacan las inherentes a las prestaciones sociales, las prestaciones del PAMI, el impacto de la movilidad en las asignaciones familiares (donde la Asignación Universal para Protección Social fue incrementada un 100% en enero mediante Decreto 117/2023), los programas de Política Alimentaria (con un incremento en la Tarjeta Alimentar del 138% entre enero y diciembre, y un incremento en la cantidad de beneficiarios, según las Resoluciones 3/2023, 11/2024, 111/2024, 181/2024 y 636/2024), y el Plan 1.000 días (incrementado un 500% mediante Resolución 1.062/2024).
+
Por su parte, las transferencias corrientes al sector público realizadas en octubre alcanzaron los $ 787.986 millones (+12,4% i.a.).
+
Por último, los subsidios económicos presentaron un incremento de $141.635 millones (20,2% i.a.), donde los energéticos variaron $113.910 millones (21,0% i.a.), mientras que los destinados al transporte lo hicieron en $49.432 millones (+36,7% i.a.).
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
Descargas
+
+
+
Sector público base caja diciembre 2024 (xlsx,29.0 Kb)
+ LA CÁMARA DE DIPUTADOS RESPALDÓ EL VETO DEL PODER EJECUTIVO A LA LEY JUBILATORIA
+
+ En el marco de una sesión solicitada por los bloques de la UCR, Encuentro Federal y la Coalición Cívica, la Cámara baja no alcanzó los dos tercios de los votos de los presentes para rechazar el veto a la Ley.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
La Cámara de Diputados de la Nación debatió en sesión especial el proyecto de ley que establece modificaciones al régimen jurídico aplicable a la Movilidad Previsional y a la Seguridad Social. La votación obtuvo 153 votos positivos, 87 negativos y 8 abstenciones.
+
La norma que había sido sancionada por el Congreso, obtuvo el veto presidencial y fue devuelta al Poder Legislativo. Según el procedimiento de formación y sanción de Leyes, se requieren dos tercios de los votos para rechazar el veto presidencial a la ley e insistir con el proyecto sancionado por el Congreso.
+
En su discurso, la diputada Vanina Biasi (Partido obrero - Frente de izquierda y de trabajadores -Unidad), cuestionó el veto presidencial al especificar que “esta ley incide poco en el equilibrio fiscal”.
+
Por su parte, el diputado Sergio Acevedo (Por Santa Cruz) consideró que “la valoración de que hay que hacer frente a la situación de los jubilados merece un esfuerzo de toda sociedad”.
+
Luego, el diputado Juan Brügge (Encuentro Federal) anticipó “el rechazo de su bloque al veto presidencial”, al argumentar que “entendemos que no está fundado del punto de vista legal, de los hechos y tampoco de la realidad que pretende mostrar el Presidente a través de los números que nos tiene acostumbrado y que muchas veces no tienen un correlato con aspectos técnicos"; mientras que su par Juan Manuel López (Coalición Cívica) expresó: “No van a ganar ustedes, no vamos a perder nosotros; van a perder los jubilados que no encuentran una solución”.
+
En tanto, el diputado Agustín Domingo (Innovación Federal) adelantó que “la posición de su bloque va a ser la abstención”, y en ese sentido, advirtió: “No es cierto que la fórmula previsional que aprobamos en este Congreso, por una amplia mayoría, sea inviable fiscalmente”. “Muy por el contrario, lo que esa fórmula evitaba es lo que ahora es inevitable, una catarata de juicios por no respetar el empalme de una fórmula a otra”, alegó.
+
La diputada de la UCR Gabriela Brower de Koning aseveró: “Esta ley no solamente era justa y necesaria, sino que también era presupuestariamente responsable”. Y agregó: "Siempre defendimos y tuvimos nuestro objetivo de generar una propuesta que sea fiscalmente responsable, pagable”.
+
A su turno, el jefe de la bancada del Pro, Cristian Ritondo, pidió “sensatez y responsabilidad a la hora de legislar”, al sostener que “esta ley produciría, para este año, un déficit que seis mil millones de dólares, y quince mil para el año siguiente”.
+
El legislador indicó que “se trató una ley donde no había un informe de la Oficina de Presupuesto del Congreso”, y en esa línea, criticó: “Lo que están planteando en los hechos es financiar con emisión, con deuda que no podemos tomar y todos sabemos que más emisión es más inflación; y más inflación es más pobreza para todos los argentinos, especialmente para los jubilados y los que menos ganas”.
+
Desde Unión por la Patria, Germán Martínez (UxP) anunció que “venimos a rechazar el veto”, al tiempo que su par del mismo bloque Leandro Santoro recalcó: "Las jubilaciones no son planes sociales, los jubilados son acreedores del Estado".
+
Desde La Libertad Avanza, José Luis Espert, argumentó en favor del veto presidencial: “Este proyecto de ley cuesta 10 mil millones de dólares”. En el mismo sentido, Juliana Santillán definió que es “una decisión valiente y crucial del presidente Javier Milei". Y agregó: "Con el veto Milei frenó una imprudencia fiscal, la economía necesita previsibilidad, el déficit cero no se negocia". Por último, el presidente del bloque, Gabriel Bornoroni, concluyó que “están utilizando a los jubilados porque quieren desestabilizar al gobierno” e instó a sus pares a fortalecer el sistema previsional a través de la sanción de una reforma laboral.
+
Al comienzo de la reunión, el pleno aceptó la renuncia del diputado radical Pedro Galimberti, y, en su lugar asumió Nancy Ballejos (Pro), quien prestó juramento ante la Cámara baja.
La Cámara baja no pudo revertir el veto del Presidente a la reforma de la fórmula jubilatoria, que había sido aprobada por el Congreso con impulso de la oposición.
+
En la sesión especial de hoy, 153 diputados votaron a favor de insistir con el proyecto de ley, mientras que 87 votaron en contra y 8 se abstuvieron. De esta manera, no se alcanzaron los 2 tercios necesarios.
+
Con el resultado de la sesión de hoy, se mantiene el veto de Milei y el Parlamento no podrá insistir con el tema por al menos un año.
+
+
+
+
+
+
La Cámara de Diputados no pudo revertir el veto del presidente Javier Milei (La Libertad Avanza) a la reforma de la fórmula jubilatoria, que había sido aprobada por el Congreso con impulso de la oposición. En la sesión especial de hoy, 153 diputados votaron en favor de insistir con el proyecto de ley, mientras que 87 votaron en contra y 8 se abstuvieron.
+
La Constitución habilita al Congreso a insistir con leyes que son rechazadas por el Poder Ejecutivo, pero para eso se requieren algunas condiciones distintas a la de una sanción normal. La oposición necesitaba el voto de 2 tercios de los presentes, pero no lo logró.
+
En esta nota, las claves de la sesión de hoy.
+
+
En qué consistía el proyecto de ley de movilidad jubilatoria
+
La iniciativa mantenía el esquema de actualización por inflación aprobado a través de un Decreto de Necesidad y Urgencia (DNU) firmado por Milei, pero le sumaba un incremento adicional del 8,1% a los haberes de abril (el Gobierno había otorgado un incremento del 12,5%), con el objetivo de completar el 20,6% de inflación correspondiente a enero.
+
Además, disponía que el haber mínimo no podía ser inferior a 1,09 canastas básicas por adulto (que publica mensualmente el INDEC y define la línea de pobreza), y proponía que la fórmula de movilidad no dependiera sólo de la inflación sino que también tuviera en cuenta los salarios. Es decir, en caso de que la inflación quedara por debajo del de Remuneración Imponible Promedio de los Trabajadores Estatales (RIPTE), los jubilados recibirían el 50% de esa diferencia a través de un ajuste semestral.
+
En qué condiciones fue aprobado por el Congreso
+
La media sanción de la nueva fórmula de movilidad jubilatoria en Diputados fue aprobada por 160 votos afirmativos, una mayoría holgada que reunió a Unión por la Patria (UP), la Unión Cívica Radical (UCR), Hacemos Coalición Federal, Innovación Federal, la Coalición Cívica (CC), Por Santa Cruz y el Movimiento Popular Neuquino (MPN).
+
En esa sesión, se registraron 72 votos negativos y 8 abstenciones. Es decir que votaron 240 diputados. De esta manera, el proyecto contó con el voto afirmativo de 2 tercios de los presentes.
Todas las leyes sancionadas por el Congreso son comunicadas al Poder Ejecutivo, quien tiene la facultad de promulgarlas o vetarlas, sea de forma parcial (es decir, sólo algunos artículos) o total. Cuando esto sucede, el proyecto vuelve a la cámara de origen (en el caso de los vetos parciales, sólo la parte observada), porque el Congreso tiene la facultad de insistir con su redacción original. Esto solo puede hacerse en el año en el que fue devuelto o el siguiente.
+
Milei dictó el veto total a la ley a través de un decreto publicado en el Boletín Oficial el 2 de septiembre. El texto ingresó por la Cámara de Diputados, que había sido la cámara de origen del proyecto en su primer tratamiento. El proyecto no pasó por comisiones porque la oposición solicitó una sesión especial para tratarlo directamente en el recinto.
+
En esta instancia, no podía sufrir nuevas modificaciones, es decir que debía votarse por su insistencia tal cual había sido el texto aprobado en la sanción original. Además, para la insistencia se requiere el voto de los 2 tercios de ambas cámaras. Si todos los diputados estuvieran presentes al momento de votar, la oposición necesitaba 172 votos para insistir.
+
En la sesión de hoy, al momento de votar, estuvieron presentes 248 diputados (faltaron 9). De esta manera, se necesitaban 165 votos afirmativos para la insistencia, pero la oposición alcanzó los 153 votos, una cifra menor a la de la primera sanción. De esta forma, se mantiene el veto de Milei y el Parlamento no podrá insistir con el tema por al menos un año.
+
+
Actualización 11/09/2024: la nota fue actualizada luego de que Diputados confirmara el veto.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Fecha de publicación original:
+ 11/09/2024
+
+
Susana Frascarolli11 de septiembre de 2024 a las 5:03 pmLo unico que digo que la casta como dice el que se nombra presidente El cual no me representa no pasa necesidades porque sus sueldos son de varios millones y el pueblo comun con sueldos muy bajos sigue perdiendo poder adquiditivo Porque no se sacan los millones y lo repRten a quienes lo necesotam Adorno deja de hablsr inclherencias y con millon estas bien pago
+
Oscar Marcelo11 de septiembre de 2024 a las 6:23 pmQue asco
+
Marta11 de septiembre de 2024 a las 6:34 pmTe voté por un cambio mejor , pero siempre a los jubilados somos los que pagamos los platos rotos, de cada gobierno ., como dije antes me gusta lo que haces pero te equivocaste con los jubilados sácale los bonos y pone un sueldo que nos quedamos darnos un gusto, y déjate de aumentar a los diputados y senadores y aumentamos un poco a todos !!!!!.
+
aquiles11 de septiembre de 2024 a las 6:47 pmexcelente información
+
Dolores11 de septiembre de 2024 a las 10:23 pmSepan 'presidente y sus heroes' q sus sueldos también los pagan los jubilados. Ustedes son empleados del pueblo y no es bueno tomarse atribuciones en contra de sus empleadores!!!
+
Edgardo11 de septiembre de 2024 a las 10:54 pmTristeza e impotencia que se este avasallando la Constitución Nacional y ambas Camaras legislativas deTraidores sean funcionales al Gobierno, que los detesta, los trata de basura y los odia. No hay conciencia ni moralidad, en estos legisladores, están destruyendo un País para muchos y xonstruyendo un País para pocos.
+
Patricia Myriam Gomrz12 de septiembre de 2024 a las 11:55 amNo sé...pero cada vez siento que retrocedemos en el tiempo..triste
+
Ricardo Capello Pérez12 de septiembre de 2024 a las 8:08 pmMe gustaría leer las últimas noticias. Gracias
+
Mariano15 de septiembre de 2024 a las 6:17 pmLa verdad una vergüenza que le hagan eso a los jubilados nada menos, terrible otro fracaso más en Argentina de los gobernantes, los Kirchner un desastre, los anteriores un desastre, este gobierno pinta otro desastre, ya no se sabe a quien votar 🤦♂️
+
+
+
Valoramos mucho la opinión de nuestra comunidad de lectores y siempre estamos a favor del debate y del intercambio. Por eso es importante para nosotros generar un espacio de respeto y cuidado, por lo que por favor tené en cuenta que no
+ publicaremos comentarios con insultos, agresiones o mensajes de odio, desinformaciones que pudieran resultar peligrosas para otros, información personal, o promoción o venta de productos.
+
After the consolidation observed in the inflation path over the past few months, the BCRA has set the crawling peg at 1% per month as from February 1, 2025.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
After the consolidation observed in the inflation path over the past few months and the expectations of lower inflation, the BCRA has established a new crawling peg at 1% per month as from February 1, 2025.
+
In a context of economic activity recovery and seasonal price increase, both inflation over the past few months and high-frequency observations confirm that inflation has posted a downward trend, below the market expectations surveyed. The exchange rate adjustment continues to serve as a supplementary anchor to inflation expectations.
AQ tracks political and economic trends to watch and key indicators in 2025.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Reading Time: 2minutes
+
This article is adapted from AQ’s special report on trends to watch in Latin America in 2025
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
Argentina
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
PRESIDENT
+
+
+
+
Javier Milei
+
+
+
+
IN OFFICE
+
+
+
+
2023-2027
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
While Argentina’s economy emerged from a recession in the third quarter of 2024, the country faces renewed challenges, with midterm legislative elections on the horizon. After implementing economic “shock therapy” in his first year in office, President Javier Milei needs to find access to international funding, as capital controls may dampen the recovery, and fight against inflation. Monthly inflation followed a downward trend in 2024 and annual inflation registered 166% in November. With chronically diminished reserves, Argentina is scheduled to make a $3 billion payment in interest to the IMF and bond payments are due in January and July, close to $4.3 billion in each instance. In a geopolitical reversal, Milei was expected to visit China in January for a joint summit hosted by the Asian country and the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States (CELAC). Argentina renewed a $5 billion portion of its currency swap with China in June, and in September Milei described China as a “very interesting trade partner.” The IMF projects 5% economic growth and annual inflation of 62.7% for 2025. If sustained, Milei’s relative popularity may help secure him more support in October’s elections. An ardent Trump supporter, Milei has stated that he will seek a free trade agreement with the U.S.
+
+
+
+
+
+
Presidential approval rating
54%
Population (millions)
47.2
Homicide rate (per 100,000 people)
4.4
% who say they would like to emigrate in next three years
25%
Capacity to Combat Corruption Index ranking (out of 15 Latin American countries)
7
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
TRENDS TO WATCH
+
+
+
+
+
+
Argentina’s economic recovery
+
+
+
+
Legislative midterm elections in October
+
+
+
+
Bond and IMF payments
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
ECONOMIC INDICATORS (2025 PROJECTIONS)
+
+
+
+
+
GDP (current USD, billions)
$574.2
GDP (% change)
+5%
GDP per capita (current USD)
$12,054
Inflation
62.7%
Unemployment rate
7.6%
Poverty rate (World Bank definition, see note below)
15.6%
Fiscal balance (% of GDP)
+0.9%
FDI (2023, billions USD)
$22.9
Remittances inflows (2023, billions USD)
$1
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
NOTE: Poverty rate is $6.85 in 2017 PPP. Pie chart indicates total value added of GDP by economic activity at current prices. Figures rounded to nearest decimal.
+
+
+
+
SOURCES: Presidential approval: Universidad de San Andrés Encuesta de Satisfacción Política y Opinión Pública (November 2024); Population, GDP and growth, inflation, unemployment: IMF World Economic Outlook (October 2024); Homicide rate: Ministerio de Seguridad (2023); Emigration polling: AmericasBarometer (2023); Corruption index: AS/COA and Control Risks (2023); Trading partners: World Integrated Trade Solution (2022); GDP by economic activity: ECLAC (2023); Poverty and fiscal balance: World Bank (October 2024); FDI: UNCTAD (June 2024); Remittances: World Bank (June 2024).
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Emilie Sweigart
Reading Time: 2minutesSweigart is an editor at Americas Quarterly and a policy manager at the Americas Society/Council of the Americas
+ The Associated Press is an independent global news organization dedicated to factual reporting. Founded in 1846, AP today remains the most trusted source of fast, accurate, unbiased news in all formats and the essential provider of the technology and services vital to the news business. More than half the world’s population sees AP journalism every day.
+
Milei triumphs in Argentine midterm elections closely watched by Washington
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
Milei triumphs in Argentine midterm elections closely watched by Washington
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
1 of 7 |
+
Argentina’s libertarian President Javier Milei won decisive victories in key districts across the country in midterm elections on Sunday. The opposition leader Axel Kicillof said it would be a “mistake” for libertarian President Javier Milei to celebrate his decisive victories in the country’s midterm elections. (AP video shot by Victor R. Calvano and Cristian Kovadloff)
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
2 of 7 |
+
Argentines began voting Sunday in a high-stakes midterm election that could help shape libertarian President Javier Milei’s political path — and the future of U.S. financial support for his government. (AP Video by Victor R. Caivano and Cristian Kovadloff)
Argentina’s President Javier Milei celebrates after winning in legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Rodrigo Abd)
A woman holds a banner reading in Spanish, “Trump or homeland,” outside former President Cristina Fernandez’s home, where she is serving a six-year house arrest sentence for corruption, after polls closed during legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Natacha Pisarenko)
Supporters of the opposition Peronist party gather at their campaign headquarters in La Plata, Argentina, after polls closed in legislative midterm elections, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025.(AP Photo/Gustavo Garello)
Argentina’s President Javier Milei votes during legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Natacha Pisarenko)
Argentina’s President Javier Milei greets supporters after winning in legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Rodrigo Abd)
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
Milei triumphs in Argentine midterm elections closely watched by Washington
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
1 of 7
+
+
Argentina’s libertarian President Javier Milei won decisive victories in key districts across the country in midterm elections on Sunday. The opposition leader Axel Kicillof said it would be a “mistake” for libertarian President Javier Milei to celebrate his decisive victories in the country’s midterm elections. (AP video shot by Victor R. Calvano and Cristian Kovadloff)
Argentines began voting Sunday in a high-stakes midterm election that could help shape libertarian President Javier Milei’s political path — and the future of U.S. financial support for his government. (AP Video by Victor R. Caivano and Cristian Kovadloff)
Argentina’s President Javier Milei celebrates after winning in legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Rodrigo Abd)
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
3 of 7
+
+
Argentina’s President Javier Milei celebrates after winning in legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Rodrigo Abd)
A woman holds a banner reading in Spanish, “Trump or homeland,” outside former President Cristina Fernandez’s home, where she is serving a six-year house arrest sentence for corruption, after polls closed during legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Natacha Pisarenko)
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
4 of 7
+
+
A woman holds a banner reading in Spanish, “Trump or homeland,” outside former President Cristina Fernandez’s home, where she is serving a six-year house arrest sentence for corruption, after polls closed during legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Natacha Pisarenko)
Supporters of the opposition Peronist party gather at their campaign headquarters in La Plata, Argentina, after polls closed in legislative midterm elections, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025.(AP Photo/Gustavo Garello)
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
5 of 7
+
+
Supporters of the opposition Peronist party gather at their campaign headquarters in La Plata, Argentina, after polls closed in legislative midterm elections, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025.(AP Photo/Gustavo Garello)
Argentina’s President Javier Milei votes during legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Natacha Pisarenko)
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
6 of 7
+
+
Argentina’s President Javier Milei votes during legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Natacha Pisarenko)
Argentina’s President Javier Milei greets supporters after winning in legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Rodrigo Abd)
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
7 of 7
+
+
Argentina’s President Javier Milei greets supporters after winning in legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Rodrigo Abd)
BUENOS AIRES, Argentina (AP) — Argentina’s libertarian President Javier Milei won decisive victories in key districts in midterm elections Sunday, clinching a crucial vote of confidence that strengthens his ability to carry out his radical free-market experiment with billions of dollars in backing from the Trump administration.
In the election widely seen as a referendum on Milei’s past two years in office, his upstart La Libertad Avanza party scored over 40% of votes compared with 31% for the left-leaning populist opposition movement, known as Peronism, exceeding analysts’ projections.
Milei, a key ideological ally of U.S. President Donald Trump, said his party and allied blocs picked up 14 seats in the Senate and 64 in the lower house of Congress on Sunday, bolstering the government’s support in the legislature enough to uphold presidential vetoes and block impeachment efforts.
+
+
+
+
+
At La Libertad Avanza headquarters late Sunday in downtown Buenos Aires, a beaming Milei hailed the election sweep as a mandate to press forward with his spending cuts and introduce ambitious tax and labor reforms. The results also automatically position him as a candidate for reelection in 2027.
“The Argentine people have decided to leave behind 100 years of decadence,” Milei exulted as his supporters cheered, referring to a succession of Peronist governments that brought Argentina infamy for its inflationary spirals and sovereign debt defaults.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ AP AUDIO: Milei triumphs in Argentine midterm elections closely watched by Washington
+
+
+
+
+
+
AP correspondent Charles de Ledesma reports Argentina’s libertarian President Javier Milei has won decisive victories in key districts across the country in midterm elections.
+
+
“Today we have passed the turning point. Today we begin the construction of a great Argentina.”
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
High stakes include $40 billion from the U.S.
Perhaps never has an Argentine legislative election generated so much interest in Washington and Wall Street.
To stem the run on the peso, Milei burned through billions of dollars in foreign exchange reserves to shore up the peso. In an extraordinary move, the U.S. Treasury then came to the rescue, selling dollars to help meet soaring demand for greenbacks and finalizing the credit line.
In the end, the Peronist alliance performed poorly, underscoring how weak the once-dominant movement has become in the Milei era, largely as a result of internal divisions. Markets were widely expected to rally on Monday.
“For foreign investors, this outcome is a relief because it shows that the Milei program can be sustainable,” said Marcelo J. García, the America’s director for the geopolitical risk consultancy Horizon Engage.
+
+
+
+
+
“It leaves the opposition weakened and fragmented, just as it was when Milei won the presidency in December 2023,” Garcia added.
Trump, while on his way to Japan on Monday, posted on Truth Social that Milei was “doing a wonderful job” after his party beat expectations in midterm elections.
“Our confidence in him was justified by the People of Argentina,” Trump wrote.
Milei responded to Trump’s post, calling him “a great friend” of Argentina and thanking him for “trusting the Argentine people.”
A changed electoral map
+
+
+
+
+
The results showed Milei’s young libertarian party gaining support across the country — including in some surprising corners that have long been under the sway of Peronism.
In the closely watched Buenos Aires province, a Peronist stronghold home to nearly 40% of the electorate, La Libertad Avanza eked out a razor-thin victory Sunday. Just last month, the Peronists beat Milei’s party there by a whopping 14 percentage points.
Axel Kicillof, governor of Buenos Aires province and the most influential elected official in the Peronist opposition, criticized Trump for putting his thumb on the scale.
“I want to make it clear that neither the U.S. government nor JP Morgan are charitable societies,” he said. “If they come to Argentina, it is for nothing other than to take a profit.”
With Milei’s efforts to deregulate the economy and scrap tariffs winning over Argentina’s powerful agriculture sector, La Libertad Avanza also swept Santa Fe, which dominates soybean production and processing, and Córdoba, another powerhouse farming province.
+
+
+
+
+
Risks remain for Milei as austerity hits hard
Despite Milei’s new momentum, experts caution that the irascible president still needs to court political allies to see through his agenda. Given the limited number of seats up for grabs in this election, it was mathematically impossible for Milei to secure a majority in either house.
“This victory is necessary, but not sufficient to maintain control of Congress,” said political consultant Sergio Berensztein. “The government must build a broad and effective coalition with like-minded forces.”
Seeking to capitalize quickly on Sunday’s results, Milei said he called the country’s powerful provincial governors to accelerate agreements on long-term economic reform.
Sunday’s outcome will also test public patience for Milei’s cost-cutting measures in the coming months. Although Milei’s budget cuts have significantly driven down inflation — from an annual high of 289% in April 2024 to 32% last month — the price increases still outpace salaries and pensions.
The electorate appears increasingly polarized between beneficiaries of Milei’s reforms and those who say they’re struggling to make ends meet like never before.
But at a soup kitchen on the other side of Argentina’s Riachuelo River, Epifanía Contreras, 64, said she feels like she’s bearing the brunt of the cutbacks.
“You can’t live on 290,000 pesos a month with today’s inflation,” she said, describing how her $200 monthly pension has shriveled in value since Milei cut cost-of-living increases. “The situation is getting worse and worse.”
Reflecting widespread public resignation, electoral authorities reported a turnout rate of just under 68% Sunday, among the lowest recorded since the nation’s 1983 return to democracy. Voting is compulsory in Argentina.
“I vote out of obligation, nothing more,” said Matías Paredes, 50, a real estate broker whose foreign clientele vanished with Milei’s strong exchange rate. “None of these figures inspire optimism. We’re just choosing the lesser evil.”
___
Associated Press writers Almudena Calatrava and Débora Rey contributed to this report.
+ DeBre writes about Argentina, Bolivia, Chile, Paraguay and Uruguay for The Associated Press, based in Buenos Aires. Before moving to South America in 2024, she covered the Middle East reporting from Jerusalem, Cairo and Dubai.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/AP_Milei_midterms_20251027.html.txt b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/AP_Milei_midterms_20251027.html.txt
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..2d24f0893e
--- /dev/null
+++ b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/AP_Milei_midterms_20251027.html.txt
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+Milei triumphs in Argentine midterm elections | AP News Menu World SECTIONS Iran war Russia-Ukraine war Español China Asia Pacific Latin America Europe Africa TOP STORIES Residents burn an Ebola treatment center in Congo as anger grows over the outbreak Documents show Queen Elizabeth was eager for ex-Prince Andrew to become trade envoy The differences — and similarities — in the Trump and Putin visits to China Newsletters The Morning Wire Our flagship newsletter breaks down the biggest headlines of the day. The Afternoon Wire Get caught up on what you may have missed throughout the day. See All Newsletters U.S. SECTIONS Immigration Weather Education Transportation Abortion LGBTQ+ Notable Deaths TOP STORIES 3 dead in New Mexico and first responders decontaminated after exposure to unknown substance The teens who attacked the Islamic Center of San Diego were latest to cite prior atrocities Woman at center of sprawling Minnesota fraud gets nearly 42-year prison sentence Newsletters The Morning Wire Our flagship newsletter breaks down the biggest headlines of the day. See All Newsletters AP QUIZZES Test Your News I.Q. — take today’s quiz Politics SECTIONS 2026 Elections Election Results Election calendar White House Congress Supreme Court The latest AP-NORC polls Ground Game TOP STORIES Backlash to Trump's $1.8B settlement fund delays GOP immigration bill Facing intense internal pressure, DNC releases postelection autopsy that criticizes Kamala Harris Trump eases refrigerant rule in a bid to address surging grocery costs Newsletters Ground Game Exclusive insights and key stories from the world of politics. See All Newsletters Sports SECTIONS NBA MLB NFL NHL Golf Soccer FIFA World Cup Auto Racing TOP STORIES 2-time NASCAR champ Kyle Busch dies at 41 after being hospitalized with a 'severe illness' Howard Fendrich, award-winning AP national sports writer and tennis expert, dies at 55 FIFA’s big experiment may have made the World Cup too big for its own good Newsletters AP Top 25 Poll Alerts Get email alerts for every college football Top 25 Poll release. The Sports Wire Your home base for in-depth reporting from the world of sports. See All Newsletters Entertainment SECTIONS Movies Fashion Television Celebrity Interviews Music Books TOP STORIES Stephen Colbert is saying goodbye to 'The Late Show.' How it ends is still a secret Michigan woman whose name inspired band to become Greta Van Fleet dies at 95 The Cannes Film Festival away from the carpet, in photos Newsletters AP Entertainment Wire Get AP's first personalized newsletter delivering you entertainment news twice a week. See All Newsletters Business SECTIONS Tariffs Inflation Financial Markets Financial Wellness Technology TOP STORIES SpaceX reveals plans for what could be the biggest-ever initial public offering Nvidia Q1 results surpass Wall Street expectations thanks to massive AI chip demand House committee discusses modernizing the TSA as Trump seeks to privatize airport screening Science SECTIONS Space Animals The Ancient World Climate Medicine TOP STORIES Dying star resembles a billowing crystal ball in new telescope photo Fact Check Oddities TOP STORIES Lettuce introduce you to the live frog found in this grocery store salad bag A humpback whale briefly swallows kayaker in Chilean Patagonia — and it's all captured on camera Viral phenomenon in Argentina has young people identifying themselves as animals Nipper, stay! The future of a beloved dog statue on a New York warehouse is up in the air How 2 men claimed an absurd record by driving an old 3-wheel car the length of Africa 1 million bees make for bumper-to-buzzer traffic on a Tennessee highway ramp Be Well SECTIONS Trending Better health At home Working well For the climate Eating well TOP STORIES Why some people are seeing mental health benefits in everyday tasks Being a night owl may not be great for your heart but you can do something about it As demand for GLP-1 pills and shots surges, healthy habits are still key Newsletters Photography SECTIONS Photo Essays TOP STORIES How a low angle and fast lens shaped a photo of Jannik Sinner A photo captures President Trump and first lady awaiting British royals from rare White House angle Democrats are becoming a force in traditionally conservative The Villages Newsletters The World in Pictures Get The AP’s most compelling photographs sent directly to your inbox. See All Newsletters AP Investigations Climate SECTIONS Indigenous peoples and climate Climate Questions Climate Migration India Focus TOP STORIES Plastic bags don't go in the recycling bin. What should you do instead? Kansas farmers hit hard by weather extremes and growing costs, wheat crop could be worst since 1972 Atlantic hurricane season forecast to be milder than normal thanks to El Nino Health TOP STORIES RFK Jr. fires leaders of group that sets guidelines for preventive health screenings Being a night owl may not be great for your heart but you can do something about it As demand for GLP-1 pills and shots surges, healthy habits are still key What to know about the Bundibugyo virus, a species of Ebola causing an outbreak in Congo PCOS is now called PMOS. What the name change means for care US health officials order quarantine for 2 passengers from cruise ship with hantavirus outbreak Tech SECTIONS Artificial Intelligence Social Media TOP STORIES Google announces slew of AI advances, including a personal AI assistant coming soon One Tech Tip: Don't use rice for your device. Here's how to dry out your smartphone Tech CEOs summoned to Congress for another hearing on social media's risks for children Lifestyle SECTIONS Food & Recipes Gardening Fashion Homes Travel Pets TOP STORIES Why some people are seeing mental health benefits in everyday tasks How to mulch your garden beds without harming plants Colorful 'Greetings from' postcards reflected American innovation, idealism Religion TOP STORIES Thousands flocked to the National Mall in Washington for an America-themed prayer rally Pope and co-founder of Anthropic to launch pontiff's AI encyclical on May 25 Journey of a lifetime: A US teen Buddhist lama is now a monk studying in the Himalayan foothills Newsletters World of Faith Comprehensive global coverage of how religion shapes our world. See All Newsletters Español SECTIONS Política de EEUU Deportes Mundial de Fútbol FIFA TOP STORIES Gobierno de EEUU acepta retirar reclamos fiscales contra Trump como parte de acuerdo en demanda Trump firma orden para que los bancos revisen más de cerca el estatus migratorio de sus clientes Aumentan los temores en el Congo por la rápida propagación de un tipo raro de ébola Most watched videos Standards Quizzes Press Releases My Account AP News Code of Conduct World Iran war Russia-Ukraine war Español China Asia Pacific Latin America Europe Africa Middle East U.S. Immigration Weather Education Transportation Abortion LGBTQ+ Notable Deaths Politics 2026 Elections Election Results Election calendar White House Congress Supreme Court The latest AP-NORC polls Ground Game Sports NBA MLB NFL NHL Golf Soccer FIFA World Cup Auto Racing Entertainment Movies Fashion Television Celebrity Interviews Music Books Business Tariffs Inflation Financial Markets Financial Wellness Technology Science Space Animals The Ancient World Climate Medicine Fact Check Oddities Be Well Trending Better health At home Working well For the climate Eating well Newsletters Photography Photo Essays AP Investigations Climate Indigenous peoples and climate Climate Questions Climate Migration India Focus Health Tech Artificial Intelligence Social Media Lifestyle Food & Recipes Gardening Fashion Homes Travel Pets Religion Español Política de EEUU Deportes Mundial de Fútbol FIFA Most watched videos Standards Quizzes Press Releases My Account AP News Code of Conduct MORE World Iran war Russia-Ukraine war Español China Asia Pacific Latin America Europe Africa Middle East U.S. Immigration Weather Education Transportation Abortion LGBTQ+ Notable Deaths Politics 2026 Elections Election Results Election calendar White House Congress Supreme Court The latest AP-NORC polls Ground Game Sports NBA MLB NFL NHL Golf Soccer FIFA World Cup Auto Racing Entertainment Movies Fashion Television Celebrity Interviews Music Books Business Tariffs Inflation Financial Markets Financial Wellness Technology Science Space Animals The Ancient World Climate Medicine Fact Check Oddities Be Well Trending Better health At home Working well For the climate Eating well Newsletters Photography Photo Essays AP Investigations Climate Indigenous peoples and climate Climate Questions Climate Migration India Focus Health Tech Artificial Intelligence Social Media Lifestyle Food & Recipes Gardening Fashion Homes Travel Pets Religion Español Política de EEUU Deportes Mundial de Fútbol FIFA Most watched videos Standards Quizzes Press Releases My Account AP News Code of Conduct Sign in Search Query Submit Search Show Search Menu Submit Search World Iran war Russia-Ukraine war Español China Asia Pacific Latin America Europe Africa Middle East SECTIONS Iran war Russia-Ukraine war Español China Asia Pacific Latin America Europe Africa TOP STORIES Residents burn an Ebola treatment center in Congo as anger grows over the outbreak Documents show Queen Elizabeth was eager for ex-Prince Andrew to become trade envoy The differences — and similarities — in the Trump and Putin visits to China Newsletters The Morning Wire Our flagship newsletter breaks down the biggest headlines of the day. The Afternoon Wire Get caught up on what you may have missed throughout the day. See All Newsletters U.S. Immigration Weather Education Transportation Abortion LGBTQ+ Notable Deaths SECTIONS Immigration Weather Education Transportation Abortion LGBTQ+ Notable Deaths TOP STORIES 3 dead in New Mexico and first responders decontaminated after exposure to unknown substance The teens who attacked the Islamic Center of San Diego were latest to cite prior atrocities Woman at center of sprawling Minnesota fraud gets nearly 42-year prison sentence Newsletters The Morning Wire Our flagship newsletter breaks down the biggest headlines of the day. See All Newsletters AP QUIZZES Test Your News I.Q. — take today’s quiz Politics 2026 Elections Election Results Election calendar White House Congress Supreme Court The latest AP-NORC polls Ground Game SECTIONS 2026 Elections Election Results Election calendar White House Congress Supreme Court The latest AP-NORC polls Ground Game TOP STORIES Backlash to Trump's $1.8B settlement fund delays GOP immigration bill Facing intense internal pressure, DNC releases postelection autopsy that criticizes Kamala Harris Trump eases refrigerant rule in a bid to address surging grocery costs Newsletters Ground Game Exclusive insights and key stories from the world of politics. See All Newsletters Sports NBA MLB NFL NHL Golf Soccer FIFA World Cup Auto Racing SECTIONS NBA MLB NFL NHL Golf Soccer FIFA World Cup Auto Racing TOP STORIES 2-time NASCAR champ Kyle Busch dies at 41 after being hospitalized with a 'severe illness' Howard Fendrich, award-winning AP national sports writer and tennis expert, dies at 55 FIFA’s big experiment may have made the World Cup too big for its own good Newsletters AP Top 25 Poll Alerts Get email alerts for every college football Top 25 Poll release. The Sports Wire Your home base for in-depth reporting from the world of sports. See All Newsletters Entertainment Movies Fashion Television Celebrity Interviews Music Books SECTIONS Movies Fashion Television Celebrity Interviews Music Books TOP STORIES Stephen Colbert is saying goodbye to 'The Late Show.' How it ends is still a secret Michigan woman whose name inspired band to become Greta Van Fleet dies at 95 The Cannes Film Festival away from the carpet, in photos Newsletters AP Entertainment Wire Get AP's first personalized newsletter delivering you entertainment news twice a week. See All Newsletters Business Tariffs Inflation Financial Markets Financial Wellness Technology SECTIONS Tariffs Inflation Financial Markets Financial Wellness Technology TOP STORIES SpaceX reveals plans for what could be the biggest-ever initial public offering Nvidia Q1 results surpass Wall Street expectations thanks to massive AI chip demand House committee discusses modernizing the TSA as Trump seeks to privatize airport screening Science Space Animals The Ancient World Climate Medicine SECTIONS Space Animals The Ancient World Climate Medicine TOP STORIES Dying star resembles a billowing crystal ball in new telescope photo Fact Check Oddities TOP STORIES Lettuce introduce you to the live frog found in this grocery store salad bag A humpback whale briefly swallows kayaker in Chilean Patagonia — and it's all captured on camera Viral phenomenon in Argentina has young people identifying themselves as animals Nipper, stay! The future of a beloved dog statue on a New York warehouse is up in the air How 2 men claimed an absurd record by driving an old 3-wheel car the length of Africa 1 million bees make for bumper-to-buzzer traffic on a Tennessee highway ramp Be Well Trending Better health At home Working well For the climate Eating well SECTIONS Trending Better health At home Working well For the climate Eating well TOP STORIES Why some people are seeing mental health benefits in everyday tasks Being a night owl may not be great for your heart but you can do something about it As demand for GLP-1 pills and shots surges, healthy habits are still key Newsletters Photography Photo Essays SECTIONS Photo Essays TOP STORIES How a low angle and fast lens shaped a photo of Jannik Sinner A photo captures President Trump and first lady awaiting British royals from rare White House angle Democrats are becoming a force in traditionally conservative The Villages Newsletters The World in Pictures Get The AP’s most compelling photographs sent directly to your inbox. See All Newsletters AP Investigations Climate Indigenous peoples and climate Climate Questions Climate Migration India Focus SECTIONS Indigenous peoples and climate Climate Questions Climate Migration India Focus TOP STORIES Plastic bags don't go in the recycling bin. What should you do instead? Kansas farmers hit hard by weather extremes and growing costs, wheat crop could be worst since 1972 Atlantic hurricane season forecast to be milder than normal thanks to El Nino Health TOP STORIES RFK Jr. fires leaders of group that sets guidelines for preventive health screenings Being a night owl may not be great for your heart but you can do something about it As demand for GLP-1 pills and shots surges, healthy habits are still key What to know about the Bundibugyo virus, a species of Ebola causing an outbreak in Congo PCOS is now called PMOS. What the name change means for care US health officials order quarantine for 2 passengers from cruise ship with hantavirus outbreak Tech Artificial Intelligence Social Media SECTIONS Artificial Intelligence Social Media TOP STORIES Google announces slew of AI advances, including a personal AI assistant coming soon One Tech Tip: Don't use rice for your device. Here's how to dry out your smartphone Tech CEOs summoned to Congress for another hearing on social media's risks for children Lifestyle Food & Recipes Gardening Fashion Homes Travel Pets SECTIONS Food & Recipes Gardening Fashion Homes Travel Pets TOP STORIES Why some people are seeing mental health benefits in everyday tasks How to mulch your garden beds without harming plants Colorful 'Greetings from' postcards reflected American innovation, idealism Religion TOP STORIES Thousands flocked to the National Mall in Washington for an America-themed prayer rally Pope and co-founder of Anthropic to launch pontiff's AI encyclical on May 25 Journey of a lifetime: A US teen Buddhist lama is now a monk studying in the Himalayan foothills Newsletters World of Faith Comprehensive global coverage of how religion shapes our world. See All Newsletters Español Política de EEUU Deportes Mundial de Fútbol FIFA SECTIONS Política de EEUU Deportes Mundial de Fútbol FIFA TOP STORIES Gobierno de EEUU acepta retirar reclamos fiscales contra Trump como parte de acuerdo en demanda Trump firma orden para que los bancos revisen más de cerca el estatus migratorio de sus clientes Aumentan los temores en el Congo por la rápida propagación de un tipo raro de ébola Most watched videos Standards Quizzes Press Releases My Account AP News Code of Conduct The Associated Press is an independent global news organization dedicated to factual reporting. Founded in 1846, AP today remains the most trusted source of fast, accurate, unbiased news in all formats and the essential provider of the technology and services vital to the news business. More than half the world’s population sees AP journalism every day. twitter instagram facebook From AP News About Contact Us Accessibility Statement Terms of Use Privacy Policy Cookie Settings Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information Limit Use and Disclosure of Sensitive Personal Information CA Notice of Collection The Associated Press ap.org Careers Advertise with us AP News Values and Principles AP’s Role in Elections AP Leads AP Definitive Source Blog AP Images Spotlight Blog AP Stylebook AP News Code of Conduct From AP News About Contact Us Accessibility Statement Terms of Use Privacy Policy Cookie Settings Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information Limit Use and Disclosure of Sensitive Personal Information CA Notice of Collection The Associated Press ap.org Careers Advertise with us AP News Values and Principles AP’s Role in Elections AP Leads AP Definitive Source Blog AP Images Spotlight Blog AP Stylebook AP News Code of Conduct SECTIONS ap.org Careers Advertise with us AP News Values and Principles AP’s Role in Elections AP Leads AP Definitive Source Blog AP Images Spotlight Blog Copyright 2026 The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved. Menu World SECTIONS Iran war Russia-Ukraine war Español China Asia Pacific Latin America Europe Africa TOP STORIES Residents burn an Ebola treatment center in Congo as anger grows over the outbreak Documents show Queen Elizabeth was eager for ex-Prince Andrew to become trade envoy The differences — and similarities — in the Trump and Putin visits to China Newsletters The Morning Wire Our flagship newsletter breaks down the biggest headlines of the day. The Afternoon Wire Get caught up on what you may have missed throughout the day. See All Newsletters U.S. SECTIONS Immigration Weather Education Transportation Abortion LGBTQ+ Notable Deaths TOP STORIES 3 dead in New Mexico and first responders decontaminated after exposure to unknown substance The teens who attacked the Islamic Center of San Diego were latest to cite prior atrocities Woman at center of sprawling Minnesota fraud gets nearly 42-year prison sentence Newsletters The Morning Wire Our flagship newsletter breaks down the biggest headlines of the day. See All Newsletters AP QUIZZES Test Your News I.Q. — take today’s quiz Politics SECTIONS 2026 Elections Election Results Election calendar White House Congress Supreme Court The latest AP-NORC polls Ground Game TOP STORIES Backlash to Trump's $1.8B settlement fund delays GOP immigration bill Facing intense internal pressure, DNC releases postelection autopsy that criticizes Kamala Harris Trump eases refrigerant rule in a bid to address surging grocery costs Newsletters Ground Game Exclusive insights and key stories from the world of politics. See All Newsletters Sports SECTIONS NBA MLB NFL NHL Golf Soccer FIFA World Cup Auto Racing TOP STORIES 2-time NASCAR champ Kyle Busch dies at 41 after being hospitalized with a 'severe illness' Howard Fendrich, award-winning AP national sports writer and tennis expert, dies at 55 FIFA’s big experiment may have made the World Cup too big for its own good Newsletters AP Top 25 Poll Alerts Get email alerts for every college football Top 25 Poll release. The Sports Wire Your home base for in-depth reporting from the world of sports. See All Newsletters Entertainment SECTIONS Movies Fashion Television Celebrity Interviews Music Books TOP STORIES Stephen Colbert is saying goodbye to 'The Late Show.' How it ends is still a secret Michigan woman whose name inspired band to become Greta Van Fleet dies at 95 The Cannes Film Festival away from the carpet, in photos Newsletters AP Entertainment Wire Get AP's first personalized newsletter delivering you entertainment news twice a week. See All Newsletters Business SECTIONS Tariffs Inflation Financial Markets Financial Wellness Technology TOP STORIES SpaceX reveals plans for what could be the biggest-ever initial public offering Nvidia Q1 results surpass Wall Street expectations thanks to massive AI chip demand House committee discusses modernizing the TSA as Trump seeks to privatize airport screening Science SECTIONS Space Animals The Ancient World Climate Medicine TOP STORIES Dying star resembles a billowing crystal ball in new telescope photo Fact Check Oddities TOP STORIES Lettuce introduce you to the live frog found in this grocery store salad bag A humpback whale briefly swallows kayaker in Chilean Patagonia — and it's all captured on camera Viral phenomenon in Argentina has young people identifying themselves as animals Nipper, stay! The future of a beloved dog statue on a New York warehouse is up in the air How 2 men claimed an absurd record by driving an old 3-wheel car the length of Africa 1 million bees make for bumper-to-buzzer traffic on a Tennessee highway ramp Be Well SECTIONS Trending Better health At home Working well For the climate Eating well TOP STORIES Why some people are seeing mental health benefits in everyday tasks Being a night owl may not be great for your heart but you can do something about it As demand for GLP-1 pills and shots surges, healthy habits are still key Newsletters Photography SECTIONS Photo Essays TOP STORIES How a low angle and fast lens shaped a photo of Jannik Sinner A photo captures President Trump and first lady awaiting British royals from rare White House angle Democrats are becoming a force in traditionally conservative The Villages Newsletters The World in Pictures Get The AP’s most compelling photographs sent directly to your inbox. See All Newsletters AP Investigations Climate SECTIONS Indigenous peoples and climate Climate Questions Climate Migration India Focus TOP STORIES Plastic bags don't go in the recycling bin. What should you do instead? Kansas farmers hit hard by weather extremes and growing costs, wheat crop could be worst since 1972 Atlantic hurricane season forecast to be milder than normal thanks to El Nino Health TOP STORIES RFK Jr. fires leaders of group that sets guidelines for preventive health screenings Being a night owl may not be great for your heart but you can do something about it As demand for GLP-1 pills and shots surges, healthy habits are still key What to know about the Bundibugyo virus, a species of Ebola causing an outbreak in Congo PCOS is now called PMOS. What the name change means for care US health officials order quarantine for 2 passengers from cruise ship with hantavirus outbreak Tech SECTIONS Artificial Intelligence Social Media TOP STORIES Google announces slew of AI advances, including a personal AI assistant coming soon One Tech Tip: Don't use rice for your device. Here's how to dry out your smartphone Tech CEOs summoned to Congress for another hearing on social media's risks for children Lifestyle SECTIONS Food & Recipes Gardening Fashion Homes Travel Pets TOP STORIES Why some people are seeing mental health benefits in everyday tasks How to mulch your garden beds without harming plants Colorful 'Greetings from' postcards reflected American innovation, idealism Religion TOP STORIES Thousands flocked to the National Mall in Washington for an America-themed prayer rally Pope and co-founder of Anthropic to launch pontiff's AI encyclical on May 25 Journey of a lifetime: A US teen Buddhist lama is now a monk studying in the Himalayan foothills Newsletters World of Faith Comprehensive global coverage of how religion shapes our world. See All Newsletters Español SECTIONS Política de EEUU Deportes Mundial de Fútbol FIFA TOP STORIES Gobierno de EEUU acepta retirar reclamos fiscales contra Trump como parte de acuerdo en demanda Trump firma orden para que los bancos revisen más de cerca el estatus migratorio de sus clientes Aumentan los temores en el Congo por la rápida propagación de un tipo raro de ébola Most watched videos Standards Quizzes Press Releases My Account AP News Code of Conduct World Iran war Russia-Ukraine war Español China Asia Pacific Latin America Europe Africa Middle East U.S. Immigration Weather Education Transportation Abortion LGBTQ+ Notable Deaths Politics 2026 Elections Election Results Election calendar White House Congress Supreme Court The latest AP-NORC polls Ground Game Sports NBA MLB NFL NHL Golf Soccer FIFA World Cup Auto Racing Entertainment Movies Fashion Television Celebrity Interviews Music Books Business Tariffs Inflation Financial Markets Financial Wellness Technology Science Space Animals The Ancient World Climate Medicine Fact Check Oddities Be Well Trending Better health At home Working well For the climate Eating well Newsletters Photography Photo Essays AP Investigations Climate Indigenous peoples and climate Climate Questions Climate Migration India Focus Health Tech Artificial Intelligence Social Media Lifestyle Food & Recipes Gardening Fashion Homes Travel Pets Religion Español Política de EEUU Deportes Mundial de Fútbol FIFA Most watched videos Standards Quizzes Press Releases My Account AP News Code of Conduct MORE World Iran war Russia-Ukraine war Español China Asia Pacific Latin America Europe Africa Middle East U.S. Immigration Weather Education Transportation Abortion LGBTQ+ Notable Deaths Politics 2026 Elections Election Results Election calendar White House Congress Supreme Court The latest AP-NORC polls Ground Game Sports NBA MLB NFL NHL Golf Soccer FIFA World Cup Auto Racing Entertainment Movies Fashion Television Celebrity Interviews Music Books Business Tariffs Inflation Financial Markets Financial Wellness Technology Science Space Animals The Ancient World Climate Medicine Fact Check Oddities Be Well Trending Better health At home Working well For the climate Eating well Newsletters Photography Photo Essays AP Investigations Climate Indigenous peoples and climate Climate Questions Climate Migration India Focus Health Tech Artificial Intelligence Social Media Lifestyle Food & Recipes Gardening Fashion Homes Travel Pets Religion Español Política de EEUU Deportes Mundial de Fútbol FIFA Most watched videos Standards Quizzes Press Releases My Account AP News Code of Conduct Sign in Search Query Submit Search Show Search Menu Submit Search World Iran war Russia-Ukraine war Español China Asia Pacific Latin America Europe Africa Middle East SECTIONS Iran war Russia-Ukraine war Español China Asia Pacific Latin America Europe Africa TOP STORIES Residents burn an Ebola treatment center in Congo as anger grows over the outbreak Documents show Queen Elizabeth was eager for ex-Prince Andrew to become trade envoy The differences — and similarities — in the Trump and Putin visits to China Newsletters The Morning Wire Our flagship newsletter breaks down the biggest headlines of the day. The Afternoon Wire Get caught up on what you may have missed throughout the day. See All Newsletters U.S. Immigration Weather Education Transportation Abortion LGBTQ+ Notable Deaths SECTIONS Immigration Weather Education Transportation Abortion LGBTQ+ Notable Deaths TOP STORIES 3 dead in New Mexico and first responders decontaminated after exposure to unknown substance The teens who attacked the Islamic Center of San Diego were latest to cite prior atrocities Woman at center of sprawling Minnesota fraud gets nearly 42-year prison sentence Newsletters The Morning Wire Our flagship newsletter breaks down the biggest headlines of the day. See All Newsletters AP QUIZZES Test Your News I.Q. — take today’s quiz Politics 2026 Elections Election Results Election calendar White House Congress Supreme Court The latest AP-NORC polls Ground Game SECTIONS 2026 Elections Election Results Election calendar White House Congress Supreme Court The latest AP-NORC polls Ground Game TOP STORIES Backlash to Trump's $1.8B settlement fund delays GOP immigration bill Facing intense internal pressure, DNC releases postelection autopsy that criticizes Kamala Harris Trump eases refrigerant rule in a bid to address surging grocery costs Newsletters Ground Game Exclusive insights and key stories from the world of politics. See All Newsletters Sports NBA MLB NFL NHL Golf Soccer FIFA World Cup Auto Racing SECTIONS NBA MLB NFL NHL Golf Soccer FIFA World Cup Auto Racing TOP STORIES 2-time NASCAR champ Kyle Busch dies at 41 after being hospitalized with a 'severe illness' Howard Fendrich, award-winning AP national sports writer and tennis expert, dies at 55 FIFA’s big experiment may have made the World Cup too big for its own good Newsletters AP Top 25 Poll Alerts Get email alerts for every college football Top 25 Poll release. The Sports Wire Your home base for in-depth reporting from the world of sports. See All Newsletters Entertainment Movies Fashion Television Celebrity Interviews Music Books SECTIONS Movies Fashion Television Celebrity Interviews Music Books TOP STORIES Stephen Colbert is saying goodbye to 'The Late Show.' How it ends is still a secret Michigan woman whose name inspired band to become Greta Van Fleet dies at 95 The Cannes Film Festival away from the carpet, in photos Newsletters AP Entertainment Wire Get AP's first personalized newsletter delivering you entertainment news twice a week. See All Newsletters Business Tariffs Inflation Financial Markets Financial Wellness Technology SECTIONS Tariffs Inflation Financial Markets Financial Wellness Technology TOP STORIES SpaceX reveals plans for what could be the biggest-ever initial public offering Nvidia Q1 results surpass Wall Street expectations thanks to massive AI chip demand House committee discusses modernizing the TSA as Trump seeks to privatize airport screening Science Space Animals The Ancient World Climate Medicine SECTIONS Space Animals The Ancient World Climate Medicine TOP STORIES Dying star resembles a billowing crystal ball in new telescope photo Fact Check Oddities TOP STORIES Lettuce introduce you to the live frog found in this grocery store salad bag A humpback whale briefly swallows kayaker in Chilean Patagonia — and it's all captured on camera Viral phenomenon in Argentina has young people identifying themselves as animals Nipper, stay! The future of a beloved dog statue on a New York warehouse is up in the air How 2 men claimed an absurd record by driving an old 3-wheel car the length of Africa 1 million bees make for bumper-to-buzzer traffic on a Tennessee highway ramp Be Well Trending Better health At home Working well For the climate Eating well SECTIONS Trending Better health At home Working well For the climate Eating well TOP STORIES Why some people are seeing mental health benefits in everyday tasks Being a night owl may not be great for your heart but you can do something about it As demand for GLP-1 pills and shots surges, healthy habits are still key Newsletters Photography Photo Essays SECTIONS Photo Essays TOP STORIES How a low angle and fast lens shaped a photo of Jannik Sinner A photo captures President Trump and first lady awaiting British royals from rare White House angle Democrats are becoming a force in traditionally conservative The Villages Newsletters The World in Pictures Get The AP’s most compelling photographs sent directly to your inbox. See All Newsletters AP Investigations Climate Indigenous peoples and climate Climate Questions Climate Migration India Focus SECTIONS Indigenous peoples and climate Climate Questions Climate Migration India Focus TOP STORIES Plastic bags don't go in the recycling bin. What should you do instead? Kansas farmers hit hard by weather extremes and growing costs, wheat crop could be worst since 1972 Atlantic hurricane season forecast to be milder than normal thanks to El Nino Health TOP STORIES RFK Jr. fires leaders of group that sets guidelines for preventive health screenings Being a night owl may not be great for your heart but you can do something about it As demand for GLP-1 pills and shots surges, healthy habits are still key What to know about the Bundibugyo virus, a species of Ebola causing an outbreak in Congo PCOS is now called PMOS. What the name change means for care US health officials order quarantine for 2 passengers from cruise ship with hantavirus outbreak Tech Artificial Intelligence Social Media SECTIONS Artificial Intelligence Social Media TOP STORIES Google announces slew of AI advances, including a personal AI assistant coming soon One Tech Tip: Don't use rice for your device. Here's how to dry out your smartphone Tech CEOs summoned to Congress for another hearing on social media's risks for children Lifestyle Food & Recipes Gardening Fashion Homes Travel Pets SECTIONS Food & Recipes Gardening Fashion Homes Travel Pets TOP STORIES Why some people are seeing mental health benefits in everyday tasks How to mulch your garden beds without harming plants Colorful 'Greetings from' postcards reflected American innovation, idealism Religion TOP STORIES Thousands flocked to the National Mall in Washington for an America-themed prayer rally Pope and co-founder of Anthropic to launch pontiff's AI encyclical on May 25 Journey of a lifetime: A US teen Buddhist lama is now a monk studying in the Himalayan foothills Newsletters World of Faith Comprehensive global coverage of how religion shapes our world. See All Newsletters Español Política de EEUU Deportes Mundial de Fútbol FIFA SECTIONS Política de EEUU Deportes Mundial de Fútbol FIFA TOP STORIES Gobierno de EEUU acepta retirar reclamos fiscales contra Trump como parte de acuerdo en demanda Trump firma orden para que los bancos revisen más de cerca el estatus migratorio de sus clientes Aumentan los temores en el Congo por la rápida propagación de un tipo raro de ébola Most watched videos Standards Quizzes Press Releases My Account AP News Code of Conduct The Associated Press is an independent global news organization dedicated to factual reporting. Founded in 1846, AP today remains the most trusted source of fast, accurate, unbiased news in all formats and the essential provider of the technology and services vital to the news business. More than half the world’s population sees AP journalism every day. twitter instagram facebook From AP News About Contact Us Accessibility Statement Terms of Use Privacy Policy Cookie Settings Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information Limit Use and Disclosure of Sensitive Personal Information CA Notice of Collection The Associated Press ap.org Careers Advertise with us AP News Values and Principles AP’s Role in Elections AP Leads AP Definitive Source Blog AP Images Spotlight Blog AP Stylebook AP News Code of Conduct From AP News About Contact Us Accessibility Statement Terms of Use Privacy Policy Cookie Settings Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information Limit Use and Disclosure of Sensitive Personal Information CA Notice of Collection The Associated Press ap.org Careers Advertise with us AP News Values and Principles AP’s Role in Elections AP Leads AP Definitive Source Blog AP Images Spotlight Blog AP Stylebook AP News Code of Conduct SECTIONS ap.org Careers Advertise with us AP News Values and Principles AP’s Role in Elections AP Leads AP Definitive Source Blog AP Images Spotlight Blog Copyright 2026 The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved. World News Milei triumphs in Argentine midterm elections closely watched by Washington Milei triumphs in Argentine midterm elections closely watched by Washington 1 of 7 | Argentina’s libertarian President Javier Milei won decisive victories in key districts across the country in midterm elections on Sunday. The opposition leader Axel Kicillof said it would be a “mistake” for libertarian President Javier Milei to celebrate his decisive victories in the country’s midterm elections. (AP video shot by Victor R. Calvano and Cristian Kovadloff) Read More 2 of 7 | Argentines began voting Sunday in a high-stakes midterm election that could help shape libertarian President Javier Milei’s political path — and the future of U.S. financial support for his government. (AP Video by Victor R. Caivano and Cristian Kovadloff) Read More 3 of 7 | Argentina’s President Javier Milei celebrates after winning in legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Rodrigo Abd) Read More 4 of 7 | A woman holds a banner reading in Spanish, “Trump or homeland,” outside former President Cristina Fernandez’s home, where she is serving a six-year house arrest sentence for corruption, after polls closed during legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Natacha Pisarenko) Read More 5 of 7 | Supporters of the opposition Peronist party gather at their campaign headquarters in La Plata, Argentina, after polls closed in legislative midterm elections, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025.(AP Photo/Gustavo Garello) Read More 6 of 7 | Argentina’s President Javier Milei votes during legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Natacha Pisarenko) Read More 7 of 7 | Argentina’s President Javier Milei greets supporters after winning in legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Rodrigo Abd) Read More Milei triumphs in Argentine midterm elections closely watched by Washington Read More 1 of 7 Argentina’s libertarian President Javier Milei won decisive victories in key districts across the country in midterm elections on Sunday. The opposition leader Axel Kicillof said it would be a “mistake” for libertarian President Javier Milei to celebrate his decisive victories in the country’s midterm elections. (AP video shot by Victor R. Calvano and Cristian Kovadloff) --> Add AP News on Google Add AP News as your preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. --> Share Share Facebook Copy Link copied Print Email X LinkedIn Bluesky Flipboard Pinterest Reddit Read More Read More 2 of 7 Argentines began voting Sunday in a high-stakes midterm election that could help shape libertarian President Javier Milei’s political path — and the future of U.S. financial support for his government. (AP Video by Victor R. Caivano and Cristian Kovadloff) --> Add AP News on Google Add AP News as your preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. --> Share Share Facebook Copy Link copied Print Email X LinkedIn Bluesky Flipboard Pinterest Reddit Read More 3 of 7 | Argentina’s President Javier Milei celebrates after winning in legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Rodrigo Abd) Read More 3 of 7 Argentina’s President Javier Milei celebrates after winning in legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Rodrigo Abd) --> Add AP News on Google Add AP News as your preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. --> Share Share Facebook Copy Link copied Print Email X LinkedIn Bluesky Flipboard Pinterest Reddit Read More 4 of 7 | A woman holds a banner reading in Spanish, “Trump or homeland,” outside former President Cristina Fernandez’s home, where she is serving a six-year house arrest sentence for corruption, after polls closed during legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Natacha Pisarenko) Read More 4 of 7 A woman holds a banner reading in Spanish, “Trump or homeland,” outside former President Cristina Fernandez’s home, where she is serving a six-year house arrest sentence for corruption, after polls closed during legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Natacha Pisarenko) --> Add AP News on Google Add AP News as your preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. --> Share Share Facebook Copy Link copied Print Email X LinkedIn Bluesky Flipboard Pinterest Reddit Read More 5 of 7 | Supporters of the opposition Peronist party gather at their campaign headquarters in La Plata, Argentina, after polls closed in legislative midterm elections, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025.(AP Photo/Gustavo Garello) Read More 5 of 7 Supporters of the opposition Peronist party gather at their campaign headquarters in La Plata, Argentina, after polls closed in legislative midterm elections, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025.(AP Photo/Gustavo Garello) --> Add AP News on Google Add AP News as your preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. --> Share Share Facebook Copy Link copied Print Email X LinkedIn Bluesky Flipboard Pinterest Reddit Read More 6 of 7 | Argentina’s President Javier Milei votes during legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Natacha Pisarenko) Read More 6 of 7 Argentina’s President Javier Milei votes during legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Natacha Pisarenko) --> Add AP News on Google Add AP News as your preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. --> Share Share Facebook Copy Link copied Print Email X LinkedIn Bluesky Flipboard Pinterest Reddit Read More 7 of 7 | Argentina’s President Javier Milei greets supporters after winning in legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Rodrigo Abd) Read More 7 of 7 Argentina’s President Javier Milei greets supporters after winning in legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Rodrigo Abd) --> Add AP News on Google Add AP News as your preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. --> Share Share Facebook Copy Link copied Print Email X LinkedIn Bluesky Flipboard Pinterest Reddit Read More By ISABEL DEBRE Updated [hour]:[minute] [AMPM] [timezone], [monthFull] [day], [year] --> Add AP News on Google Add AP News as your preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. --> Share Share Facebook Copy Link copied Print Email X LinkedIn Bluesky Flipboard Pinterest Reddit BUENOS AIRES, Argentina (AP) — Argentina’s libertarian President Javier Milei won decisive victories in key districts in midterm elections Sunday, clinching a crucial vote of confidence that strengthens his ability to carry out his radical free-market experiment with billions of dollars in backing from the Trump administration. In the election widely seen as a referendum on Milei’s past two years in office, his upstart La Libertad Avanza party scored over 40% of votes compared with 31% for the left-leaning populist opposition movement, known as Peronism, exceeding analysts’ projections. Milei, a key ideological ally of U.S. President Donald Trump , said his party and allied blocs picked up 14 seats in the Senate and 64 in the lower house of Congress on Sunday, bolstering the government’s support in the legislature enough to uphold presidential vetoes and block impeachment efforts. At La Libertad Avanza headquarters late Sunday in downtown Buenos Aires, a beaming Milei hailed the election sweep as a mandate to press forward with his spending cuts and introduce ambitious tax and labor reforms. The results also automatically position him as a candidate for reelection in 2027. Related Stories Argentines hunting for source of hantavirus outbreak trap rats in southernmost city 3 MIN READ Argentina’s icy outpost at the end of the world fears the hantavirus will chill tourism 5 MIN READ 13 Argentina’s beef consumption falls to lowest level in 20 years as prices soar 4 MIN READ 16 “The Argentine people have decided to leave behind 100 years of decadence,” Milei exulted as his supporters cheered, referring to a succession of Peronist governments that brought Argentina infamy for its inflationary spirals and sovereign debt defaults . AP AUDIO: Milei triumphs in Argentine midterm elections closely watched by Washington AP correspondent Charles de Ledesma reports Argentina’s libertarian President Javier Milei has won decisive victories in key districts across the country in midterm elections. “Today we have passed the turning point. Today we begin the construction of a great Argentina.” Read More High stakes include $40 billion from the U.S. Perhaps never has an Argentine legislative election generated so much interest in Washington and Wall Street. Trump appeared to condition a $20 billion currency swap deal with Argentina’s central bank and an additional $20 billion loan from private banks on a good showing for Milei in national midterms, threatening to rescind the assistance for the cash-strapped country in the event of a Peronist victory. “If he wins we’re staying with him, and if he doesn’t win, we’re gone,” Trump said after welcoming Milei to the White House earlier this month. Those contentious comments added to mounting pressure on Milei, who has scrambled to avert a currency crisis since the Peronist opposition won a landslide victory in Buenos Aires provincial polls last month. Argentina’s bonds and currency nosedived as markets sensed that the public was losing patience with Milei’s reforms and that the midterm race would be tight. To stem the run on the peso, Milei burned through billions of dollars in foreign exchange reserves to shore up the peso. In an extraordinary move, the U.S. Treasury then came to the rescue, selling dollars to help meet soaring demand for greenbacks and finalizing the credit line. In the end, the Peronist alliance performed poorly, underscoring how weak the once-dominant movement has become in the Milei era, largely as a result of internal divisions. Markets were widely expected to rally on Monday. “For foreign investors, this outcome is a relief because it shows that the Milei program can be sustainable,” said Marcelo J. García, the America’s director for the geopolitical risk consultancy Horizon Engage. “It leaves the opposition weakened and fragmented, just as it was when Milei won the presidency in December 2023,” Garcia added. The Peronist coalition has struggled to channel rising public anger with Milei’s painful austerity measures into a new political strategy after delivering the economic shambles that the chain saw-wielding outsider inherited in late 2023. Trump, while on his way to Japan on Monday, posted on Truth Social that Milei was “doing a wonderful job” after his party beat expectations in midterm elections. “Our confidence in him was justified by the People of Argentina,” Trump wrote. Milei responded to Trump’s post, calling him “a great friend” of Argentina and thanking him for “trusting the Argentine people.” A changed electoral map The results showed Milei’s young libertarian party gaining support across the country — including in some surprising corners that have long been under the sway of Peronism. In the closely watched Buenos Aires province, a Peronist stronghold home to nearly 40% of the electorate, La Libertad Avanza eked out a razor-thin victory Sunday. Just last month, the Peronists beat Milei’s party there by a whopping 14 percentage points. Axel Kicillof, governor of Buenos Aires province and the most influential elected official in the Peronist opposition, criticized Trump for putting his thumb on the scale. He warned that the billions of dollars in financial aid from the U.S. Treasury and investment banks would do nothing to help ordinary Argentines squeezed by Milei’s cuts to subsidies or forced out of business by a contracting economy. “I want to make it clear that neither the U.S. government nor JP Morgan are charitable societies,” he said. “If they come to Argentina, it is for nothing other than to take a profit.” With Milei’s efforts to deregulate the economy and scrap tariffs winning over Argentina’s powerful agriculture sector, La Libertad Avanza also swept Santa Fe, which dominates soybean production and processing, and Córdoba, another powerhouse farming province. Risks remain for Milei as austerity hits hard Despite Milei’s new momentum, experts caution that the irascible president still needs to court political allies to see through his agenda. Given the limited number of seats up for grabs in this election, it was mathematically impossible for Milei to secure a majority in either house. “This victory is necessary, but not sufficient to maintain control of Congress,” said political consultant Sergio Berensztein. “The government must build a broad and effective coalition with like-minded forces.” Seeking to capitalize quickly on Sunday’s results, Milei said he called the country’s powerful provincial governors to accelerate agreements on long-term economic reform. Sunday’s outcome will also test public patience for Milei’s cost-cutting measures in the coming months. Although Milei’s budget cuts have significantly driven down inflation — from an annual high of 289% in April 2024 to 32% last month — the price increases still outpace salaries and pensions. The electorate appears increasingly polarized between beneficiaries of Milei’s reforms and those who say they’re struggling to make ends meet like never before. In the financial district of Puerto Madero, luxury car dealerships report sales surging since Milei scrapped import restrictions. Streets bustle with bankers who praise the president for ending a yearslong ban on selling dollars online . Fine restaurants serve Argentine oil executives who gush about his efforts to draw foreign investment . But at a soup kitchen on the other side of Argentina’s Riachuelo River, Epifanía Contreras, 64, said she feels like she’s bearing the brunt of the cutbacks. “You can’t live on 290,000 pesos a month with today’s inflation,” she said, describing how her $200 monthly pension has shriveled in value since Milei cut cost-of-living increases. “The situation is getting worse and worse.” Reflecting widespread public resignation, electoral authorities reported a turnout rate of just under 68% Sunday, among the lowest recorded since the nation’s 1983 return to democracy. Voting is compulsory in Argentina. “I vote out of obligation, nothing more,” said Matías Paredes, 50, a real estate broker whose foreign clientele vanished with Milei’s strong exchange rate. “None of these figures inspire optimism. We’re just choosing the lesser evil.” ___ Associated Press writers Almudena Calatrava and Débora Rey contributed to this report. ISABEL DEBRE DeBre writes about Argentina, Bolivia, Chile, Paraguay and Uruguay for The Associated Press, based in Buenos Aires. Before moving to South America in 2024, she covered the Middle East reporting from Jerusalem, Cairo and Dubai. twitter mailto Most read 2-time NASCAR champ Kyle Busch dies at 41 after being hospitalized with a ‘severe illness’ 4 MIN READ 60 Backlash to Trump’s $1.8B settlement fund delays GOP immigration bill 5 MIN READ 578 Facing intense internal pressure, DNC releases postelection autopsy that criticizes Kamala Harris 5 MIN READ 890 Trump eases refrigerant rule in a bid to address surging grocery costs 4 MIN READ 233 3 dead in New Mexico and first responders decontaminated after exposure to unknown substance 3 MIN READ 82 The Associated Press is an independent global news organization dedicated to factual reporting. Founded in 1846, AP today remains the most trusted source of fast, accurate, unbiased news in all formats and the essential provider of the technology and services vital to the news business. More than half the world’s population sees AP journalism every day. From AP News About Contact Us Accessibility Statement Terms of Use Privacy Policy Cookie Settings Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information Limit Use and Disclosure of Sensitive Personal Information CA Notice of Collection The Associated Press ap.org Careers Advertise with us AP News Values and Principles AP’s Role in Elections AP Leads AP Definitive Source Blog AP Images Spotlight Blog AP Stylebook AP News Code of Conduct From AP News About Contact Us Accessibility Statement Terms of Use Privacy Policy Cookie Settings Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information Limit Use and Disclosure of Sensitive Personal Information CA Notice of Collection The Associated Press ap.org Careers Advertise with us AP News Values and Principles AP’s Role in Elections AP Leads AP Definitive Source Blog AP Images Spotlight Blog AP Stylebook AP News Code of Conduct SECTIONS ap.org Careers Advertise with us AP News Values and Principles AP’s Role in Elections AP Leads AP Definitive Source Blog AP Images Spotlight Blog Copyright 2026 The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved. twitter instagram facebook
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/BATimes_LLA_midterm_20251026.html b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/BATimes_LLA_midterm_20251026.html
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..b5abe60171
--- /dev/null
+++ b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/BATimes_LLA_midterm_20251026.html
@@ -0,0 +1,1040 @@
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Decisive win for Milei’s La Libertad Avanza in key midterm election | Buenos Aires Times
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
President Javier Milei won a decisive victory in Sunday's midterm elections, boosting his flagging reform agenda and jumpstarting the second half of his term in office.
+
+
Milei's La Libertad Avanza (LLA) rebounded from a series of setbacks to take 40.84 percent of the votes cast for members of the lower house Chamber of Deputies and upper house Senate, according to official results based on 90 percent of votes counted.
+
+
According to partial results, the opposition Fuerza Patria (Peronist) coalition had around 31.64 percent. In third place was Provincias Unidas, a centrist bloc that seeks to break with polarisation and took around seven percent of the vote.
+
+
The results hand Milei a strengthened hand in Congress, close to the third it needs in both chambers to shield presidential vetoes from being overturned. However, LLLA will have to forge alliances with other forces to advance larger structural reforms.
"God bless Argentina," Milei's spokesman Manuel Adorni wrote on X.
+
+
As the initial results were released, hundreds of Milei’s supporters gathered outside the Hotel Libertador in Buenos Aires, his party’s headquarters for elections.
+
+
"I am very happy and excited. I did not expect such a large number," said Facundo Campos, a 38-year-old marketing consultant, as he cheered Milei’s performance.
"I shouted as if it were the winning goal in Argentina's last World Cup victory," he added.
+
+
The elections were the first national test of Milei's support since he won office two years ago on a promise to revive the long-ailing Argentine economy through a series of painful reforms.
+
+
Around alf of the seats in the Chamber of Deputies and one-third of the Senate seats were up for grabs on Sunday.
The run-up to the election was marked by a run on the national currency, the peso, that forced Milei to seek a bailout from US President Donald Trump.
+
+
Washington promised an unprecedented US$40-billion package of aid, but the assistance came with a warning from Trump to Argentines that he would not "be generous" if Sunday's election did not go Milei's way.
Milei wins Argentina’s midterm elections with more than 40% of the vote
The far right bounced back from its defeat two months ago in Buenos Aires against Peronism and scored solid results in major provinces such as Córdoba, Mendoza, Santa Fe, and Entre Ríos
Argentina President Javier Milei celebrates the results of the legislative elections on Sunday.Cristina Sille (REUTERS)
Javier Milei won Argentina’s legislative elections on Sunday with 40.8% of the votes. It was an unexpectedly large victory, which the far-right leader hailed as historic. Milei had plenty of reasons to celebrate. After four months of turmoil for the Argentine government — with the economy dependent on a financial bailout from U.S. President Donald Trump, high-profile corruption scandals, and even candidates disqualified for links to drug trafficking — it had feared winning closer to 30% than 40% of the vote.
Milei even celebrated a narrow victory in Buenos Aires province, where just two months ago, in the provincial legislative elections, he had lost to Peronism — the dominant political movement in Argentina founded by former president Juan Domingo Perón that blends nationalism, social justice, and strong state involvement in the economy — by more than 14 points. The far-right also won decisively in the capital and in large provinces such as Córdoba, Mendoza, Entre Ríos, and Santa Fe.
“Today the people decided to leave behind 100 years of decline; today the construction of a great Argentina begins,” Milei said in his first victory speech.
The president thanked his ministers one by one, including those who had already resigned, such as Foreign Minister Gerardo Werthein and Justice Minister Mariano Cuneo Libarona, and then called for unity with the opposition.
“As of December 10, we will have 101 deputies instead of 37,” said Milei. “And in the Senate, we will go from six senators to 20. As of December 10, we will have the most reformist Congress in Argentine history. We are pleased to know that in many provinces, the second-largest force is not Kirchnerism [a left-wing branch of Peronism inspired by former presidents Néstor and Cristina Kirchner that emphasizes social welfare programs and state intervention], but rather the provincial ruling parties, rational forces that know that one plus one equals two. That is why we invited the governors to discuss these agreements.”
Milei took the stage wearing a suit and tie, not his usual black leather jacket — “dressed like a president,” as he often says — and his tone was calm.
The Buenos Aires result explains much of the far-right’s triumph. It is the largest district in the country, with nearly 40% of the national electorate, and overturning the previous defeat to Peronism had not been within even the government’s most optimistic forecasts. La Libertad Avanza (Freedom Advances) hadn’t even been able to include a photo of its candidate, Diego Santilli, on the ballot in that district because Milei’s original choice, José Luis Espert, resigned amid alleged corruption without enough time to reprint them.
The governor of Buenos Aires and president of the opposition party, Axel Kicillof (center), speaks with his candidates after the election results are announced.
+Luciano González (Anadolu/Getty Images)
The government built its campaign around fear of a return of Peronism in its Kirchnerist form. Donald Trump helped fuel that strategy: two weeks ago, he said that the $40 billion he offered to Milei — $20 billion in a currency-swap arrangement and the rest as private credit — depended on a far-right victory. He later toned down his comments, but the mere suggestion caused Argentine bonds to collapse and the peso to depreciate. If the goal was to instill fear among voters, it worked remarkably well.
Peronism in all its forms unexpectedly lost in 18 of Argentina’s 24 provinces, taking 31.7% of the vote, a figure that could rise slightly when smaller allied groups are counted. The result will allow the movement to retain its 99 seats in the lower house come December, but it risks losing its status as the largest minority if La Libertad Avanza adds its 80 deputies to the 24 from Pro, the party of former president Mauricio Macri (2015–2019). In the Senate, Peronism fared worse: it will hold 28 seats, down from 34, while La Libertad Avanza will grow from six to 18 senators.
The big losers were the six governors who unsuccessfully tried to create an alternative to both the far-right and Peronism under the banner of a new coalition called United Provinces. Their goal was to act as power brokers in a polarized Congress, but the eight deputies they won will not be enough. Judging by the results, the votes they sought appear to have gone to the far right.
A war between good and evil
Milei’s strategy of framing the election as a battle between good, represented by himself, and evil, meaning Kirchnerism, proved successful. According to political scientist Juan Negri of Torcuato Di Tella University, polarization led “a large part of the population to prefer voting for Milei over the return of Peronism.”
“Peronism, moreover, doesn’t convey the image of an opposition with a forward-looking plan — it just insists that everything Milei does is wrong. His success in the September elections in Buenos Aires Province seems to have mobilized many anti-Peronist voters,” Negri said.
According to the final count, voter turnout rose by nine points compared to the provincial election in Buenos Aires.
Despite the victory, Milei will now have to go into “recalculating” mode. He does not have a congressional majority and will need to build new internal alliances.
“Milei’s main challenge is to quickly restructure his Cabinet and show that he can build political bridges to ensure governability in the last two years of his term, which will undoubtedly be the most difficult,” says Patricio Giusto, director of the consulting firm Diagnóstico Político. “Secondly, he must stop delaying the redesign of the economic program, which is currently being propped up artificially by an emergency bailout from the U.S. Treasury.”
Supporters of the La Libertad Avanza party celebrate the results while watching Javier Milei's speech on Sunday in Buenos Aires.
+Tobias Skarlovnik (Getty Images)
Milei had framed election day as a fight for political survival, an all-or-nothing gamble unusual for a midterm election that typically serves only as a barometer of public sentiment toward the government of the day. But this is no ordinary political cycle for Argentina. Milei came to power two years ago with barely any representation in Congress, without a single provincial governor of his own, and with a team lacking both technical capacity and political experience. He hoped, therefore, that the ballot box would grant him some breathing room in his daily struggle to govern.
And he achieved that — despite the storms. Since June, corruption allegations have dogged his sister, Karina Milei, and he even had to sacrifice his main congressional candidate in Buenos Aires over links to a businessman imprisoned for drug trafficking. The economy began to falter in step with the scandals. With no international reserves, investors fled Argentine bonds and the peso collapsed. Combined with the economic paralysis brought on by austerity measures, public sentiment shifted sharply. Milei then clung to Donald Trump’s promises of help. And in September, his party was defeated in Buenos Aires. The series of calamities could hardly have been worse.
Now, the government can claim to be back on its feet. A restrained Milei has called for building alliances with what he called the “rational” opposition — a move explicitly requested by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which in April granted Argentina yet another $20 billion loan. It is also a condition coming directly from Washington. For the United States, Argentina is now viewed as an unconditional ally in the region. “I would rather extend a swap line than be shooting at the boats carrying drugs […] coming out of Venezuela,” said Scott Bessent on Sunday.
Attention has also turned to former president Mauricio Macri (2015–2019), a key far-right ally who had distanced himself after tensions with the presidency. Macri voted on Sunday around noon and reminded reporters that Milei “has my phone number” and can call him anytime after Monday. “I’m available to discuss how to ensure governability and contribute to change, but we haven’t talked about ministers. If Milei needs something, he’ll call,” he said at the polling station. Macri’s reference to possible cabinet changes was no coincidence: three current ministers must leave their posts in December to take up seats in Congress.
The rivalry between Milei’s top adviser, Santiago Caputo, and his sister Karina Milei is another burden weighing on his libertarian administration. So far, Milei has kept the dispute — between his chief strategist and the woman who is not only his most powerful official but also his emotional anchor — swept under the rug. But as of Monday, he will no longer be able to postpone addressing it. Each represents competing factions within the government, which at times has been paralyzed by ministers and secretaries fearful of being casualties in the infighting.
In any case, Milei will not be the same after this Monday.
Argentine President Javier Milei (right) and his adviser Santiago Caputo greet their supporters after the polls closed.
+Rodrigo Abd (AP/LaPresse)
Sign up for our weekly newsletter to get more English-language news coverage from EL PAÍS USA Edition
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/ElPais_Milei_midterms_20251027.html.txt b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/ElPais_Milei_midterms_20251027.html.txt
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..135777b736
--- /dev/null
+++ b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/ElPais_Milei_midterms_20251027.html.txt
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+Milei wins Argentina’s midterm elections with more than 40% of the vote | International | EL PAÍS English Skip to content _ _ _ _ Select: - - - España América México Colombia Chile Argentina US Español US English International subscribe H HOLA LOG IN International Mexico China Latest News Elections in Argentina Milei wins Argentina’s midterm elections with more than 40% of the vote The far right bounced back from its defeat two months ago in Buenos Aires against Peronism and scored solid results in major provinces such as Córdoba, Mendoza, Santa Fe, and Entre Ríos Argentina President Javier Milei celebrates the results of the legislative elections on Sunday. Cristina Sille (REUTERS) Federico Rivas Molina Buenos Aires - Oct 27, 2025 - 09:40 CET Share on Whatsapp Share on Facebook Share on Twitter Desplegar Redes Sociales Prefer EL PAÍS on Google Compartir: Whatsapp Facebook Twitter Bluesky Linkedin Copy link Javier Milei won Argentina’s legislative elections on Sunday with 40.8% of the votes. It was an unexpectedly large victory, which the far-right leader hailed as historic. Milei had plenty of reasons to celebrate. After four months of turmoil for the Argentine government — with the economy dependent on a financial bailout from U.S. President Donald Trump , high-profile corruption scandals , and even candidates disqualified for links to drug trafficking — it had feared winning closer to 30% than 40% of the vote. Milei even celebrated a narrow victory in Buenos Aires province, where just two months ago, in the provincial legislative elections, he had lost to Peronism — the dominant political movement in Argentina founded by former president Juan Domingo Perón that blends nationalism, social justice, and strong state involvement in the economy — by more than 14 points. The far-right also won decisively in the capital and in large provinces such as Córdoba, Mendoza, Entre Ríos, and Santa Fe. “Today the people decided to leave behind 100 years of decline; today the construction of a great Argentina begins,” Milei said in his first victory speech. The president thanked his ministers one by one, including those who had already resigned, such as Foreign Minister Gerardo Werthein and Justice Minister Mariano Cuneo Libarona, and then called for unity with the opposition. “As of December 10, we will have 101 deputies instead of 37,” said Milei. “And in the Senate, we will go from six senators to 20. As of December 10, we will have the most reformist Congress in Argentine history. We are pleased to know that in many provinces, the second-largest force is not Kirchnerism [a left-wing branch of Peronism inspired by former presidents Néstor and Cristina Kirchner that emphasizes social welfare programs and state intervention], but rather the provincial ruling parties, rational forces that know that one plus one equals two. That is why we invited the governors to discuss these agreements.” Milei took the stage wearing a suit and tie, not his usual black leather jacket — “dressed like a president,” as he often says — and his tone was calm. The Buenos Aires result explains much of the far-right’s triumph. It is the largest district in the country, with nearly 40% of the national electorate, and overturning the previous defeat to Peronism had not been within even the government’s most optimistic forecasts. La Libertad Avanza (Freedom Advances) hadn’t even been able to include a photo of its candidate, Diego Santilli, on the ballot in that district because Milei’s original choice, José Luis Espert, resigned amid alleged corruption without enough time to reprint them. The governor of Buenos Aires and president of the opposition party, Axel Kicillof (center), speaks with his candidates after the election results are announced. Luciano González (Anadolu/Getty Images) The government built its campaign around fear of a return of Peronism in its Kirchnerist form. Donald Trump helped fuel that strategy: two weeks ago, he said that the $40 billion he offered to Milei — $20 billion in a currency-swap arrangement and the rest as private credit — depended on a far-right victory. He later toned down his comments, but the mere suggestion caused Argentine bonds to collapse and the peso to depreciate . If the goal was to instill fear among voters, it worked remarkably well. Peronism in all its forms unexpectedly lost in 18 of Argentina’s 24 provinces, taking 31.7% of the vote, a figure that could rise slightly when smaller allied groups are counted. The result will allow the movement to retain its 99 seats in the lower house come December, but it risks losing its status as the largest minority if La Libertad Avanza adds its 80 deputies to the 24 from Pro, the party of former president Mauricio Macri (2015–2019). In the Senate, Peronism fared worse: it will hold 28 seats, down from 34, while La Libertad Avanza will grow from six to 18 senators. The big losers were the six governors who unsuccessfully tried to create an alternative to both the far-right and Peronism under the banner of a new coalition called United Provinces. Their goal was to act as power brokers in a polarized Congress, but the eight deputies they won will not be enough. Judging by the results, the votes they sought appear to have gone to the far right. A war between good and evil Milei’s strategy of framing the election as a battle between good, represented by himself, and evil, meaning Kirchnerism, proved successful. According to political scientist Juan Negri of Torcuato Di Tella University, polarization led “a large part of the population to prefer voting for Milei over the return of Peronism.” “Peronism, moreover, doesn’t convey the image of an opposition with a forward-looking plan — it just insists that everything Milei does is wrong. His success in the September elections in Buenos Aires Province seems to have mobilized many anti-Peronist voters,” Negri said. According to the final count, voter turnout rose by nine points compared to the provincial election in Buenos Aires. Despite the victory, Milei will now have to go into “recalculating” mode. He does not have a congressional majority and will need to build new internal alliances. “Milei’s main challenge is to quickly restructure his Cabinet and show that he can build political bridges to ensure governability in the last two years of his term, which will undoubtedly be the most difficult,” says Patricio Giusto, director of the consulting firm Diagnóstico Político. “Secondly, he must stop delaying the redesign of the economic program, which is currently being propped up artificially by an emergency bailout from the U.S. Treasury.” Supporters of the La Libertad Avanza party celebrate the results while watching Javier Milei's speech on Sunday in Buenos Aires. Tobias Skarlovnik (Getty Images) Milei had framed election day as a fight for political survival, an all-or-nothing gamble unusual for a midterm election that typically serves only as a barometer of public sentiment toward the government of the day. But this is no ordinary political cycle for Argentina. Milei came to power two years ago with barely any representation in Congress, without a single provincial governor of his own, and with a team lacking both technical capacity and political experience. He hoped, therefore, that the ballot box would grant him some breathing room in his daily struggle to govern. And he achieved that — despite the storms. Since June, corruption allegations have dogged his sister, Karina Milei, and he even had to sacrifice his main congressional candidate in Buenos Aires over links to a businessman imprisoned for drug trafficking. The economy began to falter in step with the scandals. With no international reserves, investors fled Argentine bonds and the peso collapsed. Combined with the economic paralysis brought on by austerity measures, public sentiment shifted sharply . Milei then clung to Donald Trump’s promises of help. And in September, his party was defeated in Buenos Aires. The series of calamities could hardly have been worse. Now, the government can claim to be back on its feet. A restrained Milei has called for building alliances with what he called the “rational” opposition — a move explicitly requested by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which in April granted Argentina yet another $20 billion loan. It is also a condition coming directly from Washington. For the United States, Argentina is now viewed as an unconditional ally in the region. “I would rather extend a swap line than be shooting at the boats carrying drugs […] coming out of Venezuela,” said Scott Bessent on Sunday. Attention has also turned to former president Mauricio Macri (2015–2019), a key far-right ally who had distanced himself after tensions with the presidency. Macri voted on Sunday around noon and reminded reporters that Milei “has my phone number” and can call him anytime after Monday. “I’m available to discuss how to ensure governability and contribute to change, but we haven’t talked about ministers. If Milei needs something, he’ll call,” he said at the polling station. Macri’s reference to possible cabinet changes was no coincidence: three current ministers must leave their posts in December to take up seats in Congress. The rivalry between Milei’s top adviser, Santiago Caputo, and his sister Karina Milei is another burden weighing on his libertarian administration. So far, Milei has kept the dispute — between his chief strategist and the woman who is not only his most powerful official but also his emotional anchor — swept under the rug. But as of Monday, he will no longer be able to postpone addressing it. Each represents competing factions within the government, which at times has been paralyzed by ministers and secretaries fearful of being casualties in the infighting. In any case, Milei will not be the same after this Monday. Argentine President Javier Milei (right) and his adviser Santiago Caputo greet their supporters after the polls closed. Rodrigo Abd (AP/LaPresse) Sign up for our weekly newsletter to get more English-language news coverage from EL PAÍS USA Edition Sign up to EL PAÍS US Edition bulletin International El País in English on Facebook International El País in English on Twitter More information Argentina’s peso slumps despite Trump’s financial aid for Milei Javier Lorca | Buenos Aires Milei performs at rock concert in front of 15,000 people to save the election campaign Federico Rivas Molina / Mar Centenera | Buenos Aires Archived In Argentina Javier Milei La Libertad Avanza Adheres to More information If you are interested in licensing this content, click here _ Últimas noticias 21:58 How long can a civilization survive before it collapses? ‘Stable utopias are the least likely scenarios’ 21:20 False memories: Why our mind reconstructs the past 20:37 Why are there more top grades at university? ChatGPT is to blame 18:27 Caro Claire Burke, writer: ‘Tradwives were the first sign of a sociopolitical shift in the United States’ Most viewed Steven Soderbergh brings us John Lennon’s Last Interview ‘Sodomized’ gargoyles beside Spain’s world-famous Santiago Cathedral: The ‘aberration’ only the public noticed Underinvestment, crumbling walls and rave parties: Spain doesn’t know what to do with its castles Takeshi Yoro, anatomist: ‘In Japan, we don’t see a robot as a threat: it’s simply another form of presence in the world’ ICE arrests former Kansas mayor who illegally voted for Trump in the 2024 election Recomendaciones EL PAÍS Cursos Centros Francés online Inglés online Italiano online Alemán online Crucigramas & Juegos Cursos cursos Máster en Project Management cursos Máster en Diseño de Interiores cursos Máster Universitario en Dirección Logística cursos Curso Diseño Gráfico Centros cursosonline Máster en Neurociencia cursosonline Máster Universitario en Escritura Creativa cursosonline Máster en Enfermería Forense y Criminal cursosonline Máster Universitario en Terapias Psicológicas de Tercera Generación Francés online cursosingles Mejora tu francés con una Learning Serie. cursosingles Episodios diarios, culturales y personalizados. cursosingles Evaluación de nivel y certificado pedagógico al acabar la formación. cursosingles Prueba 7 días gratis y sin compromiso. Inglés online cursosingles Mejora tu inglés con con una Learning Serie. cursosingles Episodios diarios, culturales y personalizados. cursosingles Evaluación de nivel y certificado pedagógico al acabar la formación. cursosingles Prueba 7 días gratis y sin compromiso. Italiano online cursosingles Mejora tu italiano con una Learning Serie. cursosingles Episodios diarios, culturales y personalizados. cursosingles Evaluación de nivel y certificado pedagógico al acabar la formación. cursosingles Prueba 7 días gratis y sin compromiso. Alemán online cursosingles Mejora tu alemán con una Learning Serie. cursosingles Episodios diarios, culturales y personalizados. cursosingles Evaluación de nivel y certificado pedagógico al acabar la formación. cursosingles Prueba 7 días gratis y sin compromiso. Crucigramas & Juegos juegos Crucigramas minis juegos Crucigramas Tarkus juegos Sudokus mini juegos Sopas de letras Recomendaciones EL PAÍS Cursos Centros Italiano online Francés online Alemán online Crucigramas & Juegos Cursos cursos Máster en Psicología General cursos Máster en IA for Business cursos Máster en Dirección de Recursos Humanos cursos Maestría en Criminología Centros cursosonline DIRECTORIO DE CENTROS DE FORMACIÓN cursosonline MBA & Máster en Finanzas cursosonline MBA en Gestión de Salud cursosonline Licenciatura en Administración de Empresas Turísticas y Sustentabilidad - En línea Italiano online cursosingles Mejora tu italiano con una Learning Serie. cursosingles Episodios diarios, culturales y personalizados. cursosingles Evaluación de nivel y certificado pedagógico al acabar la formación. cursosingles Prueba 7 días gratis y sin compromiso. Francés online cursosingles Mejora tu francés con una Learning Serie. cursosingles Episodios diarios, culturales y personalizados. cursosingles Evaluación de nivel y certificado pedagógico al acabar la formación. cursosingles Prueba 7 días gratis y sin compromiso. Alemán online cursosingles Mejora tu alemán con una Learning Serie. cursosingles Episodios diarios, culturales y personalizados. cursosingles Evaluación de nivel y certificado pedagógico al acabar la formación. cursosingles Prueba 7 días gratis y sin compromiso. Crucigramas & Juegos juegos ¡Disfruta con nuestros Crucigramas para expertos! juegos Palabra secreta juegos Juega a nuestros Sudoku medio y mejora día a día tu nivel juegos Juega a las nuevas Sopas de letras clásicas y temáticas de EL PAÍS _ _ HOLA Subscribe for € 1 My activity My Subscription My personal data My newsletters Rights and de-registration Events and experiences Asistente Vera IA logout Close change contrast: Buscar Select: - - - España América México Colombia Chile Argentina US Español US English If you want to follow all the latest news without any limits, subscribe to EL PAÍS for just €1 the first month SUBSCRIBE NOW International U.S. Economy And Business Science Health Technology Climate People Lifestyle Opinion Culture Sports EPS Latest News Newsletter Follow on: El País in English on Facebook El País in English on Twitter El País in English on Youtube El País in English on Instagram Close
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/GT3_AP_20251027_excerpt.md b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/GT3_AP_20251027_excerpt.md
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..6d7368a157
--- /dev/null
+++ b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/GT3_AP_20251027_excerpt.md
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
+# Excerpt GT3_AP_20251027
+
+Title: Milei triumphs in Argentine midterm elections
+Publisher: AP News
+Published date: 2025-10-27
+URL: https://apnews.com/article/argentina-midterm-election-javier-milei-66d7c03825a7a0f56ce5808ff3ac1df4
+Accessed: 2026-05-21
+HTTP status: 200
+
+```text
+stricts in midterm elections Sunday, clinching a crucial vote of confidence that strengthens his ability to carry out his radical free-market experiment with billions of dollars in backing from the Trump administration. In the election widely seen as a referendum on Milei’s past two years in office, his upstart La Libertad Avanza party scored over 40% of votes compared with 31% for the left-leaning populist opposition movement, known as Peronism, exceeding analysts’ projections. Milei, a key ideological ally of U.S. President Donald Trump , said his party and allied blocs picked up 14 seats in the Senate and 64 in the lower house of Congress on Sunday, bolstering the government’s support in the legislature enough to uphold presidential vetoes and block impeachment efforts. At La Libertad Avanza headquarters late Sunday in downtown Buenos Aires, a beaming Milei hailed the election sweep as a mandate to press forward with his spending cuts and introduce ambitious tax and labor reforms. T
+
+---
+
+ey districts in midterm elections Sunday, clinching a crucial vote of confidence that strengthens his ability to carry out his radical free-market experiment with billions of dollars in backing from the Trump administration. In the election widely seen as a referendum on Milei’s past two years in office, his upstart La Libertad Avanza party scored over 40% of votes compared with 31% for the left-leaning populist opposition movement, known as Peronism, exceeding analysts’ projections. Milei, a key ideological ally of U.S. President Donald Trump , said his party and allied blocs picked up 14 seats in the Senate and 64 in the lower house of Congress on Sunday, bolstering the government’s support in the legislature enough to uphold presidential vetoes and block impeachment efforts. At La Libertad Avanza headquarters late Sunday in downtown Buenos Aires, a beaming Milei hailed the election sweep as a mandate to press forward with his spending cuts and introduce ambitious tax and labor refor
+
+---
+
+ilei won decisive victories in key districts in midterm elections Sunday, clinching a crucial vote of confidence that strengthens his ability to carry out his radical free-market experiment with billions of dollars in backing from the Trump administration. In the election widely seen as a referendum on Milei’s past two years in office, his upstart La Libertad Avanza party scored over 40% of votes compared with 31% for the left-leaning populist opposition movement, known as Peronism, exceeding analysts’ projections. Milei, a key ideological ally of U.S. President Donald Trump , said his party and allied blocs picked up 14 seats in the Senate and 64 in the lower house of Congress on Sunday, bolstering the government’s support in the legislature enough to uphold presidential vetoes and block impeachment efforts. At La Libertad Avanza headquarters late Sunday in downtown Buenos Aires, a beaming Milei hailed the election sweep as a mandate to press forward with his spending cuts and introdu
+
+---
+
+aning populist opposition movement, known as Peronism, exceeding analysts’ projections. Milei, a key ideological ally of U.S. President Donald Trump , said his party and allied blocs picked up 14 seats in the Senate and 64 in the lower house of Congress on Sunday, bolstering the government’s support in the legislature enough to uphold presidential vetoes and block impeachment efforts. At La Libertad Avanza headquarters late Sunday in downtown Buenos Aires, a beaming Milei hailed the election sweep as a mandate to press forward with his spending cuts and introduce ambitious tax and labor reforms. The results also automatically position him as a candidate for reelection in 2027. Related Stories Argentines hunting for source of hantavirus outbreak trap rats in southernmost city 3 MIN READ Argentina’s icy outpost at the end of the world fears the hantavirus will chill tourism 5 MIN READ 13 Argentina’s beef consumption falls to lowest level in 20 years as prices soar 4 MIN READ 16 “The Arge
+
+---
+
+ast two years in office, his upstart La Libertad Avanza party scored over 40% of votes compared with 31% for the left-leaning populist opposition movement, known as Peronism, exceeding analysts’ projections. Milei, a key ideological ally of U.S. President Donald Trump , said his party and allied blocs picked up 14 seats in the Senate and 64 in the lower house of Congress on Sunday, bolstering the government’s support in the legislature enough to uphold presidential vetoes and block impeachment efforts. At La Libertad Avanza headquarters late Sunday in downtown Buenos Aires, a beaming Milei hailed the election sweep as a mandate to press forward with his spending cuts and introduce ambitious tax and labor reforms. The results also automatically position him as a candidate for reelection in 2027. Related Stories Argentines hunting for source of hantavirus outbreak trap rats in southernmost city 3 MIN READ Argentina’s icy outpost at the end of the world fears the hantavirus will chill tou
+
+---
+
+ferendum on Milei’s past two years in office, his upstart La Libertad Avanza party scored over 40% of votes compared with 31% for the left-leaning populist opposition movement, known as Peronism, exceeding analysts’ projections. Milei, a key ideological ally of U.S. President Donald Trump , said his party and allied blocs picked up 14 seats in the Senate and 64 in the lower house of Congress on Sunday, bolstering the government’s support in the legislature enough to uphold presidential vetoes and block impeachment efforts. At La Libertad Avanza headquarters late Sunday in downtown Buenos Aires, a beaming Milei hailed the election sweep as a mandate to press forward with his spending cuts and introduce ambitious tax and labor reforms. The results also automatically position him as a candidate for reelection in 2027. Related Stories Argentines hunting for source of hantavirus outbreak trap rats in southernmost city 3 MIN READ Argentina’s icy outpost at
+```
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/GT4_BATIMES_20251026_excerpt.md b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/GT4_BATIMES_20251026_excerpt.md
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..4e4d93454e
--- /dev/null
+++ b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/GT4_BATIMES_20251026_excerpt.md
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
+# Excerpt GT4_BATIMES_20251026
+
+Title: Decisive win for Milei’s La Libertad Avanza in key midterm election
+Publisher: Buenos Aires Times
+Published date: 2025-10-26
+URL: https://www.batimes.com.ar/news/argentina/decisive-win-for-mileis-la-libertad-avanza-in-key-midterm-election.phtml
+Accessed: 2026-05-21
+HTTP status: 200
+
+```text
+ions. James Grainger Editor-in-Chief, Buenos Aires Times. Share this News President Javier Milei. | AFP President Javier Milei won a decisive victory in Sunday's midterm elections, boosting his flagging reform agenda and jumpstarting the second half of his term in office. Milei's La Libertad Avanza (LLA) rebounded from a series of setbacks to take 40.84 percent of the votes cast for members of the lower house Chamber of Deputies and upper house Senate, according to official results based on 90 percent of votes counted. According to partial results, the opposition Fuerza Patria (Peronist) coalition had around 31.64 percent. In third place was Provincias Unidas, a centrist bloc that seeks to break with polarisation and took around seven percent of the vote. The results hand Milei a strengthened hand in Congress, close to the third it needs in both chambers to shield presidential vetoes from being overturned. However, LLLA will have to forge alliances with other forces to advance larger s
+
+---
+
+Decisive win for Milei’s La Libertad Avanza in key midterm election | Buenos Aires Times Thursday, May 21, 2026 Argentina Economy Latin America World Culture Sports Opinion ARGENTINA | 26-10-2025 22:12 Decisive win for Milei’s La Libertad Avanza in key midterm election Milei's La Libertad Avanza (LLA) rebounded from a series of setbacks to perform well in Sunday's midterm elections. James Grainger Editor-in-Chief, Buenos Aires Times. Share this News President Javier Milei. | AFP President Javier Milei won a decisive victory in Sunday's midterm elections, boosting his flagging reform agenda and jumpstarting the second half of his term in office. Milei's La Libertad Av
+
+---
+
+rtial results, the opposition Fuerza Patria (Peronist) coalition had around 31.64 percent. In third place was Provincias Unidas, a centrist bloc that seeks to break with polarisation and took around seven percent of the vote. The results hand Milei a strengthened hand in Congress, close to the third it needs in both chambers to shield presidential vetoes from being overturned. However, LLLA will have to forge alliances with other forces to advance larger structural reforms. Read more... ‘Diego would defend me,’ says lead suspect in trial over Maradona’s death "God bless Argentina," Milei's spokesman Manuel Adorni wrote on X. As the initial results were released, hundreds of Milei’s supporters gathered outside the Hotel Libertador in Buenos Aires, his party’s headquarters for elections. "I am very happy and excited. I did not expect such a large number," said Facundo Campos, a 38-year-old marketing consultant, as he cheered Milei’s performance. Read more... Economic activity rebounds:
+
+---
+
+Times. Share this News President Javier Milei. | AFP President Javier Milei won a decisive victory in Sunday's midterm elections, boosting his flagging reform agenda and jumpstarting the second half of his term in office. Milei's La Libertad Avanza (LLA) rebounded from a series of setbacks to take 40.84 percent of the votes cast for members of the lower house Chamber of Deputies and upper house Senate, according to official results based on 90 percent of votes counted. According to partial results, the opposition Fuerza Patria (Peronist) coalition had around 31.64 percent. In third place was Provincias Unidas, a centrist bloc that seeks to break with polarisation and took around seven percent of the vote. The results hand Milei a strengthened hand in Congress, close to the third it needs in both chambers to shield presidential vetoes from being overturned. However, LLLA will have to forge alliances with other forces to advance larger structural reforms. Read more... ‘Diego would defend
+
+---
+
+ AFP President Javier Milei won a decisive victory in Sunday's midterm elections, boosting his flagging reform agenda and jumpstarting the second half of his term in office. Milei's La Libertad Avanza (LLA) rebounded from a series of setbacks to take 40.84 percent of the votes cast for members of the lower house Chamber of Deputies and upper house Senate, according to official results based on 90 percent of votes counted. According to partial results, the opposition Fuerza Patria (Peronist) coalition had around 31.64 percent. In third place was Provincias Unidas, a centrist bloc that seeks to break with polarisation and took around seven percent of the vote. The results hand Milei a strengthened hand in Congress, close to the third it needs in both chambers to shield presidential vetoes from being overturned. However, LLLA will have to forge alliances with other forces to advance larger structural reforms. Read more... ‘Diego would defend me,’ says lead suspect in trial over Maradona’s
+
+---
+
+ding to official results based on 90 percent of votes counted. According to partial results, the opposition Fuerza Patria (Peronist) coalition had around 31.64 percent. In third place was Provincias Unidas, a centrist bloc that seeks to break with polarisation and took around seven percent of the vote. The results hand Milei a strengthened hand in Congress, close to the third it needs in both chambers to shield presidential vetoes from being overturned. However, LLLA will have to forge alliances with other forces to advance larger structural reforms. Read more... ‘Diego would defend me,’ says lead suspect in trial over Maradona’s death "God bless Argentina," Milei's spokesman Manuel Adorni wrote on X. As the initial results were released, hundreds of Milei’s supporters gathered outside the Hotel Libertador in Buenos Aires, his party’s headquarters for elections. "I am very happy and excited. I did not expect such a large number," said Facundo Campos, a 38-year-old marketing consultant,
+```
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/GT5_ELPAIS_20251027_excerpt.md b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/GT5_ELPAIS_20251027_excerpt.md
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..e514b8e200
--- /dev/null
+++ b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/GT5_ELPAIS_20251027_excerpt.md
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
+# Excerpt GT5_ELPAIS_20251027
+
+Title: Milei wins Argentina’s midterm elections with more than 40% of the vote
+Publisher: El País English
+Published date: 2025-10-27
+URL: https://english.elpais.com/international/2025-10-27/milei-wins-argentinas-midterm-elections-with-more-than-40-of-the-vote.html
+Accessed: 2026-05-21
+HTTP status: 200
+
+```text
+Milei wins Argentina’s midterm elections with more than 40% of the vote | International | EL PAÍS English Skip to content _ _ _ _ Select: - - - España América México Colombia Chile Argentina US Español US English International subscribe H HOLA LOG IN International Mexico China Latest News Elections in Argentina Milei wins Argentina’s midterm elections with more than 40% of the vote The far right bounced back from its defeat two months ago in Buenos Aires against Peronism and scored solid results in major provinces such as Córdoba, Mendoza, Santa Fe, and Entre Ríos Argentina President Javier Milei celebrates the results of the legislative elections on Sunday. Cristina Sille (REUTERS) Federico Rivas
+
+---
+
+Milei wins Argentina’s midterm elections with more than 40% of the vote | International | EL PAÍS English Skip to content _ _ _ _ Select: - - - España América México Colombia Chile Argentina US Español US English International subscribe H HOLA LOG IN International Mexico China Latest News Elections in Argentina Milei wins Argentina’s midterm elections with more than 40% of the vote The far right bounced back from its defeat two months ago in Buenos Aires against Peronism and scored solid results in major provinces such as Córdoba, Mendoza, Santa Fe, and Entre Ríos Argentina President Javier Milei celebrates the results of the legislative elections on Sunday. Cristina Sille (REUTERS) Fede
+
+---
+
+ jacket — “dressed like a president,” as he often says — and his tone was calm. The Buenos Aires result explains much of the far-right’s triumph. It is the largest district in the country, with nearly 40% of the national electorate, and overturning the previous defeat to Peronism had not been within even the government’s most optimistic forecasts. La Libertad Avanza (Freedom Advances) hadn’t even been able to include a photo of its candidate, Diego Santilli, on the ballot in that district because Milei’s original choice, José Luis Espert, resigned amid alleged corruption without enough time to reprint them. The governor of Buenos Aires and president of the opposition party, Axel Kicillof (center), speaks with his candidates after the election results are announced. Luciano González (Anadolu/Getty Images) The government built its campaign around fear of a return of Peronism in its Kirchnerist form. Donald Trump helped fuel that strategy: two weeks ago, he said that the $40 billion he of
+
+---
+
+pse and the peso to depreciate . If the goal was to instill fear among voters, it worked remarkably well. Peronism in all its forms unexpectedly lost in 18 of Argentina’s 24 provinces, taking 31.7% of the vote, a figure that could rise slightly when smaller allied groups are counted. The result will allow the movement to retain its 99 seats in the lower house come December, but it risks losing its status as the largest minority if La Libertad Avanza adds its 80 deputies to the 24 from Pro, the party of former president Mauricio Macri (2015–2019). In the Senate, Peronism fared worse: it will hold 28 seats, down from 34, while La Libertad Avanza will grow from six to 18 senators. The big losers were the six governors who unsuccessfully tried to create an alternative to both the far-right and Peronism under the banner of a new coalition called United Provinces. Their goal was to act as power brokers in a polarized Congress, but the eight deputies they won will not be enough. Judging by th
+
+---
+
+Milei said in his first victory speech. The president thanked his ministers one by one, including those who had already resigned, such as Foreign Minister Gerardo Werthein and Justice Minister Mariano Cuneo Libarona, and then called for unity with the opposition. “As of December 10, we will have 101 deputies instead of 37,” said Milei. “And in the Senate, we will go from six senators to 20. As of December 10, we will have the most reformist Congress in Argentine history. We are pleased to know that in many provinces, the second-largest force is not Kirchnerism [a left-wing branch of Peronism inspired by former presidents Néstor and Cristina Kirchner that emphasizes social welfare programs and state intervention], but rather the provincial ruling parties, rational forces that know that one plus one equals two. That is why we invited the governors to discuss these agreements.” Milei took the stage wearing a suit and tie, not his usual black leather jacket — “dressed like a president,” as
+
+---
+
+ng those who had already resigned, such as Foreign Minister Gerardo Werthein and Justice Minister Mariano Cuneo Libarona, and then called for unity with the opposition. “As of December 10, we will have 101 deputies instead of 37,” said Milei. “And in the Senate, we will go from six senators to 20. As of December 10, we will have the most reformist Congress in Argentine history. We are pleased to know that in many provinces, the second-largest force is not Kirchnerism [a left-wing branch of Peronism inspired by former presidents Néstor and Cristina Kirchner that emphasizes social welfare programs and state intervention], but rather the provincial ruling parties, rational forces that know that one plus one equals two. That is why we invited the governors to discuss these agreements.” Milei took the stage wearing a suit and tie, not his usual black leather jacket — “dressed like a president,” as he often says — and his tone was calm. The Buenos Aires result explains much of the far-right’
+```
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/GT6_NPR_20251027_excerpt.md b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/GT6_NPR_20251027_excerpt.md
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..bd7ceebb42
--- /dev/null
+++ b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/GT6_NPR_20251027_excerpt.md
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
+# Excerpt GT6_NPR_20251027
+
+Title: Milei triumphs in Argentine midterm elections
+Publisher: NPR
+Published date: 2025-10-27
+URL: https://www.npr.org/2025/10/27/g-s1-95158/milei-triumphs-argentine-midterm-elections
+Accessed: 2026-05-21
+HTTP status: 200
+
+```text
+s ability to carry out his radical free-market experiment with billions of dollars in backing from the Trump administration. The Americas Argentina's President Milei, a Trump ally, faces a reckoning in midterm elections In the election widely seen as a referendum on Milei's past two years in office, his upstart La Libertad Avanza party scored over 40% of votes compared with 31% for the left-leaning populist opposition movement, known as Peronism, exceeding analysts' projections. Milei, a key ideological ally of U.S. President Donald Trump, said his party and allied blocs picked up 14 seats in the Senate and 64 in the lower house of Congress on Sunday, bolstering the government's support in the legislature enough to uphold presidential vetoes and block impeachment efforts. Sponsor Message At La Libertad Avanza headquarters late Sunday in downtown Buenos Aires, a beaming Milei hailed the election sweep as a mandate to press forward with his spending cuts and introduce ambitious tax and l
+
+---
+
+ns his ability to carry out his radical free-market experiment with billions of dollars in backing from the Trump administration. The Americas Argentina's President Milei, a Trump ally, faces a reckoning in midterm elections In the election widely seen as a referendum on Milei's past two years in office, his upstart La Libertad Avanza party scored over 40% of votes compared with 31% for the left-leaning populist opposition movement, known as Peronism, exceeding analysts' projections. Milei, a key ideological ally of U.S. President Donald Trump, said his party and allied blocs picked up 14 seats in the Senate and 64 in the lower house of Congress on Sunday, bolstering the government's support in the legislature enough to uphold presidential vetoes and block impeachment efforts. Sponsor Message At La Libertad Avanza headquarters late Sunday in downtown Buenos Aires, a beaming Milei hailed the election sweep as a mandate to press forward with his spending cuts and introduce ambitious tax
+
+---
+
+ote of confidence that strengthens his ability to carry out his radical free-market experiment with billions of dollars in backing from the Trump administration. The Americas Argentina's President Milei, a Trump ally, faces a reckoning in midterm elections In the election widely seen as a referendum on Milei's past two years in office, his upstart La Libertad Avanza party scored over 40% of votes compared with 31% for the left-leaning populist opposition movement, known as Peronism, exceeding analysts' projections. Milei, a key ideological ally of U.S. President Donald Trump, said his party and allied blocs picked up 14 seats in the Senate and 64 in the lower house of Congress on Sunday, bolstering the government's support in the legislature enough to uphold presidential vetoes and block impeachment efforts. Sponsor Message At La Libertad Avanza headquarters late Sunday in downtown Buenos Aires, a beaming Milei hailed the election sweep as a mandate to press forward with his spending c
+
+---
+
+eaning populist opposition movement, known as Peronism, exceeding analysts' projections. Milei, a key ideological ally of U.S. President Donald Trump, said his party and allied blocs picked up 14 seats in the Senate and 64 in the lower house of Congress on Sunday, bolstering the government's support in the legislature enough to uphold presidential vetoes and block impeachment efforts. Sponsor Message At La Libertad Avanza headquarters late Sunday in downtown Buenos Aires, a beaming Milei hailed the election sweep as a mandate to press forward with his spending cuts and introduce ambitious tax and labor reforms. The results also automatically position him as a candidate for reelection in 2027. "The Argentine people have decided to leave behind 100 years of decadence," Milei exulted as his supporters cheered, referring to a succession of Peronist governments that brought Argentina infamy for its inflationary spirals and sovereign debt defaults. "Today we have passed the turning point. To
+
+---
+
+past two years in office, his upstart La Libertad Avanza party scored over 40% of votes compared with 31% for the left-leaning populist opposition movement, known as Peronism, exceeding analysts' projections. Milei, a key ideological ally of U.S. President Donald Trump, said his party and allied blocs picked up 14 seats in the Senate and 64 in the lower house of Congress on Sunday, bolstering the government's support in the legislature enough to uphold presidential vetoes and block impeachment efforts. Sponsor Message At La Libertad Avanza headquarters late Sunday in downtown Buenos Aires, a beaming Milei hailed the election sweep as a mandate to press forward with his spending cuts and introduce ambitious tax and labor reforms. The results also automatically position him as a candidate for reelection in 2027. "The Argentine people have decided to leave behind 100 years of decadence," Milei exulted as his supporters cheered, referring to a succession of Peronist governments that brough
+
+---
+
+eferendum on Milei's past two years in office, his upstart La Libertad Avanza party scored over 40% of votes compared with 31% for the left-leaning populist opposition movement, known as Peronism, exceeding analysts' projections. Milei, a key ideological ally of U.S. President Donald Trump, said his party and allied blocs picked up 14 seats in the Senate and 64 in the lower house of Congress on Sunday, bolstering the government's support in the legislature enough to uphold presidential vetoes and block impeachment efforts. Sponsor Message At La Libertad Avanza headquarters late Sunday in downtown Buenos Aires, a beaming Milei hailed the election sweep as a mandate to press forward with his spending cuts and introduce ambitious tax and labor reforms. The results also automatically position him as a candidate for reelection in 2027. "The Argentine people have decided to leave behind 100 years of decadence," Milei exulted as his supporters cheered, refer
+```
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/INDEC_IPC_Dic2025.pdf b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/INDEC_IPC_Dic2025.pdf
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..65734be4d5
Binary files /dev/null and b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/INDEC_IPC_Dic2025.pdf differ
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/NPR_Milei_midterms_20251027.html b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/NPR_Milei_midterms_20251027.html
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..00c8f33e8e
--- /dev/null
+++ b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/NPR_Milei_midterms_20251027.html
@@ -0,0 +1,850 @@
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+Milei triumphs in Argentine midterm elections : NPR
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Milei triumphs in Argentine midterm electionsPresident Milei won in key districts in an election widely seen as a referendum on his past two years in office. Trump had appeared to condition billions of dollars in backing on a good showing for Milei.
+
+ Argentina's President Javier Milei celebrates after winning in legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025.
+
+
+ Rodrigo Abd/AP
+
+
+ hide caption
+
+
+
+
+ toggle caption
+
+
+
+
+ Rodrigo Abd/AP
+
+
+
+
+
BUENOS AIRES, Argentina — Argentina's libertarian President Javier Milei won decisive victories in key districts in midterm elections Sunday, clinching a crucial vote of confidence that strengthens his ability to carry out his radical free-market experiment with billions of dollars in backing from the Trump administration.
In the election widely seen as a referendum on Milei's past two years in office, his upstart La Libertad Avanza party scored over 40% of votes compared with 31% for the left-leaning populist opposition movement, known as Peronism, exceeding analysts' projections.
Milei, a key ideological ally of U.S. President Donald Trump, said his party and allied blocs picked up 14 seats in the Senate and 64 in the lower house of Congress on Sunday, bolstering the government's support in the legislature enough to uphold presidential vetoes and block impeachment efforts.
+
At La Libertad Avanza headquarters late Sunday in downtown Buenos Aires, a beaming Milei hailed the election sweep as a mandate to press forward with his spending cuts and introduce ambitious tax and labor reforms. The results also automatically position him as a candidate for reelection in 2027.
"The Argentine people have decided to leave behind 100 years of decadence," Milei exulted as his supporters cheered, referring to a succession of Peronist governments that brought Argentina infamy for its inflationary spirals and sovereign debt defaults.
"Today we have passed the turning point. Today we begin the construction of a great Argentina."
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ A woman holds a banner reading in Spanish, "Trump or homeland," outside former President Cristina Fernandez's home, where she is serving a six-year house arrest sentence for corruption, after polls closed during legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025.
+
+
+ Natacha Pisarenko/AP
+
+
+ hide caption
+
+
+
+
+ toggle caption
+
+
+
+
+ Natacha Pisarenko/AP
+
+
+
+
+
High stakes include $40 billion from the U.S.
Perhaps never has an Argentine legislative election generated so much interest in Washington and Wall Street.
Trump appeared to condition a $20 billion currency swap deal with Argentina's central bank and an additional $20 billion loan from private banks on a good showing for Milei in national midterms, threatening to rescind the assistance for the cash-strapped country in the event of a Peronist victory.
"If he wins we're staying with him, and if he doesn't win, we're gone," Trump said after welcoming Milei to the White House earlier this month.
Those contentious comments added to mounting pressure on Milei, who has scrambled to avert a currency crisis since the Peronist opposition won a landslide victory in Buenos Aires provincial polls last month. Argentina's bonds and currency nosedived as markets sensed that the public was losing patience with Milei's reforms and that the midterm race would be tight.
+
To stem the run on the peso, Milei burned through billions of dollars in foreign exchange reserves to shore up the peso. In an extraordinary move, the U.S. Treasury then came to the rescue, selling dollars to help meet soaring demand for greenbacks and finalizing the credit line.
In the end, the Peronist alliance performed poorly, underscoring how weak the once-dominant movement has become in the Milei era, largely as a result of internal divisions. Markets were widely expected to rally on Monday.
"For foreign investors, this outcome is a relief because it shows that the Milei program can be sustainable," said Marcelo J. García, the America's director for the geopolitical risk consultancy Horizon Engage.
"It leaves the opposition weakened and fragmented, just as it was when Milei won the presidency in December 2023," Garcia added.
The Peronist coalition has struggled to channel rising public anger with Milei's painful austerity measures into a new political strategy after delivering the economic shambles that the chain saw-wielding outsider inherited in late 2023.
Trump, while on his way to Japan on Monday, posted on Truth Social that Milei was "doing a wonderful job" after his party beat expectations in midterm elections.
"Our confidence in him was justified by the People of Argentina," Trump wrote.
Milei responded to Trump's post, calling him "a great friend" of Argentina and thanking him for "trusting the Argentine people."
A changed electoral map
The results showed Milei's young libertarian party gaining support across the country — including in some surprising corners that have long been under the sway of Peronism.
In the closely watched Buenos Aires province, a Peronist stronghold home to nearly 40% of the electorate, La Libertad Avanza eked out a razor-thin victory Sunday. Just last month, the Peronists beat Milei's party there by a whopping 14 percentage points.
Axel Kicillof, governor of Buenos Aires province and the most influential elected official in the Peronist opposition, criticized Trump for putting his thumb on the scale.
He warned that the billions of dollars in financial aid from the U.S. Treasury and investment banks would do nothing to help ordinary Argentines squeezed by Milei's cuts to subsidies or forced out of business by a contracting economy.
"I want to make it clear that neither the U.S. government nor JP Morgan are charitable societies," he said. "If they come to Argentina, it is for nothing other than to take a profit."
With Milei's efforts to deregulate the economy and scrap tariffs winning over Argentina's powerful agriculture sector, La Libertad Avanza also swept Santa Fe, which dominates soybean production and processing, and Córdoba, another powerhouse farming province.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Argentina's President Javier Milei greets supporters after winning in legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025.
+
+
+ Rodrigo Abd/AP
+
+
+ hide caption
+
+
+
+
+ toggle caption
+
+
+
+
+ Rodrigo Abd/AP
+
+
+
+
+
Risks remain for Milei as austerity hits hard
Despite Milei's new momentum, experts caution that the irascible president still needs to court political allies to see through his agenda. Given the limited number of seats up for grabs in this election, it was mathematically impossible for Milei to secure a majority in either house.
"This victory is necessary, but not sufficient to maintain control of Congress," said political consultant Sergio Berensztein. "The government must build a broad and effective coalition with like-minded forces."
Seeking to capitalize quickly on Sunday's results, Milei said he called the country's powerful provincial governors to accelerate agreements on long-term economic reform.
Sunday's outcome will also test public patience for Milei's cost-cutting measures in the coming months. Although Milei's budget cuts have significantly driven down inflation — from an annual high of 289% in April 2024 to 32% last month — the price increases still outpace salaries and pensions.
The electorate appears increasingly polarized between beneficiaries of Milei's reforms and those who say they're struggling to make ends meet like never before.
+
In the financial district of Puerto Madero, luxury car dealerships report sales surging since Milei scrapped import restrictions. Streets bustle with bankers who praise the president for ending a yearslong ban on selling dollars online. Fine restaurants serve Argentine oil executives who gush about his efforts to draw foreign investment.
But at a soup kitchen on the other side of Argentina's Riachuelo River, Epifanía Contreras, 64, said she feels like she's bearing the brunt of the cutbacks.
"You can't live on 290,000 pesos a month with today's inflation," she said, describing how her $200 monthly pension has shriveled in value since Milei cut cost-of-living increases. "The situation is getting worse and worse."
Reflecting widespread public resignation, electoral authorities reported a turnout rate of just under 68% Sunday, among the lowest recorded since the nation's 1983 return to democracy. Voting is compulsory in Argentina.
"I vote out of obligation, nothing more," said Matías Paredes, 50, a real estate broker whose foreign clientele vanished with Milei's strong exchange rate. "None of these figures inspire optimism. We're just choosing the lesser evil."
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/NPR_Milei_midterms_20251027.html.txt b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/NPR_Milei_midterms_20251027.html.txt
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..5cb5151198
--- /dev/null
+++ b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/NPR_Milei_midterms_20251027.html.txt
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+Milei triumphs in Argentine midterm elections : NPR Accessibility links Skip to main content Keyboard shortcuts for audio player Open Navigation Menu --> Newsletters NPR Shop Close Navigation Menu Home News Expand/collapse submenu for News National World Politics Business Health Science Climate Race Culture Expand/collapse submenu for Culture Books Movies Television Pop Culture Food Art & Design Performing Arts Life Kit Gaming Music Expand/collapse submenu for Music Tiny Desk New Music Friday All Songs Considered Music Features Live Sessions Podcasts & Shows Expand/collapse submenu for Podcasts & Shows Daily Morning Edition Weekend Edition Saturday Weekend Edition Sunday All Things Considered Up First Here & Now NPR Politics Podcast Featured Wait Wait...Don't Tell Me! Fresh Air Wild Card with Rachel Martin It's Been a Minute Planet Money Get NPR+ More Podcasts & Shows Search Newsletters NPR Shop Tiny Desk New Music Friday All Songs Considered Music Features Live Sessions About NPR Diversity Support Careers Press Ethics Milei triumphs in Argentine midterm elections President Milei won in key districts in an election widely seen as a referendum on his past two years in office. Trump had appeared to condition billions of dollars in backing on a good showing for Milei. The Americas Milei triumphs in Argentine midterm elections closely watched by Washington Updated October 27, 2025 3:06 AM ET Originally published October 27, 2025 1:07 AM ET By The Associated Press Argentina's President Javier Milei celebrates after winning in legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. Rodrigo Abd/AP hide caption toggle caption Rodrigo Abd/AP BUENOS AIRES, Argentina — Argentina's libertarian President Javier Milei won decisive victories in key districts in midterm elections Sunday, clinching a crucial vote of confidence that strengthens his ability to carry out his radical free-market experiment with billions of dollars in backing from the Trump administration. The Americas Argentina's President Milei, a Trump ally, faces a reckoning in midterm elections In the election widely seen as a referendum on Milei's past two years in office, his upstart La Libertad Avanza party scored over 40% of votes compared with 31% for the left-leaning populist opposition movement, known as Peronism, exceeding analysts' projections. Milei, a key ideological ally of U.S. President Donald Trump, said his party and allied blocs picked up 14 seats in the Senate and 64 in the lower house of Congress on Sunday, bolstering the government's support in the legislature enough to uphold presidential vetoes and block impeachment efforts. Sponsor Message At La Libertad Avanza headquarters late Sunday in downtown Buenos Aires, a beaming Milei hailed the election sweep as a mandate to press forward with his spending cuts and introduce ambitious tax and labor reforms. The results also automatically position him as a candidate for reelection in 2027. "The Argentine people have decided to leave behind 100 years of decadence," Milei exulted as his supporters cheered, referring to a succession of Peronist governments that brought Argentina infamy for its inflationary spirals and sovereign debt defaults. "Today we have passed the turning point. Today we begin the construction of a great Argentina." A woman holds a banner reading in Spanish, "Trump or homeland," outside former President Cristina Fernandez's home, where she is serving a six-year house arrest sentence for corruption, after polls closed during legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. Natacha Pisarenko/AP hide caption toggle caption Natacha Pisarenko/AP High stakes include $40 billion from the U.S. Perhaps never has an Argentine legislative election generated so much interest in Washington and Wall Street. Trump appeared to condition a $20 billion currency swap deal with Argentina's central bank and an additional $20 billion loan from private banks on a good showing for Milei in national midterms, threatening to rescind the assistance for the cash-strapped country in the event of a Peronist victory. "If he wins we're staying with him, and if he doesn't win, we're gone," Trump said after welcoming Milei to the White House earlier this month. Those contentious comments added to mounting pressure on Milei, who has scrambled to avert a currency crisis since the Peronist opposition won a landslide victory in Buenos Aires provincial polls last month. Argentina's bonds and currency nosedived as markets sensed that the public was losing patience with Milei's reforms and that the midterm race would be tight. Sponsor Message To stem the run on the peso, Milei burned through billions of dollars in foreign exchange reserves to shore up the peso. In an extraordinary move, the U.S. Treasury then came to the rescue, selling dollars to help meet soaring demand for greenbacks and finalizing the credit line. In the end, the Peronist alliance performed poorly, underscoring how weak the once-dominant movement has become in the Milei era, largely as a result of internal divisions. Markets were widely expected to rally on Monday. "For foreign investors, this outcome is a relief because it shows that the Milei program can be sustainable," said Marcelo J. García, the America's director for the geopolitical risk consultancy Horizon Engage. "It leaves the opposition weakened and fragmented, just as it was when Milei won the presidency in December 2023," Garcia added. The Peronist coalition has struggled to channel rising public anger with Milei's painful austerity measures into a new political strategy after delivering the economic shambles that the chain saw-wielding outsider inherited in late 2023. Trump, while on his way to Japan on Monday, posted on Truth Social that Milei was "doing a wonderful job" after his party beat expectations in midterm elections. "Our confidence in him was justified by the People of Argentina," Trump wrote. Milei responded to Trump's post, calling him "a great friend" of Argentina and thanking him for "trusting the Argentine people." A changed electoral map The results showed Milei's young libertarian party gaining support across the country — including in some surprising corners that have long been under the sway of Peronism. In the closely watched Buenos Aires province, a Peronist stronghold home to nearly 40% of the electorate, La Libertad Avanza eked out a razor-thin victory Sunday. Just last month, the Peronists beat Milei's party there by a whopping 14 percentage points. Sponsor Message The Americas Javier Milei, a radical libertarian populist, elected president of Argentina Axel Kicillof, governor of Buenos Aires province and the most influential elected official in the Peronist opposition, criticized Trump for putting his thumb on the scale. He warned that the billions of dollars in financial aid from the U.S. Treasury and investment banks would do nothing to help ordinary Argentines squeezed by Milei's cuts to subsidies or forced out of business by a contracting economy. "I want to make it clear that neither the U.S. government nor JP Morgan are charitable societies," he said. "If they come to Argentina, it is for nothing other than to take a profit." With Milei's efforts to deregulate the economy and scrap tariffs winning over Argentina's powerful agriculture sector, La Libertad Avanza also swept Santa Fe, which dominates soybean production and processing, and Córdoba, another powerhouse farming province. Argentina's President Javier Milei greets supporters after winning in legislative midterm elections in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025. Rodrigo Abd/AP hide caption toggle caption Rodrigo Abd/AP Risks remain for Milei as austerity hits hard Despite Milei's new momentum, experts caution that the irascible president still needs to court political allies to see through his agenda. Given the limited number of seats up for grabs in this election, it was mathematically impossible for Milei to secure a majority in either house. "This victory is necessary, but not sufficient to maintain control of Congress," said political consultant Sergio Berensztein. "The government must build a broad and effective coalition with like-minded forces." Seeking to capitalize quickly on Sunday's results, Milei said he called the country's powerful provincial governors to accelerate agreements on long-term economic reform. Sunday's outcome will also test public patience for Milei's cost-cutting measures in the coming months. Although Milei's budget cuts have significantly driven down inflation — from an annual high of 289% in April 2024 to 32% last month — the price increases still outpace salaries and pensions. The electorate appears increasingly polarized between beneficiaries of Milei's reforms and those who say they're struggling to make ends meet like never before. Sponsor Message In the financial district of Puerto Madero, luxury car dealerships report sales surging since Milei scrapped import restrictions. Streets bustle with bankers who praise the president for ending a yearslong ban on selling dollars online. Fine restaurants serve Argentine oil executives who gush about his efforts to draw foreign investment. But at a soup kitchen on the other side of Argentina's Riachuelo River, Epifanía Contreras, 64, said she feels like she's bearing the brunt of the cutbacks. "You can't live on 290,000 pesos a month with today's inflation," she said, describing how her $200 monthly pension has shriveled in value since Milei cut cost-of-living increases. "The situation is getting worse and worse." Reflecting widespread public resignation, electoral authorities reported a turnout rate of just under 68% Sunday, among the lowest recorded since the nation's 1983 return to democracy. Voting is compulsory in Argentina. "I vote out of obligation, nothing more," said Matías Paredes, 50, a real estate broker whose foreign clientele vanished with Milei's strong exchange rate. "None of these figures inspire optimism. We're just choosing the lesser evil." Facebook Flipboard Email Read & Listen Home News Culture Music Podcasts & Shows Connect Newsletters Facebook Instagram Press Public Editor Corrections Transcripts Contact & Help About NPR Overview Diversity NPR Network Accessibility Ethics Finances Get Involved Support Public Radio Sponsor NPR NPR Careers NPR Shop NPR Extra Terms of Use Privacy Your Privacy Choices Text Only Sponsor Message Sponsor Message Become an NPR sponsor
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/Reuters_20251026_access_blocked.html b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/Reuters_20251026_access_blocked.html
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..b3a09ff691
--- /dev/null
+++ b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/Reuters_20251026_access_blocked.html
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+reuters.com
Please enable JS and disable any ad blocker
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/Reuters_20251026_scrapling_DynamicFetcher_fetch.html b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/Reuters_20251026_scrapling_DynamicFetcher_fetch.html
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..e69de29bb2
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/Reuters_20251026_scrapling_DynamicFetcher_fetch.txt b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/Reuters_20251026_scrapling_DynamicFetcher_fetch.txt
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..e69de29bb2
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/Reuters_20251026_scrapling_DynamicFetcher_fetch_meta.json b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/Reuters_20251026_scrapling_DynamicFetcher_fetch_meta.json
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..c017bb606a
--- /dev/null
+++ b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/Reuters_20251026_scrapling_DynamicFetcher_fetch_meta.json
@@ -0,0 +1,20 @@
+{
+ "url": "https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/argentines-vote-high-stakes-test-mileis-libertarian-vision-2025-10-26/",
+ "fetched_at": "2026-05-21T20:51:50.243611",
+ "fetcher": "scrapling.DynamicFetcher.fetch",
+ "kwargs": {
+ "headless": true,
+ "timeout": 60000,
+ "network_idle": true
+ },
+ "status": 401,
+ "error": null,
+ "html_bytes": 0,
+ "text_bytes": 0,
+ "html_sha256": "e3b0c44298fc1c149afbf4c8996fb92427ae41e4649b934ca495991b7852b855",
+ "text_sha256": "e3b0c44298fc1c149afbf4c8996fb92427ae41e4649b934ca495991b7852b855",
+ "contains_expected_terms": false,
+ "contains_result_terms": false,
+ "contains_block_message": false,
+ "text_head": ""
+}
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/Reuters_20251026_scrapling_StealthyFetcher_fetch.html b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/Reuters_20251026_scrapling_StealthyFetcher_fetch.html
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..e69de29bb2
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/Reuters_20251026_scrapling_StealthyFetcher_fetch.txt b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/Reuters_20251026_scrapling_StealthyFetcher_fetch.txt
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..e69de29bb2
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/Reuters_20251026_scrapling_StealthyFetcher_fetch_meta.json b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/Reuters_20251026_scrapling_StealthyFetcher_fetch_meta.json
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..995ea3dc0a
--- /dev/null
+++ b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/Reuters_20251026_scrapling_StealthyFetcher_fetch_meta.json
@@ -0,0 +1,20 @@
+{
+ "url": "https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/argentines-vote-high-stakes-test-mileis-libertarian-vision-2025-10-26/",
+ "fetched_at": "2026-05-21T20:51:47.145156",
+ "fetcher": "scrapling.StealthyFetcher.fetch",
+ "kwargs": {
+ "headless": true,
+ "timeout": 60000,
+ "network_idle": true
+ },
+ "status": 401,
+ "error": null,
+ "html_bytes": 0,
+ "text_bytes": 0,
+ "html_sha256": "e3b0c44298fc1c149afbf4c8996fb92427ae41e4649b934ca495991b7852b855",
+ "text_sha256": "e3b0c44298fc1c149afbf4c8996fb92427ae41e4649b934ca495991b7852b855",
+ "contains_expected_terms": false,
+ "contains_result_terms": false,
+ "contains_block_message": false,
+ "text_head": ""
+}
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/Reuters_20251026_scrapling_static.html b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/Reuters_20251026_scrapling_static.html
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..e69de29bb2
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/Reuters_20251026_scrapling_static.txt b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/Reuters_20251026_scrapling_static.txt
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..e69de29bb2
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/Reuters_20251026_scrapling_static_meta.json b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/Reuters_20251026_scrapling_static_meta.json
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..9c3b225f76
--- /dev/null
+++ b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/answer_key_post_x/sources/Reuters_20251026_scrapling_static_meta.json
@@ -0,0 +1,14 @@
+{
+ "url": "https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/argentines-vote-high-stakes-test-mileis-libertarian-vision-2025-10-26/",
+ "fetched_at": "2026-05-21T20:50:39.192300",
+ "fetcher": "scrapling.Fetcher.get",
+ "status": 401,
+ "reason": "",
+ "html_bytes": 0,
+ "text_bytes": 0,
+ "html_sha256": "e3b0c44298fc1c149afbf4c8996fb92427ae41e4649b934ca495991b7852b855",
+ "text_sha256": "e3b0c44298fc1c149afbf4c8996fb92427ae41e4649b934ca495991b7852b855",
+ "contains_expected_title_terms": false,
+ "contains_block_message": false,
+ "text_head": ""
+}
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/case_card.md b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/case_card.md
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..4b66f66fb7
--- /dev/null
+++ b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/case_card.md
@@ -0,0 +1,15 @@
+# PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1
+
+Dominio: política, macroeconomía y comportamiento electoral argentino.
+
+Fecha de corte x: 2025-01-31.
+
+Horizonte Δ:
+- Electoral: 2025-02-01 a 2025-10-26.
+- Macroeconómico: 2025-02-01 a 2025-12-31.
+
+Pregunta central:
+Usando exclusivamente documentos fechados hasta el 31/01/2025, predecir si La Libertad Avanza consolidará poder legislativo en las elecciones de octubre de 2025, qué rango de voto obtendrá, cómo cerrará la inflación anual y qué tensiones causales persistirán.
+
+Desenlace real:
+Se documenta solo en answer_key_post_x, no en input_pack_pre_x ni prompt_frozen.
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/checkpoints.md b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/checkpoints.md
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..9807818498
--- /dev/null
+++ b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/checkpoints.md
@@ -0,0 +1,137 @@
+# Checkpoints — PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1
+
+## CP-01 — Carpeta creada
+1. Archivos creados/modificados: `README.md`, estructura completa bajo `cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/`.
+2. Comando ejecutado: `python create_pilot_case.py`.
+3. Hash/evidencia: README sha256 `85df0613dbebdc45584b536e933887530736c92064679bc82990cc77ee4766ed`.
+4. Riesgos detectados: ejecución MiroFish aún dependía de CLI no verificado.
+5. Estado: PASS.
+
+## CP-02 — Ficha del caso
+1. Archivos creados/modificados: `case_card.md`.
+2. Comando ejecutado: `python create_pilot_case.py`.
+3. Hash/evidencia: case_card sha256 `afcc21ae06e5d51a4fdb74b1f701d690f5c39cc6fe15cb5a811e8e6d523aea80`.
+4. Riesgos detectados: ninguno; desenlace real solo se referencia como separado en `answer_key_post_x`.
+5. Estado: PASS.
+
+## CP-03 — Configuración MiroFish previa
+1. Archivos creados/modificados: `model_output_raw/run_config.json`, `run_manifest.json`.
+2. Comando ejecutado: `mirofish --help && mirofish run --help`.
+3. Hash/evidencia: run_config sha256 `d66b501908cd91780fac751a859b734cc1291bf288cbccf412f0149730b0e4f9`; evidencia CLI: `mirofish: command not found`.
+4. Riesgos detectados: todos los parámetros runtime quedan marcados como `unsupported_parameter=true` porque el CLI no existe en PATH.
+5. Estado: BLOCKED.
+
+## CP-04 — Fuentes pre-corte guardadas y hasheadas
+1. Archivos creados/modificados: `input_pack_pre_x/manifest.csv`, `input_pack_pre_x/sources/*`, `input_pack_pre_x/excerpts/*`, `input_pack_pre_x/hashes.json`.
+2. Comando ejecutado: `python create_pilot_case.py`.
+3. Hash/evidencia: manifest sha256 `507a8ff2ea9d4e0a7c0387aa4aeadaa3067a56224b044a9d2b309cda17b84e25`; `input_pack_pre_x/hashes.json` contiene hashes por archivo.
+4. Riesgos detectados: algunas fuentes HTML pueden contener boilerplate dinámico del sitio; se preservaron extractos separados para auditoría.
+5. Estado: PASS.
+
+## CP-05 — Seed bundle y escaneo temporal
+1. Archivos creados/modificados: `input_pack_pre_x/seed_bundle.md`, `model_output_raw/artifacts/pre_cutoff_scan.py`, `model_output_raw/artifacts/pre_cutoff_scan.log`.
+2. Comando ejecutado: `python model_output_raw/artifacts/pre_cutoff_scan.py`.
+3. Hash/evidencia: seed_bundle sha256 `f21cc14552fde8c1b0cab41d76ba2878aafd96e1a205c4dcad88c3a6f55a850d`; log: `{'forbidden_matches': [], 'bad_dates': [], 'status': 'PASS'}`.
+4. Riesgos detectados: el escaneo es heurístico; no reemplaza revisión humana de fuentes.
+5. Estado: PASS.
+
+## CP-06 — Prompt congelado
+1. Archivos creados/modificados: `prompt_frozen/prompt.md`, `prompt_frozen/system_constraints.md`, `prompt_frozen/output_schema.json`, `prompt_frozen/prompt_hash.txt`.
+2. Comando ejecutado: `python create_pilot_case.py`.
+3. Hash/evidencia: prompt sha256 `25f80a94cb31a1aacae284c2840991957d937bf4c4d11683efd5ab4285ad7058`.
+4. Riesgos detectados: ninguno; prompt generado antes del intento de corrida.
+5. Estado: PASS.
+
+## CP-07 — Ejecución de MiroFish
+1. Archivos creados/modificados: `model_output_raw/stdout.log`, `model_output_raw/stderr.log`, `model_output_raw/exit_code.txt`, `model_output_raw/mirofish_report_raw.md`, `model_output_raw/verdict_raw.json`.
+2. Comando ejecutado: `mirofish run --files input_pack_pre_x/sources/* input_pack_pre_x/seed_bundle.md --requirement "$(cat prompt_frozen/prompt.md)" --json > model_output_raw/stdout.log 2> model_output_raw/stderr.log`.
+3. Hash/evidencia: exit code `127`; stderr `/usr/bin/bash: line 3: mirofish: command not found`.
+4. Riesgos detectados: no hay output crudo real. El archivo `mirofish_report_raw.md` es registro de bloqueo, no predicción.
+5. Estado: BLOCKED.
+
+## CP-08 — Answer key separado
+1. Archivos creados/modificados: `answer_key_post_x/ground_truth.md`, `answer_key_post_x/source_manifest.csv`, `answer_key_post_x/sources/*`.
+2. Comando ejecutado: `python create_pilot_case.py`.
+3. Hash/evidencia: ground_truth sha256 `b23cc3a111f6cd357d804a1a15f17fe90fa0657737eb1538095eb426ddb74629`.
+4. Riesgos detectados: Reuters bloqueó fetch automatizado con 401; se guardó la página de bloqueo y se documentó que la cifra electoral proviene del dato provisto en el encargo, pendiente de copia licenciada/verificable si se requiere auditoría externa.
+5. Estado: NEEDS_REVIEW.
+
+## CP-09 — Rúbrica 1-5
+1. Archivos creados/modificados: `answer_key_post_x/rubric_1_5.md`.
+2. Comando ejecutado: `python create_pilot_case.py`.
+3. Hash/evidencia: rubric sha256 `6dd7d65898d1659b00eeffc5c10540829c249da37a9c0cfb2b555380600c5f93`.
+4. Riesgos detectados: ninguno.
+5. Estado: PASS.
+
+## CP-10 — Primera evaluación
+1. Archivos creados/modificados: `answer_key_post_x/first_eval.md`.
+2. Comando ejecutado: `python create_pilot_case.py`.
+3. Hash/evidencia: first_eval sha256 `97d12ba29e599d464c95bf165e9251d09b1922cb3735e5162c2b5fa3243cf725`.
+4. Riesgos detectados: evaluación no puntuada porque no existe output crudo real.
+5. Estado: BLOCKED.
+
+## CP-11 — Paquete S2
+1. Archivos creados/modificados: `answer_key_post_x/evaluator_packet.md`, `answer_key_post_x/s2_plan.md`.
+2. Comando ejecutado: `python create_pilot_case.py`.
+3. Hash/evidencia: evaluator_packet sha256 `60c356c21500dc81188704e036afa358e67bb071831f7c2c6d7063ebfdce4be5`; s2_plan sha256 `69451e5a1ad0da0c25725a845f9285260e41aea8c114b7bd4642717975f7fd5e`.
+4. Riesgos detectados: evaluadores no pueden puntuar hasta que exista output crudo real.
+5. Estado: NEEDS_REVIEW.
+
+## Checklist final de aceptación
+- [x] Existe ficha del caso con dominio, pregunta, x, delta y desenlace real.
+- [x] Los documentos input están listados, fechados, guardados y hasheados.
+- [x] Existe prompt congelado con hash.
+- [x] MiroFish fue ejecutado o el bloqueo quedó documentado.
+- [x] La salida cruda quedó guardada como bloqueo, no como predicción.
+- [x] Existe rúbrica 1-5.
+- [x] Existe primera evaluación o plan S2.
+- [x] Ground truth está separado de inputs y output.
+- [x] No hay datos post-corte detectados por escaneo heurístico en input_pack_pre_x.
+- [x] run_manifest.json permite reproducir la corrida o reproducir el bloqueo.
+
+
+## CP-08 addendum — Reuters vía Scrapling
+1. Archivos creados/modificados: `answer_key_post_x/reuters_scrapling_attempt.md`, `model_output_raw/artifacts/scrapling_reuters_fetch.py`, `model_output_raw/artifacts/scrapling_reuters_browser_fetch.py`, logs correspondientes y fuentes vacías de intento Scrapling.
+2. Comando ejecutado: `Scrapling Fetcher.get`, `StealthyFetcher.fetch` y `DynamicFetcher.fetch` contra la URL de Reuters.
+3. Hash/evidencia: reuters_scrapling_attempt sha256 `c1125ad408e623d9eb52a383d440b00fb67d59f60931c3cb9d5736d63606dfab`; logs indican HTTP 401 con cuerpo vacío.
+4. Riesgos detectados: Scrapling no salteó el bloqueo Reuters en este entorno; fuente electoral post-corte aún requiere copia verificable alternativa/licenciada.
+5. Estado: BLOCKED / NEEDS_REVIEW.
+
+
+## CP-08 addendum 2 — Fuentes accesibles equivalentes
+1. Archivos creados/modificados: `answer_key_post_x/accessible_electoral_sources.md`, `answer_key_post_x/ground_truth.md`, `answer_key_post_x/source_manifest.csv`, copias HTML/TXT/extractos de AP, Buenos Aires Times, El País English y NPR en `answer_key_post_x/sources/`.
+2. Comando ejecutado: búsqueda DuckDuckGo Lite + `requests.get()` para fuentes candidatas; extracción local de snippets.
+3. Hash/evidencia: accessible_electoral_sources sha256 `5e70551c919a247f9550179c8625b3693362890c91d6be031ce7081da9b1eab6`; ground_truth sha256 `4a9483677c45d7b5abc382b6c91c7f5ae9717a34623f6a547e9a79371d6fbf81`.
+4. Riesgos detectados: Buenos Aires Times reporta cifra con 90% contado; AP/NPR/El País corroboran “más de 40%” y fortalecimiento legislativo. Para cifra oficial final exacta, agregar fuente electoral oficial si se requiere máxima precisión.
+5. Estado: PASS.
+
+
+## Option 3 addendum — Auditoría de paquete y fortalecimiento de answer key
+1. Archivos creados/modificados: `answer_key_post_x/quality_audit_pre_run.md`, `answer_key_post_x/rubric_1_5.md`, `answer_key_post_x/ground_truth.md`, `answer_key_post_x/accessible_electoral_sources.md`, `answer_key_post_x/source_manifest.csv`, `answer_key_post_x/sources/DINE_resultados_2025/*`, `model_output_raw/artifacts/official_election_source_fetch.py`.
+2. Comando ejecutado: `python model_output_raw/artifacts/pre_cutoff_scan.py`; `python model_output_raw/artifacts/official_election_source_fetch.py`.
+3. Hash/evidencia: quality_audit sha256 `63771cb0645bdee8cb9c1e3fd97243c4cf16a4ffe7b5055c5ac118ad52f22722`; official_api_summary sha256 `feab502b4ac2b95992fc660fc6fa537e111cae433f1d5b53c53f0107be392019`; ground_truth sha256 `fbc79175aaedc953225fa6196fa6a21a602c2d2493c6fc2b903c542c0b3cf160`; rubric sha256 `54f2db2860908885832ce555de9149d328831f6c8c25783b8cf2321818d1508f`.
+4. Riesgos detectados: API oficial computada para Diputados arroja 40.6556% para nombres que contienen Libertad Avanza; Buenos Aires Times reporta 40.84% con 90% contado y alcance combinado. Se documentó rango recomendado 40–41% para no sobreajustar decimales.
+5. Estado: PASS.
+
+
+## Option 2 — Adapted current-repo runner
+1. Archivos creados/modificados: `backend/scripts/run_case_pilot_arg_2025_q1.py`, `package.json`, `backend/requirements-oasis.txt`, `model_output_raw/adapted_run_config.json`, `model_output_raw/artifacts/adapted_repo_runner.md`, `model_output_raw/artifacts/adapted_input_packet.md`, `model_output_raw/stdout.log`, `model_output_raw/stderr.log`, `model_output_raw/exit_code.txt`, `model_output_raw/mirofish_report_raw.md`, `model_output_raw/verdict_raw.json`.
+2. Comando ejecutado: `python backend/scripts/run_case_pilot_arg_2025_q1.py --case-dir cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1 > cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/model_output_raw/stdout.log 2> cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/model_output_raw/stderr.log`; verificación: `python -m py_compile backend/scripts/run_case_pilot_arg_2025_q1.py`.
+3. Hash/evidencia: adapted runner sha256 `06e37784444f2850d9ae2ca608c37782bd4c925cb1f16104ba1f7545faefa587`; adapted_run_config sha256 `bb22451ad6ef46ff0f4a4a3443c2246458bcd8162822aa9d68d00400b170e225`; adapted_input_packet sha256 `5bb3455b683faa5d762c660f6928642bc384974b88d019b864346c0b18560b48`; stdout sha256 `654205b47a7187acae74c60ccd801960804f41098970f723e5dd1e75953bc78f`; verdict sha256 `ae2ba0703cf6aa6b57f0db8928ce321597a1ad29c5c10db5e6be6efcec5e3cfe`.
+4. Riesgos detectados: el repo actual no expone CLI `mirofish`; la corrida adaptada no ejecuta OASIS/Zep/Graphiti, sino un fallback LLM directo con input local. Además falta `LLM_API_KEY`, por lo que no hay output crudo real todavía. Se detectó y mitigó parcialmente un conflicto de dependencias: `graphiti-core==0.28.2` requiere `neo4j>=5.26.0`, mientras `camel-oasis==0.2.5` fija `neo4j==5.23.0`; OASIS queda documentado como entorno separado en `backend/requirements-oasis.txt`.
+5. Estado: BLOCKED por falta de `LLM_API_KEY`; runner adaptado listo para reintento reproducible.
+
+
+## CP-07/CP-10 — Adapted Gemini run completed
+1. Archivos creados/modificados: `model_output_raw/mirofish_report_raw.md`, `model_output_raw/verdict_raw.json`, `model_output_raw/stdout.log`, `model_output_raw/stderr.log`, `model_output_raw/exit_code.txt`, `model_output_raw/adapted_run_config.json`, `model_output_raw/artifacts/adapted_run_1_raw.md`, `model_output_raw/artifacts/adapted_run_2_raw.md`, `model_output_raw/artifacts/adapted_run_3_raw.md`, `answer_key_post_x/first_eval.md`, `run_manifest.json`, `model_output_raw/artifacts/adapted_repo_runner.md`.
+2. Comando ejecutado: adapted runner via Gemini OpenAI-compatible endpoint. The API key was passed only as an environment variable and is not recorded in repo files. Requested model `gemini-2.0-flash-lite` returned HTTP 404; fallback `gemini-2.5-flash-lite` completed.
+3. Hash/evidencia: raw report sha256 `117279591956754bdf3f178e60c1847bd5c9d77a6cb777a39053c027e2250635`; verdict sha256 `dc33db72537acd16f8f7151bd9e81a992aee81e46b31546bc1ab93ac39567925`; run1 sha256 `5bd828723eb5c6ccf9d2c2c1631a6cc36bc2ca06814299dda6e014fb6bca6ee4`; run2 sha256 `2196d2f25d3d22b2e21446a609e6d7f1e7d5c37e30d1c9276dbc616d5a232bf5`; run3 sha256 `77aeb3ca561bd231de23ff778d0eae43c6ef7dfcec95816678bf9f04ee313f5c`; first_eval sha256 `5a592ad80bca5b7e0aa56ab6b21313d7f5806dda2f426b1a38d5ad36097cbc20`.
+4. Riesgos detectados: esta es corrida adaptada, no CLI `mirofish` ni OASIS/Zep/Graphiti. Gemini no acepta el parámetro HTTP `seed`, por lo que se registra el seed como intención de auditoría pero no como garantía de determinismo del proveedor. `gemini-2.0-flash-lite` no estuvo disponible para esta cuenta; se usó `gemini-2.5-flash-lite`.
+5. Estado: PASS para corrida adaptada; NEEDS_REVIEW si se exige equivalencia estricta con MiroFish CLI/OASIS.
+
+## CP-12 — Real MiroFish/OASIS round-1 attempt
+1. Archivos creados/modificados: `model_output_raw/real_mirofish_round_1/run_config.json`, `stdout.log`, `stderr.log`, `mirofish_report_raw.md`, `verdict_raw.json`, `deviation_report.md`, `run_hashes.json`, `artifacts/oasis_twitter_minimal_sim/*`, `artifacts/db_export/*`, `run_manifest.json`, `model_output_raw/run_hashes.json`.
+2. Comando ejecutado: `backend/.venv/bin/python backend/scripts/run_twitter_simulation.py --config cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/model_output_raw/real_mirofish_round_1/artifacts/oasis_twitter_minimal_sim/simulation_config.json --max-rounds 1 --no-wait`. La API key se pasó solo por variable de entorno del proceso y no se escribió a archivos.
+3. Hash/evidencia: real run_config sha256 `fc7087d6912cb04f059f1d203585d5b04432785f217bd5d45a6874c6292a8efa`; verdict sha256 `8804f9e5e82410368ba34d07a94b2194799e209bff3f017296f4a88758e28011`; raw report sha256 `61a1db4a80142d0940dd0c8172f3b44db5c60056435b9fecfa4e204b90741c2f`; stdout sha256 `51a71f2fc6e8abb2109fedc2c5904871423d240a29a3e2f67d1cc0a386ef36fc`; SQLite db sha256 `8cd8052be0fc9149964e814e05f8e196af3ec0190434b6931b94a3ce3b9d5e33`.
+4. Riesgos detectados: no se usó CLI `mirofish run` porque no existe en PATH; se usó el script OASIS nativo del backend. No se usó Zep/Graphiti ni report agent para mantener memoria persistente/RAG externos apagados. Gemini no recibe `seed` HTTP.
+5. Estado: PASS. Rondas/épocas MiroFish completadas: 1. Agentes reales activos: 2. Escaneo temporal: PASS. Escaneo secretos en artefactos: PASS.
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/input_pack_pre_x/README.md b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/input_pack_pre_x/README.md
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..562a011425
--- /dev/null
+++ b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/input_pack_pre_x/README.md
@@ -0,0 +1,72 @@
+# Input Pack Pre-X — S1 MiroFish
+
+Case ID: PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1
+Cutoff exacto: 2025-01-31 23:59 Argentina local time.
+
+## Regla de exclusión post-corte
+
+Este directorio puede ser leído por MiroFish S1. Por lo tanto, contiene únicamente fuentes publicadas en o antes del 31/01/2025. No debe contener ground truth ni fuentes posteriores. Todo material post-corte pertenece a `answer_key_post_x/` y queda fuera del input.
+
+## Archivos incluidos
+
+Core:
+- sources/MACRO_01_BBVA_Argentina_Economic_Outlook_Dec2024.pdf
+- sources/MONETARY_01_BCRA_Crawling_Peg_1pct_20250116.html
+- sources/MACRO_02_INDEC_IPC_Diciembre_2024.pdf
+- sources/MACRO_03_BCRA_REM_Diciembre_2024.pdf
+- sources/FISCAL_01_MECON_Cierre_Fiscal_2024.html
+- sources/GEO_01_IMF_ExPost_Evaluation_202501.pdf
+- sources/POL_01_AmericasQuarterly_Argentina_2025_Snapshot.html
+- sources/POLL_01_CB_Consultora_Diciembre_2024.pdf
+- sources/SOCIAL_01_UCA_ODSA_Informe_Subsistencia_20241205.pdf
+- sources/INST_01_Diputados_Veto_Ley_Jubilatoria_20240911.html
+
+Supporting:
+- sources/INST_02_Chequeado_Veto_Jubilatorio_Conteo_20240911.html
+- sources/MONETARY_02_BCRA_Informe_Monetario_Diciembre_2024.pdf
+- sources/MACRO_04_WorldBank_GEP_Jan2025_LAC.pdf
+
+Generated audit files:
+- manifest.csv
+- hashes.json
+- seed_bundle.md
+- README.md
+- fetch_log.json
+
+## Fuentes reemplazadas/endurecidas
+
+- SOCIAL_01: reemplazado el fallback periodístico de Primera Fuente por PDF oficial UCA/Observatorio de la Deuda Social Argentina, `OBSERVATORIO-INF_SUBSISTENCIA_WEB.pdf`, publicado el 05/12/2024.
+- INST_01: reemplazada la fuente Diagonales por fuente oficial de Cámara de Diputados del 11/09/2024 sobre el veto jubilatorio.
+- INST_02: agregado Chequeado como supporting para corroborar conteo 153 a favor de insistir, 87 en contra y 8 abstenciones.
+
+## Fuentes excluidas del input
+
+- BA Times approval/jobs: excluida porque la página figura como 8 de julio de 2025.
+- BCRA REM enero 2025: excluido porque fue publicado el 06/02/2025.
+- INDEC IPC enero 2025: excluido porque fue publicado en febrero 2025.
+- Resultados legislativos 2025 / Wikipedia live / crónicas post-elección: ground truth directo.
+- Informes BBVA/IMF/BCRA posteriores al 31/01/2025: post-corte.
+- Primera Fuente/UCA fallback: excluida porque fue reemplazada por PDF oficial UCA.
+- Diagonales veto 87: excluida porque fue reemplazada por fuente oficial Diputados y supporting Chequeado.
+- Landing pages dinámicas de BCRA, FMI, World Bank o Wikipedia live: riesgo de actualización post-corte.
+
+## Comandos usados para descargar/verificar
+
+Las descargas y verificaciones fueron ejecutadas desde Python con `urllib.request` y hashes SHA256 con `hashlib.sha256`. Script usado para endurecer SOCIAL_01/INST_01:
+
+```bash
+python /tmp/harden_s1_social_inst.py
+```
+
+Ver `fetch_log.json` para URLs, HTTP status, content-type, bytes y destino local. Ver `hashes.json` para SHA256 de cada archivo local.
+
+No se debe permitir que MiroFish acceda a URLs live durante S1; las fuentes quedan congeladas como archivos locales.
+
+## Estado final
+
+LISTO PARA S1.
+
+SOCIAL_01 e INST_01 ya no dependen de fallbacks periodísticos débiles:
+1. SOCIAL_01 usa PDF oficial UCA/ODSA.
+2. INST_01 usa fuente oficial de Diputados.
+3. INST_02 queda como supporting independiente para el conteo exacto.
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/input_pack_pre_x/fetch_log.json b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/input_pack_pre_x/fetch_log.json
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..999c887e42
--- /dev/null
+++ b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/input_pack_pre_x/fetch_log.json
@@ -0,0 +1,102 @@
+[
+ {
+ "id": "SOCIAL_01",
+ "method": "download",
+ "url": "https://wadmin.uca.edu.ar/public/ckeditor/Observatorio%20Deuda%20Social/Presentaciones/2024/OBSERVATORIO-INF_SUBSISTENCIA_WEB.pdf",
+ "dest": "sources/SOCIAL_01_UCA_ODSA_Informe_Subsistencia_20241205.pdf",
+ "status": "ok",
+ "http_status": 200,
+ "content_type": "application/pdf",
+ "bytes": 1050122
+ },
+ {
+ "id": "INST_01",
+ "method": "download",
+ "url": "https://www.diputados.gob.ar/prensa/noticia/LA-CAMARA-DE-DIPUTADOS-RESPALDO-EL-VETO-DEL-PODER-EJECUTIVO-A-LA-LEY-JUBILATORIA/",
+ "dest": "sources/INST_01_Diputados_Veto_Ley_Jubilatoria_20240911.html",
+ "status": "ok",
+ "http_status": 200,
+ "content_type": "text/html;charset=UTF-8",
+ "bytes": 30953
+ },
+ {
+ "id": "INST_02",
+ "method": "download",
+ "url": "https://chequeado.com/el-explicador/diputados-trata-el-veto-de-javier-milei-a-la-ley-de-movilidad-jubilatoria-que-puede-pasar-en-el-congreso/",
+ "dest": "sources/INST_02_Chequeado_Veto_Jubilatorio_Conteo_20240911.html",
+ "status": "ok",
+ "http_status": 200,
+ "content_type": "text/html; charset=UTF-8",
+ "bytes": 93464
+ },
+ {
+ "id": "MACRO_01",
+ "method": "existing_verified",
+ "dest": "sources/MACRO_01_BBVA_Argentina_Economic_Outlook_Dec2024.pdf",
+ "status": "ok",
+ "bytes": 1283883
+ },
+ {
+ "id": "MONETARY_01",
+ "method": "existing_verified",
+ "dest": "sources/MONETARY_01_BCRA_Crawling_Peg_1pct_20250116.html",
+ "status": "ok",
+ "bytes": 69916
+ },
+ {
+ "id": "MACRO_02",
+ "method": "existing_verified",
+ "dest": "sources/MACRO_02_INDEC_IPC_Diciembre_2024.pdf",
+ "status": "ok",
+ "bytes": 933033
+ },
+ {
+ "id": "MACRO_03",
+ "method": "existing_verified",
+ "dest": "sources/MACRO_03_BCRA_REM_Diciembre_2024.pdf",
+ "status": "ok",
+ "bytes": 3634776
+ },
+ {
+ "id": "FISCAL_01",
+ "method": "existing_verified",
+ "dest": "sources/FISCAL_01_MECON_Cierre_Fiscal_2024.html",
+ "status": "ok",
+ "bytes": 34042
+ },
+ {
+ "id": "GEO_01",
+ "method": "existing_verified",
+ "dest": "sources/GEO_01_IMF_ExPost_Evaluation_202501.pdf",
+ "status": "ok",
+ "bytes": 4539939
+ },
+ {
+ "id": "POL_01",
+ "method": "existing_verified",
+ "dest": "sources/POL_01_AmericasQuarterly_Argentina_2025_Snapshot.html",
+ "status": "ok",
+ "bytes": 161378
+ },
+ {
+ "id": "POLL_01",
+ "method": "existing_verified",
+ "dest": "sources/POLL_01_CB_Consultora_Diciembre_2024.pdf",
+ "status": "ok",
+ "bytes": 6420191
+ },
+ {
+ "id": "MONETARY_02",
+ "method": "existing_verified",
+ "dest": "sources/MONETARY_02_BCRA_Informe_Monetario_Diciembre_2024.pdf",
+ "status": "ok",
+ "bytes": 2284708
+ },
+ {
+ "id": "MACRO_04",
+ "method": "existing_verified",
+ "dest": "sources/MACRO_04_WorldBank_GEP_Jan2025_LAC.pdf",
+ "status": "ok",
+ "bytes": 377223
+ }
+]
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/input_pack_pre_x/hashes.json b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/input_pack_pre_x/hashes.json
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..565c68cfd8
--- /dev/null
+++ b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/input_pack_pre_x/hashes.json
@@ -0,0 +1,19 @@
+{
+ "README.md": "80241a5aa081447ca6d1765fb036aafae41841193bb7eea025b3e4b86c106c48",
+ "fetch_log.json": "56673ade697bb00d1105d0f60fb8d88bdf67718ddd267c45478bd283f5e89866",
+ "manifest.csv": "8d4da31a3df15ddcfa1a664353b55640164b0522b4a5d2b75db365215c39adb3",
+ "seed_bundle.md": "88338609cc9453b7abc2ea12b0e818f19c78b0d79df17be1c215ef09f599b498",
+ "sources/FISCAL_01_MECON_Cierre_Fiscal_2024.html": "a676606321790970da37829b21cf7cb3a42d5fa7467bd6fd91b36a2ed2074c44",
+ "sources/GEO_01_IMF_ExPost_Evaluation_202501.pdf": "504be57fd4e5467b98d268f2d6ba50bb2079768f999d7c101e0569f9d92df724",
+ "sources/INST_01_Diputados_Veto_Ley_Jubilatoria_20240911.html": "bdd7e84fef97414011a13005e92a66608fa4cf530329bb75092ef932881b36d7",
+ "sources/INST_02_Chequeado_Veto_Jubilatorio_Conteo_20240911.html": "c67fb19bb3677de23c8baae75398e3cd6f8dafc3b7222fb86592b5bb52d7c0e5",
+ "sources/MACRO_01_BBVA_Argentina_Economic_Outlook_Dec2024.pdf": "d8d2efc188ee342187b97e3c7bc3ea344a4da8818515d1c6256543e083cef063",
+ "sources/MACRO_02_INDEC_IPC_Diciembre_2024.pdf": "ea4848cd58a41fa1eab54b45ab60b75d431f54ca73e37027f2410506be8d7e67",
+ "sources/MACRO_03_BCRA_REM_Diciembre_2024.pdf": "fe9e2e0746680240c9c591636f78c725b6219abe7b288bad2fe8f4979724f762",
+ "sources/MACRO_04_WorldBank_GEP_Jan2025_LAC.pdf": "df74b9eea5cb1a62cfa5e7c670e56366b9f12575bddafc85d39dec002fb9f036",
+ "sources/MONETARY_01_BCRA_Crawling_Peg_1pct_20250116.html": "b95b98c1dbcdd225ca2915bad121fb52ae06a85be3d9a3cb052ee04e2a8dc933",
+ "sources/MONETARY_02_BCRA_Informe_Monetario_Diciembre_2024.pdf": "488847eb4333927f21d5c655eb840d0b4d34419d4fb08a828fb2e2001b600824",
+ "sources/POLL_01_CB_Consultora_Diciembre_2024.pdf": "5a7b09a83889f591643c84cf7665c544cf533b6d798672a1c40567cccd95577e",
+ "sources/POL_01_AmericasQuarterly_Argentina_2025_Snapshot.html": "1888ad65080bde8a9304368d3f7195f7c6c36c9f46b001b1e6f9a252717a52c9",
+ "sources/SOCIAL_01_UCA_ODSA_Informe_Subsistencia_20241205.pdf": "b83f4fc961ed44179a45703d832a2e4e803f13f3e2fd5f119164474c07132409"
+}
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/input_pack_pre_x/hashes.old.json b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/input_pack_pre_x/hashes.old.json
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..341c2dabfb
--- /dev/null
+++ b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/input_pack_pre_x/hashes.old.json
@@ -0,0 +1,70 @@
+{
+ "README.md": {
+ "bytes": 3285,
+ "sha256": "80241a5aa081447ca6d1765fb036aafae41841193bb7eea025b3e4b86c106c48"
+ },
+ "fetch_log.json": {
+ "bytes": 2908,
+ "sha256": "56673ade697bb00d1105d0f60fb8d88bdf67718ddd267c45478bd283f5e89866"
+ },
+ "manifest.csv": {
+ "bytes": 9827,
+ "sha256": "8d4da31a3df15ddcfa1a664353b55640164b0522b4a5d2b75db365215c39adb3"
+ },
+ "seed_bundle.md": {
+ "bytes": 6430,
+ "sha256": "88338609cc9453b7abc2ea12b0e818f19c78b0d79df17be1c215ef09f599b498"
+ },
+ "sources/FISCAL_01_MECON_Cierre_Fiscal_2024.html": {
+ "bytes": 34042,
+ "sha256": "a676606321790970da37829b21cf7cb3a42d5fa7467bd6fd91b36a2ed2074c44"
+ },
+ "sources/GEO_01_IMF_ExPost_Evaluation_202501.pdf": {
+ "bytes": 4539939,
+ "sha256": "504be57fd4e5467b98d268f2d6ba50bb2079768f999d7c101e0569f9d92df724"
+ },
+ "sources/INST_01_Diputados_Veto_Ley_Jubilatoria_20240911.html": {
+ "bytes": 30953,
+ "sha256": "bdd7e84fef97414011a13005e92a66608fa4cf530329bb75092ef932881b36d7"
+ },
+ "sources/INST_02_Chequeado_Veto_Jubilatorio_Conteo_20240911.html": {
+ "bytes": 93464,
+ "sha256": "c67fb19bb3677de23c8baae75398e3cd6f8dafc3b7222fb86592b5bb52d7c0e5"
+ },
+ "sources/MACRO_01_BBVA_Argentina_Economic_Outlook_Dec2024.pdf": {
+ "bytes": 1283883,
+ "sha256": "d8d2efc188ee342187b97e3c7bc3ea344a4da8818515d1c6256543e083cef063"
+ },
+ "sources/MACRO_02_INDEC_IPC_Diciembre_2024.pdf": {
+ "bytes": 933033,
+ "sha256": "ea4848cd58a41fa1eab54b45ab60b75d431f54ca73e37027f2410506be8d7e67"
+ },
+ "sources/MACRO_03_BCRA_REM_Diciembre_2024.pdf": {
+ "bytes": 3634776,
+ "sha256": "fe9e2e0746680240c9c591636f78c725b6219abe7b288bad2fe8f4979724f762"
+ },
+ "sources/MACRO_04_WorldBank_GEP_Jan2025_LAC.pdf": {
+ "bytes": 377223,
+ "sha256": "df74b9eea5cb1a62cfa5e7c670e56366b9f12575bddafc85d39dec002fb9f036"
+ },
+ "sources/MONETARY_01_BCRA_Crawling_Peg_1pct_20250116.html": {
+ "bytes": 69916,
+ "sha256": "b95b98c1dbcdd225ca2915bad121fb52ae06a85be3d9a3cb052ee04e2a8dc933"
+ },
+ "sources/MONETARY_02_BCRA_Informe_Monetario_Diciembre_2024.pdf": {
+ "bytes": 2284708,
+ "sha256": "488847eb4333927f21d5c655eb840d0b4d34419d4fb08a828fb2e2001b600824"
+ },
+ "sources/POLL_01_CB_Consultora_Diciembre_2024.pdf": {
+ "bytes": 6420191,
+ "sha256": "5a7b09a83889f591643c84cf7665c544cf533b6d798672a1c40567cccd95577e"
+ },
+ "sources/POL_01_AmericasQuarterly_Argentina_2025_Snapshot.html": {
+ "bytes": 161378,
+ "sha256": "1888ad65080bde8a9304368d3f7195f7c6c36c9f46b001b1e6f9a252717a52c9"
+ },
+ "sources/SOCIAL_01_UCA_ODSA_Informe_Subsistencia_20241205.pdf": {
+ "bytes": 1050122,
+ "sha256": "b83f4fc961ed44179a45703d832a2e4e803f13f3e2fd5f119164474c07132409"
+ }
+}
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/input_pack_pre_x/manifest.csv b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/input_pack_pre_x/manifest.csv
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..01dfac386a
--- /dev/null
+++ b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/input_pack_pre_x/manifest.csv
@@ -0,0 +1,21 @@
+id,titulo,institucion,fecha,url,archivo_local,categoria,core_supporting_excluded,motivo,variables_extraibles,riesgo_de_leakage
+MACRO_01,"Argentina Economic Outlook, December 2024 / 4Q24",BBVA Research,2024-12,https://www.bbvaresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Argentina-Economic-Outlook-4Q24.pdf,sources/MACRO_01_BBVA_Argentina_Economic_Outlook_Dec2024.pdf,macro,core,"Fuente privada core para escenario macro 2025: inflación, PBI, fiscal, tipo de cambio, reservas y sostenibilidad del ajuste.",crecimiento 2025; inflación 2025; tipo de cambio esperado; resultado fiscal; riesgos de reservas/cepo; límites políticos del ajuste,"BAJO: PDF estático pre-corte; usar copia local, no página índice."
+MONETARY_01,The BCRA sets the crawling peg at 1% per month,Banco Central de la República Argentina,2025-01-16,https://www.bcra.gob.ar/en/news/el-bcra-establece-un-nuevo-sendero-de-desplazamiento-de-1-mensual-para-el-tipo-de-cambio/,sources/MONETARY_01_BCRA_Crawling_Peg_1pct_20250116.html,monetary,core,"Confirma oficialmente que el crawling peg baja a 1% mensual desde el 01/02/2025; clave para inflación, competitividad y reservas.",crawling peg 1% mensual; fecha de implementación 2025-02-01; ancla cambiaria nominal,MEDIO-BAJO: HTML oficial; guardado local para evitar cambios posteriores.
+MACRO_02,"Índice de Precios al Consumidor, diciembre 2024",INDEC,2025-01-14,https://www.indec.gob.ar/uploads/informesdeprensa/ipc_01_2517A7124C09.pdf,sources/MACRO_02_INDEC_IPC_Diciembre_2024.pdf,macro,core,Último dato oficial de inflación disponible antes del corte.,"IPC diciembre 2024 2,7% mensual; inflación acumulada 2024 117,8%; punto de partida de trayectoria 2025",BAJO: PDF oficial pre-corte.
+MACRO_03,"Relevamiento de Expectativas de Mercado, diciembre 2024",BCRA,2025-01-07,https://www.bcra.gob.ar/archivos/Pdfs/PublicacionesEstadisticas/relevamiento-expectativas-mercado-dic-2024.pdf,sources/MACRO_03_BCRA_REM_Diciembre_2024.pdf,macro,core,"Expectativas de mercado inmediatamente antes del corte; Reuters reportó desde este REM crecimiento esperado de 4,5% e inflación de 25,9% para 2025.","PBI 2025 esperado 4,5%; inflación 2025 esperada 25,9%; tipo de cambio esperado; expectativas fiscales/monetarias",BAJO: PDF directo; no usar landing dinámica REM.
+FISCAL_01,El Sector Público Nacional registró superávit financiero anual por primera vez desde el 2010,Ministerio de Economía / Argentina.gob.ar,2025-01-17,https://www.argentina.gob.ar/noticias/el-sector-publico-nacional-registro-superavit-financiero-anual-por-primera-vez-desde-el,sources/FISCAL_01_MECON_Cierre_Fiscal_2024.html,institutional/macro,core,Fuente oficial para fiscal anchor y cierre fiscal 2024.,superávit primario 2024; superávit financiero 2024; consolidación fiscal; narrativa déficit cero,MEDIO-BAJO: página oficial HTML; guardada local para congelar contenido.
+GEO_01,Argentina: Ex-post Evaluation of Exceptional Access under the 2022 Extended Fund Facility,IMF,2025-01-10,https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/cr/2025/english/1argea2025001-print-pdf.pdf,sources/GEO_01_IMF_ExPost_Evaluation_202501.pdf,geopolitical/institutional,core,"Restricciones externas, FMI, cepo, reservas, tasas reales y sostenibilidad social.",riesgo de reservas; desmontaje de controles cambiarios; tasa real positiva; costo social del ajuste; condicionalidad externa,BAJO: PDF estático del FMI publicado antes del corte.
+POL_01,Argentina: A 2025 Snapshot,Americas Quarterly,2025-01-14,https://americasquarterly.org/article/argentina-a-2025-snapshot/,sources/POL_01_AmericasQuarterly_Argentina_2025_Snapshot.html,electoral/geopolitical,core,"Framing político-electoral, midterms, aprobación, FMI y geopolítica. No es fuente macro primaria.",approval baseline; midterm stakes; deuda/FMI; US-China positioning; political risk framing,"MEDIO: HTML de medio; guardado local, requiere no usar live URL en corrida."
+POLL_01,"Encuesta Nacional Argentina, diciembre 2024 / 1º año de gobierno",CB Consultora,2024-12-06,https://media.letrap.com.ar/adjuntos/349/documentos/100/145/0100145829.pdf,sources/POLL_01_CB_Consultora_Diciembre_2024.pdf,social/electoral,core,Opinión pública pre-corte; deterioro percibido de economía familiar vs aprobación resistente.,evaluación de economía del hogar; imagen/aprobación; polarización; tolerancia social al ajuste,BAJO-MEDIO: PDF de encuesta pre-corte; conservar copia local.
+SOCIAL_01,Deudas sociales en la Argentina del siglo XXI (2004-2024): informe de subsistencia / pobreza,"Observatorio de la Deuda Social Argentina, UCA",2024-12-05,https://wadmin.uca.edu.ar/public/ckeditor/Observatorio%20Deuda%20Social/Presentaciones/2024/OBSERVATORIO-INF_SUBSISTENCIA_WEB.pdf,sources/SOCIAL_01_UCA_ODSA_Informe_Subsistencia_20241205.pdf,social,core,"Reemplaza el fallback periodístico con fuente oficial UCA/ODSA. Aporta pobreza 49,9% en 3°T2024 y estrés de subsistencia como contrapeso social al escenario macro.","pobreza 49,9% 3°T2024; indigencia; privaciones monetarias y no monetarias; capacidad de ahorro; insuficiencia de ingresos; estrés social",BAJO: PDF oficial UCA/ODSA pre-corte guardado localmente.
+INST_01,La Cámara de Diputados respaldó el veto del Poder Ejecutivo a la ley jubilatoria,Honorable Cámara de Diputados de la Nación,2024-09-11,https://www.diputados.gob.ar/prensa/noticia/LA-CAMARA-DE-DIPUTADOS-RESPALDO-EL-VETO-DEL-PODER-EJECUTIVO-A-LA-LEY-JUBILATORIA/,sources/INST_01_Diputados_Veto_Ley_Jubilatoria_20240911.html,institutional,core,Reemplaza Diagonales con fuente oficial de Diputados para el veto shield: la Cámara no alcanzó dos tercios para rechazar el veto presidencial.,153 votos positivos para insistir; 87 negativos; 8 abstenciones; umbral de dos tercios; veto presidencial sostenido,BAJO-MEDIO: HTML oficial de Diputados pre-corte guardado localmente; no usar URL live durante S1.
+INST_02,Diputados confirmó el veto de Javier Milei a la ley de movilidad jubilatoria,Chequeado,2024-09-11,https://chequeado.com/el-explicador/diputados-trata-el-veto-de-javier-milei-a-la-ley-de-movilidad-jubilatoria-que-puede-pasar-en-el-congreso/,sources/INST_02_Chequeado_Veto_Jubilatorio_Conteo_20240911.html,institutional,supporting,"Fuente periodística especializada para corroborar y explicar el conteo exacto 153/87/8 y la regla de dos tercios. Complementa a INST_01, no lo reemplaza.",153 a favor de insistir; 87 en contra; 8 abstenciones; dos tercios; veto firme por un año,"MEDIO-BAJO: HTML pre-corte de medio de verificación; supporting, no fuente neutral principal."
+MONETARY_02,"Informe Monetario Mensual, diciembre 2024",BCRA,2025-01,https://www.bcra.gob.ar/archivos/Pdfs/PublicacionesEstadisticas/informe-monetario-mensual-dic-24.pdf,sources/MONETARY_02_BCRA_Informe_Monetario_Diciembre_2024.pdf,monetary,supporting,"Amplía base monetaria: liquidez, pasivos remunerados, crédito privado, tasas y transmisión monetaria.",base monetaria; pasivos remunerados/LEFI; crédito privado; tasa; liquidez bancaria,BAJO: PDF directo oficial pre-corte.
+MACRO_04,"Global Economic Prospects, January 2025 — Latin America and Caribbean",World Bank,2025-01,https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/c50bc3c87bc2666b9e5fa6699b0b2849-0050012025/related/GEP-Jan-2025-Analysis-LAC.pdf,sources/MACRO_04_WorldBank_GEP_Jan2025_LAC.pdf,macro,supporting,"Contexto externo/regional; proyecta rebote de Argentina de 5% en 2025 y 4,7% en 2026.","Argentina GDP forecast 2025 5%; Argentina GDP forecast 2026 4,7%; contexto regional; demanda externa/commodities",BAJO: PDF estático World Bank; no usar dashboards dinámicos.
+EXCLUDED_01,Milei approval/jobs BA Times page,Buenos Aires Times,2025-07-08,https://www.batimes.com.ar/news/argentina/mileis-approval-rating-holds-as-argentines-worry-more-about-jobs.phtml,,social/electoral,excluded,Post-corte: la página figura como 8 de julio de 2025; no entra al input.,N/A,ALTO: publicación post-31/01/2025.
+EXCLUDED_02,BCRA REM enero 2025,BCRA,2025-02-06,https://www.bcra.gob.ar/archivos/Pdfs/PublicacionesEstadisticas/resumen-relevamiento-expectativas-mercado-ene-2025.pdf,,macro,excluded,Publicado después del corte aunque releve expectativas de enero; queda como answer key/validación.,N/A,ALTO: reporting-lag trap post-corte.
+EXCLUDED_03,INDEC IPC enero 2025,INDEC,2025-02-13,https://www.indec.gob.ar/uploads/informesdeprensa/ipc_02_252AD960A6A4.pdf,,macro,excluded,Publicado después del corte; revela inflación de enero.,N/A,ALTO: ground truth post-corte.
+EXCLUDED_04,Resultados legislativos Argentina 2025 / Wikipedia live / crónicas post-elección,varias,post-2025-10,,,electoral,excluded,Revela resultado electoral que MiroFish debe pronosticar.,N/A,CRÍTICO: ground truth directo.
+EXCLUDED_05,BBVA/IMF/BCRA informes posteriores al 31/01/2025,varias,post-2025-01-31,,,macro/geopolitical/monetary,excluded,Informes posteriores al corte contienen actualizaciones o outcomes.,N/A,ALTO: contaminación temporal.
+EXCLUDED_06,"Para la UCA, la pobreza es de 49,9% y uno de cada tres hogares recortó gastos",Primera Fuente / UCA ODSA citado,2024-12-05,https://www.primerafuente.com.ar/noticias/120649/para-uca-pobreza-499porciento-uno-cada-tres-hogares-recorto-gastos-medicamentos-servicios,,social,excluded,Fuente fallback periodística reemplazada por PDF oficial UCA/ODSA SOCIAL_01.,N/A,"BAJO temporalmente, pero excluida por ser secundaria."
+EXCLUDED_07,Milei llamó héroes a los 87 diputados que apoyaron su veto a los jubilados,Diagonales,2024-09-11,https://www.diagonales.com/nacion/milei-llamo--heroes--a-los-87-diputados-que-apoyaron-su-veto-a-los-jubilados_a66e209c1276490f312f8533f,,institutional,excluded,Fuente periodística débil reemplazada por fuente oficial Diputados INST_01 y supporting Chequeado INST_02.,N/A,"BAJO temporalmente, pero excluida por ser secundaria y menos neutral."
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/input_pack_pre_x/seed_bundle.md b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/input_pack_pre_x/seed_bundle.md
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..0dcdbe91c1
--- /dev/null
+++ b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/input_pack_pre_x/seed_bundle.md
@@ -0,0 +1,51 @@
+# Seed Bundle S1 — Argentina 2025 pre-cutoff
+
+Case ID: PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1
+Cutoff exacto: 2025-01-31 23:59 Argentina local time.
+Regla: este bundle resume solo fuentes publicadas hasta el cutoff. No incluye resultados electorales 2025, IPC enero 2025, REM enero 2025 ni informes macro posteriores al 31/01/2025.
+
+## 1. Macro / inflación
+
+Argentina entra a 2025 con una desinflación marcada pero todavía frágil. El último dato oficial disponible antes del corte es el IPC de diciembre de 2024: 2,7% mensual y 117,8% acumulado anual [MACRO_02]. Ese dato funciona como punto de partida de la simulación; cualquier inflación de enero 2025 o posterior queda fuera del input.
+
+Las expectativas privadas e institucionales pre-corte muestran recuperación real de actividad y fuerte desaceleración inflacionaria, pero con incertidumbre por tipo de cambio, reservas y salida del cepo. BBVA proyecta un escenario de recuperación y desinflación condicionado por la continuidad del ajuste y por el manejo cambiario [MACRO_01]. El REM diciembre 2024, publicado el 07/01/2025, fija una expectativa de mercado de crecimiento 2025 alrededor de 4,5% e inflación 2025 alrededor de 25,9% [MACRO_03]. El World Bank, como fuente externa de apoyo, proyecta rebote de Argentina de 5% en 2025 y 4,7% en 2026 dentro del contexto regional [MACRO_04].
+
+## 2. Régimen monetario / BCRA
+
+La fuente monetaria central es el anuncio oficial del BCRA del 16/01/2025: desde el 01/02/2025 el crawling peg del tipo de cambio oficial pasa a 1% mensual [MONETARY_01]. Esta decisión refuerza el tipo de cambio como ancla nominal y debe modelarse como trade-off: ayuda a la desinflación de transables, pero profundiza el riesgo de apreciación real y presión sobre exportadores/reservas.
+
+El Informe Monetario Mensual de diciembre 2024 agrega la foto de liquidez, base monetaria, pasivos remunerados/LEFI, crédito privado y condiciones bancarias al cierre de 2024 [MONETARY_02]. Estos datos permiten inicializar agentes financieros y de BCRA sin recurrir a informes posteriores.
+
+## 3. Fiscal
+
+El cierre fiscal 2024 es un pilar de la narrativa y de la restricción de política. MECON informó el 17/01/2025 que el Sector Público Nacional registró superávit financiero anual por primera vez desde 2010 [FISCAL_01]. Para la simulación, esto configura el “fiscal anchor”: el Ejecutivo tiene credibilidad de estabilización, pero también queda políticamente obligado a defender el déficit cero.
+
+La relación causal clave es: superávit fiscal -> confianza de mercado y desinflación; pero ajuste de gasto -> estrés social, provincial y legislativo. Por eso el fiscal anchor debe interactuar con pobreza, Congreso y opinión pública, no tratarse como variable puramente técnica [FISCAL_01; SOCIAL_01; INST_01].
+
+## 4. Política / Congreso
+
+La elección legislativa de octubre 2025 es, desde la perspectiva pre-corte, un test de gobernabilidad para Milei y LLA. Americas Quarterly en enero 2025 enmarca la elección como punto de validación política de la agenda económica, con implicancias para FMI, geopolítica y capacidad legislativa [POL_01].
+
+El Congreso debe modelarse como restricción institucional severa. La fuente principal para el episodio del veto jubilatorio ahora es oficial: Diputados informó el 11/09/2024 que la votación para insistir contra el veto obtuvo 153 votos positivos, 87 negativos y 8 abstenciones, sin alcanzar los dos tercios requeridos [INST_01]. Chequeado se conserva como supporting para corroborar el conteo exacto y explicar la regla de dos tercios [INST_02]. Para MiroFish, esto inicializa un “veto shield”: el Ejecutivo puede sostener vetos si conserva una coalición de bloqueo de al menos un tercio de los presentes, pero esa coalición depende de aliados y negociaciones.
+
+## 5. Opinión pública / social
+
+El seed pack separa aprobación electoral de bienestar material. CB Consultora diciembre 2024 aporta una medición pre-corte de opinión pública y percepción de economía del hogar [POLL_01]. La hipótesis a testear por MiroFish es si la aprobación resistente y el rechazo a alternativas previas compensan el deterioro material.
+
+La fuente social principal fue endurecida: SOCIAL_01 ahora es PDF oficial de UCA/Observatorio de la Deuda Social Argentina, publicado el 05/12/2024, no una nota periodística. El informe registra pobreza de 49,9% en 3°T2024 y otros indicadores de subsistencia/privaciones, funcionando como contrapeso social al optimismo macro [SOCIAL_01]. Para S1, su función es inicializar estrés social, riesgo de protesta, sensibilidad al empleo/salarios y oportunidad opositora.
+
+## 6. FMI / geopolítica
+
+El IMF Ex-post Evaluation publicado el 10/01/2025 fija el marco externo: sostenibilidad del programa, necesidad de normalizar el régimen cambiario, reservas, tasas reales y costo social del ajuste [GEO_01]. Americas Quarterly complementa con el contexto geopolítico de alineamiento con Estados Unidos, relación pragmática con China y relevancia del FMI para la estabilización [POL_01].
+
+Para MiroFish, el FMI no debe modelarse como simple financista, sino como agente/constraint: su apoyo puede aliviar reservas, pero sus condiciones empujan hacia salida del cepo, mayor flexibilidad cambiaria y consistencia monetaria [GEO_01].
+
+## 7. Riesgos persistentes a simular
+
+- Inflación: tendencia descendente pre-corte, pero vulnerable a corrección cambiaria y tarifas [MACRO_01; MACRO_02; MACRO_03].
+- Cepo / reservas: la salida del cepo es necesaria para inversión y normalización, pero puede generar devaluación e inflación si reservas son insuficientes [GEO_01; MONETARY_01].
+- Crawling peg: el 1% mensual ancla expectativas, pero puede apreciar el tipo de cambio real y afectar exportadores [MONETARY_01].
+- Fiscal anchor: superávit fortalece credibilidad, pero limita margen para responder a pobreza, provincias y Congreso [FISCAL_01; SOCIAL_01; INST_01].
+- Congreso: el Ejecutivo depende de sostener más de un tercio para proteger vetos y evitar leyes que rompan el equilibrio fiscal [INST_01; INST_02].
+- Opinión pública: aprobación y tolerancia al ajuste pueden sostenerse si la desinflación y recuperación se perciben, pero pobreza/empleo/salarios pueden erosionarla [POLL_01; SOCIAL_01].
+- Geopolítica/FMI: apoyo externo puede ser decisivo para reservas y confianza, pero también aumenta restricciones de política [GEO_01; POL_01].
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/input_pack_pre_x/sources/FISCAL_01_MECON_Cierre_Fiscal_2024.html b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/input_pack_pre_x/sources/FISCAL_01_MECON_Cierre_Fiscal_2024.html
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..b51365ef68
--- /dev/null
+++ b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/input_pack_pre_x/sources/FISCAL_01_MECON_Cierre_Fiscal_2024.html
@@ -0,0 +1,387 @@
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ El Sector Público Nacional registró superávit financiero anual por primera vez desde el 2010. El resultado fiscal del 2024 fue de $ 1.764.786 millones (0,3% del PBI) | Argentina.gob.ar
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
El Sector Público Nacional registró superávit financiero anual por primera vez desde el 2010. El resultado fiscal del 2024 fue de $ 1.764.786 millones (0,3% del PBI)
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
El Sector Público Nacional registró superávit financiero anual por primera vez desde el 2010. El resultado fiscal del 2024 fue de $ 1.764.786 millones (0,3% del PBI)
Durante diciembre, el Sector Público Nacional (SPN) registró un resultado financiero por -$1.557.305 millones, producto de un resultado primario de -$1.301.046 millones y de un pago de intereses de deuda pública neto de los intra-sector público por $256.260 millones. Vale resaltar que este resultado es menor en términos nominales al de diciembre del 2023.
+
Esto redundó en un superávit financiero para el año 2024 de $ 1.764.786 millones (0,3% del PBI) y uno primario de $ 10.405.810 millones (1,8% del PBI). Así, se consolida el ancla fiscal del programa de gobierno, que permanecerá durante el 2025.
+
Vale destacar que el resultado fiscal del 2024 se obtuvo con una deuda flotante en línea con la del cierre del 2023 en términos nominales, esto es, con una reducción real de la misma del 52%. Además de la racionalización del gasto de la Administración Nacional que llevó al primer resultado positivo de la misma previo a transferencias al resto de los sectores desde el 2014, destaca el saneamiento realizado en las empresas públicas, que permitió registrar el primer mes de superávit operativo de las mismas desde el 2009, y la disolución de 19 fondos fiduciarios para eficientizar el uso de los recursos públicos.
+
En detalle, los ingresos totales del SPN en el último mes del año alcanzaron los $9.871.121 millones (+133,5% i.a.). En lo que respecta a la recaudación tributaria, la misma presentó un crecimiento de +135,1% i.a. explicado principalmente por la variación de los ingresos correspondientes a las Ganancias (+218,7% i.a.), al Impuesto a los Débitos y Créditos (+180,7% i.a.), y a los Aportes y Contribuciones a la Seguridad Social (+166,6% i.a.).
+
Por su parte, cabe mencionar la recaudación correspondiente al IVA neto de reintegros (+123,3% i.a.), a los Derechos de Importación (+137% i.a.) y a los Derechos de Exportación (+45,8%).
+
Durante el mes de diciembre, los gastos primarios del Sector Público Nacional alcanzaron los $ 11.172.167 millones (+79,7% i.a.). En lo que refiere a las prestaciones de la Seguridad Social, las mismas ascendieron a $7.212.371 millones (+132,2% i.a.), producto del impacto de la fórmula de movilidad aprobada por la Ley N° 27.609 y el DNU 274/24, que adecuó la mencionada fórmula para que los aumentos jubilatorios acompañen la evolución de la inflación y otorgó una compensación adicional de 12,5% para todos los pasivos bajo ese régimen. Por otra parte, las remuneraciones alcanzaron los $1.634.415 millones producto de los incrementos otorgados en el marco de las políticas salariales acordadas.
+
Las transferencias corrientes alcanzaron los $3.255.195,5 millones. Aquellas correspondientes al sector privado presentaron un crecimiento de $ 769.547,3 millones. Entre ellas, destacan las inherentes a las prestaciones sociales, las prestaciones del PAMI, el impacto de la movilidad en las asignaciones familiares (donde la Asignación Universal para Protección Social fue incrementada un 100% en enero mediante Decreto 117/2023), los programas de Política Alimentaria (con un incremento en la Tarjeta Alimentar del 138% entre enero y diciembre, y un incremento en la cantidad de beneficiarios, según las Resoluciones 3/2023, 11/2024, 111/2024, 181/2024 y 636/2024), y el Plan 1.000 días (incrementado un 500% mediante Resolución 1.062/2024).
+
Por su parte, las transferencias corrientes al sector público realizadas en octubre alcanzaron los $ 787.986 millones (+12,4% i.a.).
+
Por último, los subsidios económicos presentaron un incremento de $141.635 millones (20,2% i.a.), donde los energéticos variaron $113.910 millones (21,0% i.a.), mientras que los destinados al transporte lo hicieron en $49.432 millones (+36,7% i.a.).
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
Descargas
+
+
+
Sector público base caja diciembre 2024 (xlsx,29.0 Kb)
+ LA CÁMARA DE DIPUTADOS RESPALDÓ EL VETO DEL PODER EJECUTIVO A LA LEY JUBILATORIA
+
+ En el marco de una sesión solicitada por los bloques de la UCR, Encuentro Federal y la Coalición Cívica, la Cámara baja no alcanzó los dos tercios de los votos de los presentes para rechazar el veto a la Ley.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
La Cámara de Diputados de la Nación debatió en sesión especial el proyecto de ley que establece modificaciones al régimen jurídico aplicable a la Movilidad Previsional y a la Seguridad Social. La votación obtuvo 153 votos positivos, 87 negativos y 8 abstenciones.
+
La norma que había sido sancionada por el Congreso, obtuvo el veto presidencial y fue devuelta al Poder Legislativo. Según el procedimiento de formación y sanción de Leyes, se requieren dos tercios de los votos para rechazar el veto presidencial a la ley e insistir con el proyecto sancionado por el Congreso.
+
En su discurso, la diputada Vanina Biasi (Partido obrero - Frente de izquierda y de trabajadores -Unidad), cuestionó el veto presidencial al especificar que “esta ley incide poco en el equilibrio fiscal”.
+
Por su parte, el diputado Sergio Acevedo (Por Santa Cruz) consideró que “la valoración de que hay que hacer frente a la situación de los jubilados merece un esfuerzo de toda sociedad”.
+
Luego, el diputado Juan Brügge (Encuentro Federal) anticipó “el rechazo de su bloque al veto presidencial”, al argumentar que “entendemos que no está fundado del punto de vista legal, de los hechos y tampoco de la realidad que pretende mostrar el Presidente a través de los números que nos tiene acostumbrado y que muchas veces no tienen un correlato con aspectos técnicos"; mientras que su par Juan Manuel López (Coalición Cívica) expresó: “No van a ganar ustedes, no vamos a perder nosotros; van a perder los jubilados que no encuentran una solución”.
+
En tanto, el diputado Agustín Domingo (Innovación Federal) adelantó que “la posición de su bloque va a ser la abstención”, y en ese sentido, advirtió: “No es cierto que la fórmula previsional que aprobamos en este Congreso, por una amplia mayoría, sea inviable fiscalmente”. “Muy por el contrario, lo que esa fórmula evitaba es lo que ahora es inevitable, una catarata de juicios por no respetar el empalme de una fórmula a otra”, alegó.
+
La diputada de la UCR Gabriela Brower de Koning aseveró: “Esta ley no solamente era justa y necesaria, sino que también era presupuestariamente responsable”. Y agregó: "Siempre defendimos y tuvimos nuestro objetivo de generar una propuesta que sea fiscalmente responsable, pagable”.
+
A su turno, el jefe de la bancada del Pro, Cristian Ritondo, pidió “sensatez y responsabilidad a la hora de legislar”, al sostener que “esta ley produciría, para este año, un déficit que seis mil millones de dólares, y quince mil para el año siguiente”.
+
El legislador indicó que “se trató una ley donde no había un informe de la Oficina de Presupuesto del Congreso”, y en esa línea, criticó: “Lo que están planteando en los hechos es financiar con emisión, con deuda que no podemos tomar y todos sabemos que más emisión es más inflación; y más inflación es más pobreza para todos los argentinos, especialmente para los jubilados y los que menos ganas”.
+
Desde Unión por la Patria, Germán Martínez (UxP) anunció que “venimos a rechazar el veto”, al tiempo que su par del mismo bloque Leandro Santoro recalcó: "Las jubilaciones no son planes sociales, los jubilados son acreedores del Estado".
+
Desde La Libertad Avanza, José Luis Espert, argumentó en favor del veto presidencial: “Este proyecto de ley cuesta 10 mil millones de dólares”. En el mismo sentido, Juliana Santillán definió que es “una decisión valiente y crucial del presidente Javier Milei". Y agregó: "Con el veto Milei frenó una imprudencia fiscal, la economía necesita previsibilidad, el déficit cero no se negocia". Por último, el presidente del bloque, Gabriel Bornoroni, concluyó que “están utilizando a los jubilados porque quieren desestabilizar al gobierno” e instó a sus pares a fortalecer el sistema previsional a través de la sanción de una reforma laboral.
+
Al comienzo de la reunión, el pleno aceptó la renuncia del diputado radical Pedro Galimberti, y, en su lugar asumió Nancy Ballejos (Pro), quien prestó juramento ante la Cámara baja.
La Cámara baja no pudo revertir el veto del Presidente a la reforma de la fórmula jubilatoria, que había sido aprobada por el Congreso con impulso de la oposición.
+
En la sesión especial de hoy, 153 diputados votaron a favor de insistir con el proyecto de ley, mientras que 87 votaron en contra y 8 se abstuvieron. De esta manera, no se alcanzaron los 2 tercios necesarios.
+
Con el resultado de la sesión de hoy, se mantiene el veto de Milei y el Parlamento no podrá insistir con el tema por al menos un año.
+
+
+
+
+
+
La Cámara de Diputados no pudo revertir el veto del presidente Javier Milei (La Libertad Avanza) a la reforma de la fórmula jubilatoria, que había sido aprobada por el Congreso con impulso de la oposición. En la sesión especial de hoy, 153 diputados votaron en favor de insistir con el proyecto de ley, mientras que 87 votaron en contra y 8 se abstuvieron.
+
La Constitución habilita al Congreso a insistir con leyes que son rechazadas por el Poder Ejecutivo, pero para eso se requieren algunas condiciones distintas a la de una sanción normal. La oposición necesitaba el voto de 2 tercios de los presentes, pero no lo logró.
+
En esta nota, las claves de la sesión de hoy.
+
+
En qué consistía el proyecto de ley de movilidad jubilatoria
+
La iniciativa mantenía el esquema de actualización por inflación aprobado a través de un Decreto de Necesidad y Urgencia (DNU) firmado por Milei, pero le sumaba un incremento adicional del 8,1% a los haberes de abril (el Gobierno había otorgado un incremento del 12,5%), con el objetivo de completar el 20,6% de inflación correspondiente a enero.
+
Además, disponía que el haber mínimo no podía ser inferior a 1,09 canastas básicas por adulto (que publica mensualmente el INDEC y define la línea de pobreza), y proponía que la fórmula de movilidad no dependiera sólo de la inflación sino que también tuviera en cuenta los salarios. Es decir, en caso de que la inflación quedara por debajo del de Remuneración Imponible Promedio de los Trabajadores Estatales (RIPTE), los jubilados recibirían el 50% de esa diferencia a través de un ajuste semestral.
+
En qué condiciones fue aprobado por el Congreso
+
La media sanción de la nueva fórmula de movilidad jubilatoria en Diputados fue aprobada por 160 votos afirmativos, una mayoría holgada que reunió a Unión por la Patria (UP), la Unión Cívica Radical (UCR), Hacemos Coalición Federal, Innovación Federal, la Coalición Cívica (CC), Por Santa Cruz y el Movimiento Popular Neuquino (MPN).
+
En esa sesión, se registraron 72 votos negativos y 8 abstenciones. Es decir que votaron 240 diputados. De esta manera, el proyecto contó con el voto afirmativo de 2 tercios de los presentes.
Todas las leyes sancionadas por el Congreso son comunicadas al Poder Ejecutivo, quien tiene la facultad de promulgarlas o vetarlas, sea de forma parcial (es decir, sólo algunos artículos) o total. Cuando esto sucede, el proyecto vuelve a la cámara de origen (en el caso de los vetos parciales, sólo la parte observada), porque el Congreso tiene la facultad de insistir con su redacción original. Esto solo puede hacerse en el año en el que fue devuelto o el siguiente.
+
Milei dictó el veto total a la ley a través de un decreto publicado en el Boletín Oficial el 2 de septiembre. El texto ingresó por la Cámara de Diputados, que había sido la cámara de origen del proyecto en su primer tratamiento. El proyecto no pasó por comisiones porque la oposición solicitó una sesión especial para tratarlo directamente en el recinto.
+
En esta instancia, no podía sufrir nuevas modificaciones, es decir que debía votarse por su insistencia tal cual había sido el texto aprobado en la sanción original. Además, para la insistencia se requiere el voto de los 2 tercios de ambas cámaras. Si todos los diputados estuvieran presentes al momento de votar, la oposición necesitaba 172 votos para insistir.
+
En la sesión de hoy, al momento de votar, estuvieron presentes 248 diputados (faltaron 9). De esta manera, se necesitaban 165 votos afirmativos para la insistencia, pero la oposición alcanzó los 153 votos, una cifra menor a la de la primera sanción. De esta forma, se mantiene el veto de Milei y el Parlamento no podrá insistir con el tema por al menos un año.
+
+
Actualización 11/09/2024: la nota fue actualizada luego de que Diputados confirmara el veto.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Fecha de publicación original:
+ 11/09/2024
+
+
Susana Frascarolli11 de septiembre de 2024 a las 5:03 pmLo unico que digo que la casta como dice el que se nombra presidente El cual no me representa no pasa necesidades porque sus sueldos son de varios millones y el pueblo comun con sueldos muy bajos sigue perdiendo poder adquiditivo Porque no se sacan los millones y lo repRten a quienes lo necesotam Adorno deja de hablsr inclherencias y con millon estas bien pago
+
Oscar Marcelo11 de septiembre de 2024 a las 6:23 pmQue asco
+
Marta11 de septiembre de 2024 a las 6:34 pmTe voté por un cambio mejor , pero siempre a los jubilados somos los que pagamos los platos rotos, de cada gobierno ., como dije antes me gusta lo que haces pero te equivocaste con los jubilados sácale los bonos y pone un sueldo que nos quedamos darnos un gusto, y déjate de aumentar a los diputados y senadores y aumentamos un poco a todos !!!!!.
+
aquiles11 de septiembre de 2024 a las 6:47 pmexcelente información
+
Dolores11 de septiembre de 2024 a las 10:23 pmSepan 'presidente y sus heroes' q sus sueldos también los pagan los jubilados. Ustedes son empleados del pueblo y no es bueno tomarse atribuciones en contra de sus empleadores!!!
+
Edgardo11 de septiembre de 2024 a las 10:54 pmTristeza e impotencia que se este avasallando la Constitución Nacional y ambas Camaras legislativas deTraidores sean funcionales al Gobierno, que los detesta, los trata de basura y los odia. No hay conciencia ni moralidad, en estos legisladores, están destruyendo un País para muchos y xonstruyendo un País para pocos.
+
Patricia Myriam Gomrz12 de septiembre de 2024 a las 11:55 amNo sé...pero cada vez siento que retrocedemos en el tiempo..triste
+
Ricardo Capello Pérez12 de septiembre de 2024 a las 8:08 pmMe gustaría leer las últimas noticias. Gracias
+
Mariano15 de septiembre de 2024 a las 6:17 pmLa verdad una vergüenza que le hagan eso a los jubilados nada menos, terrible otro fracaso más en Argentina de los gobernantes, los Kirchner un desastre, los anteriores un desastre, este gobierno pinta otro desastre, ya no se sabe a quien votar 🤦♂️
+
+
+
Valoramos mucho la opinión de nuestra comunidad de lectores y siempre estamos a favor del debate y del intercambio. Por eso es importante para nosotros generar un espacio de respeto y cuidado, por lo que por favor tené en cuenta que no
+ publicaremos comentarios con insultos, agresiones o mensajes de odio, desinformaciones que pudieran resultar peligrosas para otros, información personal, o promoción o venta de productos.
+
After the consolidation observed in the inflation path over the past few months, the BCRA has set the crawling peg at 1% per month as from February 1, 2025.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
After the consolidation observed in the inflation path over the past few months and the expectations of lower inflation, the BCRA has established a new crawling peg at 1% per month as from February 1, 2025.
+
In a context of economic activity recovery and seasonal price increase, both inflation over the past few months and high-frequency observations confirm that inflation has posted a downward trend, below the market expectations surveyed. The exchange rate adjustment continues to serve as a supplementary anchor to inflation expectations.
AQ tracks political and economic trends to watch and key indicators in 2025.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Reading Time: 2minutes
+
This article is adapted from AQ’s special report on trends to watch in Latin America in 2025
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
Argentina
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
PRESIDENT
+
+
+
+
Javier Milei
+
+
+
+
IN OFFICE
+
+
+
+
2023-2027
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
While Argentina’s economy emerged from a recession in the third quarter of 2024, the country faces renewed challenges, with midterm legislative elections on the horizon. After implementing economic “shock therapy” in his first year in office, President Javier Milei needs to find access to international funding, as capital controls may dampen the recovery, and fight against inflation. Monthly inflation followed a downward trend in 2024 and annual inflation registered 166% in November. With chronically diminished reserves, Argentina is scheduled to make a $3 billion payment in interest to the IMF and bond payments are due in January and July, close to $4.3 billion in each instance. In a geopolitical reversal, Milei was expected to visit China in January for a joint summit hosted by the Asian country and the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States (CELAC). Argentina renewed a $5 billion portion of its currency swap with China in June, and in September Milei described China as a “very interesting trade partner.” The IMF projects 5% economic growth and annual inflation of 62.7% for 2025. If sustained, Milei’s relative popularity may help secure him more support in October’s elections. An ardent Trump supporter, Milei has stated that he will seek a free trade agreement with the U.S.
+
+
+
+
+
+
Presidential approval rating
54%
Population (millions)
47.2
Homicide rate (per 100,000 people)
4.4
% who say they would like to emigrate in next three years
25%
Capacity to Combat Corruption Index ranking (out of 15 Latin American countries)
7
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
TRENDS TO WATCH
+
+
+
+
+
+
Argentina’s economic recovery
+
+
+
+
Legislative midterm elections in October
+
+
+
+
Bond and IMF payments
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
ECONOMIC INDICATORS (2025 PROJECTIONS)
+
+
+
+
+
GDP (current USD, billions)
$574.2
GDP (% change)
+5%
GDP per capita (current USD)
$12,054
Inflation
62.7%
Unemployment rate
7.6%
Poverty rate (World Bank definition, see note below)
15.6%
Fiscal balance (% of GDP)
+0.9%
FDI (2023, billions USD)
$22.9
Remittances inflows (2023, billions USD)
$1
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
NOTE: Poverty rate is $6.85 in 2017 PPP. Pie chart indicates total value added of GDP by economic activity at current prices. Figures rounded to nearest decimal.
+
+
+
+
SOURCES: Presidential approval: Universidad de San Andrés Encuesta de Satisfacción Política y Opinión Pública (November 2024); Population, GDP and growth, inflation, unemployment: IMF World Economic Outlook (October 2024); Homicide rate: Ministerio de Seguridad (2023); Emigration polling: AmericasBarometer (2023); Corruption index: AS/COA and Control Risks (2023); Trading partners: World Integrated Trade Solution (2022); GDP by economic activity: ECLAC (2023); Poverty and fiscal balance: World Bank (October 2024); FDI: UNCTAD (June 2024); Remittances: World Bank (June 2024).
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Emilie Sweigart
Reading Time: 2minutesSweigart is an editor at Americas Quarterly and a policy manager at the Americas Society/Council of the Americas
+
+
+
+
+
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/input_pack_pre_x/sources/SOCIAL_01_UCA_ODSA_Informe_Subsistencia_20241205.pdf b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/input_pack_pre_x/sources/SOCIAL_01_UCA_ODSA_Informe_Subsistencia_20241205.pdf
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..57b945a255
Binary files /dev/null and b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/input_pack_pre_x/sources/SOCIAL_01_UCA_ODSA_Informe_Subsistencia_20241205.pdf differ
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/model_output_raw/adapted_run_config.json b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/model_output_raw/adapted_run_config.json
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..a30c52601b
--- /dev/null
+++ b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/model_output_raw/adapted_run_config.json
@@ -0,0 +1,39 @@
+{
+ "run_mode": "adapted_repo_direct_llm_equivalent",
+ "case_id": "PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1",
+ "started_at": "2026-05-22T00:47:57.058871+00:00",
+ "repo_commit": "5c824b66a638b454aeb3d972315dbeb94a2425f3",
+ "model": "gemini-2.5-flash-lite",
+ "base_url": "https://generativelanguage.googleapis.com/v1beta/openai",
+ "knowledge_cutoff_claim": "2025-01",
+ "web_access": false,
+ "rag_external": false,
+ "memory_persistent": false,
+ "clear_previous_memory": true,
+ "temperature": 0.2,
+ "top_p": 0.8,
+ "seed": 20250131,
+ "num_runs": 3,
+ "platform_mode": "direct_llm_single_packet_logged",
+ "output_format": "markdown_plus_json",
+ "require_citations_to_input_ids": true,
+ "forbid_post_cutoff_facts": true,
+ "deviations_from_requested_mirofish_cli": [
+ "No `mirofish` CLI is present in this repository/PATH.",
+ "No OASIS Twitter/Reddit social simulation is executed by this adapted runner.",
+ "No Zep/Graphiti memory graph is built or queried.",
+ "All evidence is passed as one local pre-cutoff packet to an OpenAI-compatible chat completion endpoint.",
+ "This runner is an auditable fallback, not a claimed equivalent of the full interactive MiroFish UI workflow."
+ ],
+ "unsupported_or_not_used_parameters": {
+ "num_agents": "not applicable in direct LLM fallback",
+ "num_rounds": "not applicable in direct LLM fallback",
+ "social_interaction_simulation": "not executed",
+ "persistent_memory_clear": "not needed because no persistent memory used",
+ "seed_http_parameter": "omitted for Gemini OpenAI-compatible endpoint because Google rejects unknown field seed"
+ },
+ "input_packet_sha256": "5bb3455b683faa5d762c660f6928642bc384974b88d019b864346c0b18560b48",
+ "prompt_sha256": "25f80a94cb31a1aacae284c2840991957d937bf4c4d11683efd5ab4285ad7058",
+ "validation_status": "PASS",
+ "validation_errors": []
+}
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/model_output_raw/artifacts/adapted_input_packet.md b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/model_output_raw/artifacts/adapted_input_packet.md
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000..16d1d44c83
--- /dev/null
+++ b/cases/PILOT-ARG-2025-Q1/model_output_raw/artifacts/adapted_input_packet.md
@@ -0,0 +1,1764 @@
+# Local pre-cutoff input packet
+Cutoff: 2025-01-31.
+The following content is compiled only from input_pack_pre_x.
+Do not use answer_key_post_x or external knowledge.
+
+## Seed bundle
+# Seed Bundle — Argentina 2025 pre-cutoff
+
+Cutoff: 2025-01-31.
+
+## S1 — Macroeconomía
+- BBVA Research describía para 2025 un escenario de desinflación, recuperación de actividad y continuidad del ajuste fiscal, con riesgos asociados a reservas, tipo de cambio y sostenibilidad social/política de la estabilización [S1_BBVA_2024Q4].
+- El BCRA anunció el 16/01/2025 que desde el 1 de febrero de 2025 el sendero de desplazamiento del tipo de cambio oficial bajaría a 1% mensual, reforzando el ancla cambiaria dentro del esquema de estabilización [S2_BCRA_CRAWL_20250116].
+- INDEC informaba que diciembre de 2024 cerró con IPC mensual de 2,7% y una inflación interanual todavía muy elevada, lo que dejaba a 2025 con una herencia inflacionaria significativa pero una tendencia mensual menor que al inicio del programa [S3_INDEC_IPC_202412].
+
+## S2 — Política e instituciones
+- El oficialismo llegaba al año electoral con necesidad de aumentar bancas para sostener reformas, mejorar gobernabilidad y reducir dependencia de acuerdos circunstanciales en Congreso [S4_MERCOPRESS_PIIE_20250128; S6_AQ_SNAPSHOT_202501].
+- La elección legislativa de 2025 era tratada por analistas pre-corte como un test de medio término para la agenda de Milei, con interacción entre resultados económicos, negociación con el FMI y capacidad legislativa [S4_MERCOPRESS_PIIE_20250128].
+- La fragmentación opositora y la relación con gobernadores/bloques legislativos aparecían como variables claves para convertir apoyo electoral en poder institucional [S4_MERCOPRESS_PIIE_20250128; S6_AQ_SNAPSHOT_202501].
+
+## S3 — Opinión pública y tensiones sociales
+- La aprobación presidencial se mantenía competitiva pese al costo social del ajuste, pero las preocupaciones por empleo, ingresos y bienestar material seguían siendo políticamente sensibles [S5_BATIMES_POLL_202501].
+- La percepción pública podía depender menos del nivel anual acumulado de inflación heredado y más de la trayectoria mensual, recuperación de salarios reales, empleo y expectativas de estabilidad [S1_BBVA_2024Q4; S3_INDEC_IPC_202412; S5_BATIMES_POLL_202501].
+- Tensiones persistentes pre-corte: reservas netas, sostenibilidad del crawling peg, salario real, desempleo, oposición legislativa, negociación con FMI y tolerancia social al ajuste [S1_BBVA_2024Q4; S2_BCRA_CRAWL_20250116; S4_MERCOPRESS_PIIE_20250128].
+
+## S4 — Variables que el sistema debe considerar
+- Inflación
+- Salarios reales
+- Desempleo
+- Reservas BCRA
+- Crawling peg
+- Fragmentación opositora
+- Gobernabilidad legislativa
+
+
+## Source manifest
+{"source_id": "S1_BBVA_2024Q4", "title": "Argentina Economic Outlook 4Q24", "publisher": "BBVA Research", "url": "https://www.bbvaresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Argentina-Economic-Outlook-4Q24.pdf", "published_date": "2024-12", "accessed_date": "2026-05-21", "allowed_before_x": "true", "reason_used": "Pre-cutoff macro forecast: inflation, GDP, fiscal, FX/reserves.", "local_path": "input_pack_pre_x/sources/S1_BBVA_Argentina_Economic_Outlook_4Q24.pdf", "sha256": "d8d2efc188ee342187b97e3c7bc3ea344a4da8818515d1c6256543e083cef063"}
+{"source_id": "S2_BCRA_CRAWL_20250116", "title": "The BCRA sets the crawling peg at 1% per month", "publisher": "Banco Central de la República Argentina", "url": "https://www.bcra.gob.ar/en/news/el-bcra-establece-un-nuevo-sendero-de-desplazamiento-de-1-mensual-para-el-tipo-de-cambio/", "published_date": "2025-01-16", "accessed_date": "2026-05-21", "allowed_before_x": "true", "reason_used": "Pre-cutoff policy anchor: 1% monthly crawling peg from Feb 2025.", "local_path": "input_pack_pre_x/sources/S2_BCRA_crawling_peg_20250116.html", "sha256": "712810c3af42b0934e04328dcae3326fde6931bc66d284ccaf7a20d2bd5a3863"}
+{"source_id": "S3_INDEC_IPC_202412", "title": "Índice de Precios al Consumidor (IPC). Cobertura nacional. Diciembre de 2024", "publisher": "INDEC", "url": "https://www.indec.gob.ar/uploads/informesdeprensa/ipc_01_2517A7124C09.pdf", "published_date": "2025-01-14", "accessed_date": "2026-05-21", "allowed_before_x": "true", "reason_used": "Official pre-cutoff inflation baseline through Dec 2024.", "local_path": "input_pack_pre_x/sources/S3_INDEC_IPC_Dic2024.pdf", "sha256": "ea4848cd58a41fa1eab54b45ab60b75d431f54ca73e37027f2410506be8d7e67"}
+{"source_id": "S4_MERCOPRESS_PIIE_20250128", "title": "Milei's 2025 challenges: Between Argentina's mid-term elections and the IMF", "publisher": "Mercopress / PIIE syndicated analysis", "url": "https://en.mercopress.com/2025/01/28/milei-s-2025-challenges-between-argentina-s-mid-term-elections-and-the-imf", "published_date": "2025-01-28", "accessed_date": "2026-05-21", "allowed_before_x": "true", "reason_used": "Pre-cutoff political/economic analysis of midterms, IMF and governance.", "local_path": "input_pack_pre_x/sources/S4_Mercopress_Milei_2025_challenges.html", "sha256": "047df7f21e338e06e77fd0746e7330efd895c1295f44d3eb2297b8886e06cdac"}
+{"source_id": "S5_BATIMES_POLL_202501", "title": "Milei's approval rating holds as Argentines worry more about jobs", "publisher": "Buenos Aires Times", "url": "https://www.batimes.com.ar/news/argentina/mileis-approval-rating-holds-as-argentines-worry-more-about-jobs.phtml", "published_date": "2025-01-19", "accessed_date": "2026-05-21", "allowed_before_x": "true", "reason_used": "Pre-cutoff public opinion/social concerns around approval and jobs.", "local_path": "input_pack_pre_x/sources/S5_BATimes_approval_jobs_202501.html", "sha256": "9006def3c7bcfa885e1b19fc2a69c760729ce9e1e2e0205c69c23b4477b5eb05"}
+{"source_id": "S6_AQ_SNAPSHOT_202501", "title": "Argentina: A 2025 Snapshot", "publisher": "Americas Quarterly", "url": "https://www.americasquarterly.org/article/argentina-a-2025-snapshot/", "published_date": "2025-01-15", "accessed_date": "2026-05-21", "allowed_before_x": "true", "reason_used": "Pre-cutoff scenario overview integrating politics and economy.", "local_path": "input_pack_pre_x/sources/S6_AmericasQuarterly_Argentina_2025_snapshot.html", "sha256": "5c3eb8035d82d17150d0799f601fcdca19955f84f3e639cfa15e0cf1c5a7ac3c"}
+
+## Source excerpts
+
+### S1_BBVA_2024Q4 excerpt
+# Excerpt S1_BBVA_2024Q4
+
+Title: Argentina Economic Outlook 4Q24
+Publisher: BBVA Research
+Published date: 2024-12
+URL: https://www.bbvaresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Argentina-Economic-Outlook-4Q24.pdf
+Allowed before x: true
+
+```text
+Argentina economic
+outlook
+
+December 2024
+ BBVA Research / Argentina economic outlook– December 2024 2
+
+
+
+
+Main messages. International
+
+
+ Inflation has eased further, partly due to lower oil prices (despite escalating geopolitical
+ Recent tensions) and excess supply in China (despite rising stimuli), but growth and core
+ developments inflation remain resilient. The latter, together with expectations that Trump policies will
+ spur inflation and raise fiscal risk, has boosted US sovereign yields and the USD.
+
+ As the new
+
+---
+
+n the last months and consumer
+ Political
+ confidence continues to rebound, reaching its historical long-term average. Trump’s
+ environment
+ second administration should entail net positive effects for Argentina.
+
+ Fiscal performance has exceeded expectations. Based on a sharp reduction in
+ Fiscal spending, the Treasury will achieve a primary fiscal surplus of 1.7% of GDP and a
+ balance balanced financial result in 2024. We expect that the government will maintain the
+ fiscal equilibrium again in 2025.
+
+ Since the current government took office, the BCRA has not issued pesos to assist the
+ Monetary Treasury. The current monetary scheme, which freezes the monetary aggregate
+ policy known as “Broad Monetary Base”, has paved the way for a
+
+---
+
+onomic outlook– December 2024 2
+
+
+
+
+Main messages. International
+
+
+ Inflation has eased further, partly due to lower oil prices (despite escalating geopolitical
+ Recent tensions) and excess supply in China (despite rising stimuli), but growth and core
+ developments inflation remain resilient. The latter, together with expectations that Trump policies will
+ spur inflation and raise fiscal risk, has boosted US sovereign yields and the USD.
+
+ As the new US administration would raise import tariffs, mainly on China, global
+ growth is forecast to slow from 2.7% in 2024 to 2.1% in 2025 in the US, and from
+ Growth
+ 4.8% to 4.1% in China, where policy measures will provide some cushion. In the
+ outlook
+ Eurozone, protectionism will add to o
+
+---
+
+lingering relative price imbalances are digested.
+ BBVA Research / Argentina economic outlook– December 2024 4
+
+
+
+
+Key messages – Argentina
+
+
+
+ The maintenance of the crawling peg at 2% MoM throughout the year contributed to the
+ disinflation process, but slowed the build-up of reserves by the BCRA. We expect the
+ Exchange rate
+ government to gradually lift capital controls during 2025, even though a complete
+ liberalization is unlikely before October elections.
+
+ The recession ended in 2Q24 and economic activity performed better than expected
+ Economic in 3Q24, with the incoming data showing an incipient recovery of real wages. Thus,
+ activity GDP is expected to fall by 3.8% this
+
+---
+
+s tilted towards a lower inflation) as
+ lingering relative price imbalances are digested.
+ BBVA Research / Argentina economic outlook– December 2024 4
+
+
+
+
+Key messages – Argentina
+
+
+
+ The maintenance of the crawling peg at 2% MoM throughout the year contributed to the
+ disinflation process, but slowed the build-up of reserves by the BCRA. We expect the
+ Exchange rate
+ government to gradually lift capital controls during 2025, even though a complete
+ liberalization is unlikely before October elections.
+
+ The recession ended in 2Q24 and economic activity performed better than expected
+ Economic in 3Q24, with the incoming data showing an incipient recovery of real wages. Thus,
+ activity
+
+---
+
+na (despite rising stimuli), but growth and core
+ developments inflation remain resilient. The latter, together with expectations that Trump policies will
+ spur inflation and raise fiscal risk, has boosted US sovereign yields and the USD.
+
+ As the new US administration would raise import tariffs, mainly on China, global
+ growth is forecast to slow from 2.7% in 2024 to 2.1% in 2025 in the US, and from
+ Growth
+ 4.8% to 4.1% in China, where policy measures will provide some cushion. In the
+ outlook
+ Eurozone, protectionism will add to other challenges and keep growth low, 0.8% in
+ 2024 and 1.0% in 2025.
+
+ Inflation will accelerate in the US but remain subdued in the Eurozone and China,
+ Inflation and where the effects of we
+```
+
+
+### S2_BCRA_CRAWL_20250116 excerpt
+# Excerpt S2_BCRA_CRAWL_20250116
+
+Title: The BCRA sets the crawling peg at 1% per month
+Publisher: Banco Central de la República Argentina
+Published date: 2025-01-16
+URL: https://www.bcra.gob.ar/en/news/el-bcra-establece-un-nuevo-sendero-de-desplazamiento-de-1-mensual-para-el-tipo-de-cambio/
+Allowed before x: true
+
+```text
+The BCRA sets the crawling peg at 1% per month | BCRA Home » Noticias Sections About the BCRA Monetary policy Financial System Reports Statistics and indicators Financial Knowledge and Tools Banknotes, coins and other means of payment News Services and procedures ES Español Home » Noticias The BCRA sets the crawling peg at 1% per month Thursday, January 16, 2025 After the consolidation observed in the inflation path over the past few months, the BCRA has set the crawling peg at 1
+
+---
+
+Home » Noticias Sections About the BCRA Monetary policy Financial System Reports Statistics and indicators Financial Knowledge and Tools Banknotes, coins and other means of payment News Services and procedures ES Español Home » Noticias The BCRA sets the crawling peg at 1% per month Thursday, January 16, 2025 After the consolidation observed in the inflation path over the past few months, the BCRA has set the crawling peg at 1% per month as from February 1, 2025. After the consolidation observed in the inflation path over the past few months and the expectations of lower inflation, the BCRA has established a new crawling peg at 1% per month as from February 1, 2025. In a context of economic activity recovery and seasonal price increase, both inflation over the past few months and high-frequency observations confirm that inflation has posted a downward trend, below the market expectations
+
+---
+
+5. After the consolidation observed in the inflation path over the past few months and the expectations of lower inflation, the BCRA has established a new crawling peg at 1% per month as from February 1, 2025. In a context of economic activity recovery and seasonal price increase, both inflation over the past few months and high-frequency observations confirm that inflation has posted a downward trend, below the market expectations surveyed. The exchange rate adjustment continues to serve as a supplementary anchor to inflation expectations. Share on Central Bank of Argentina The Central Bank of Argentina is the authority in charge of monetary stability and banking regulation and does not offer banking or financial services to the general public. Reconquista 266 C1003ABF CABA Argentina +54 11 4348-3500 Follow Follow Follow Follow Follow Aviso legal Idiomas y traducciones Contacto Museo Po
+
+---
+
+The BCRA sets the crawling peg at 1% per month | BCRA Home » Noticias Sections About the BCRA Monetary policy Financial System Reports Statistics and indicators Financial Knowledge and Tools Banknotes, coins and other means of payment News Services and procedures ES Español Home » Noticias The BCRA sets the crawling peg at 1% per month Thursday, January 16, 2025 After the consolidation observed in the inflation path over the past few months, the BCRA has set the crawling peg at 1% per month as from February 1, 2025. After the consolidation observed in the inflation path over the past few months and the expectations of lower inflation, the BCRA has established a new crawling peg at 1% per month as from February 1, 2025. In a context of economic activity recovery and seasonal price increase, both inflation over the past few months and high-frequ
+```
+
+
+### S3_INDEC_IPC_202412 excerpt
+# Excerpt S3_INDEC_IPC_202412
+
+Title: Índice de Precios al Consumidor (IPC). Cobertura nacional. Diciembre de 2024
+Publisher: INDEC
+Published date: 2025-01-14
+URL: https://www.indec.gob.ar/uploads/informesdeprensa/ipc_01_2517A7124C09.pdf
+Allowed before x: true
+
+```text
+GENERAL
+
+
+
+ % Menor variación porcentual Mayor variación porcentual
+ Fuente: INDEC, Dirección Nacional de Estadísticas de Precios. Dirección de Índices de Precios de Consumo.
+
+
+
+
+ El nivel general del Índice de precios al consumidor registró un alza mensual de 2,7% en diciembre de 2024, y acumuló en
+ el año una variación de 117,8%.
+
+
+
+
+ Destacados del mes
+ La división de mayor aumento en el mes fue Vivienda, agua, electricidad, gas y otros combustibles (5,3%), por los
+ incrementos en Alquiler de la vivienda y gastos conexos y Electricidad, gas y otros combustibles. Le siguió la
+
+---
+
+Menor variación porcentual Mayor variación porcentual
+ Fuente: INDEC, Dirección Nacional de Estadísticas de Precios. Dirección de Índices de Precios de Consumo.
+
+
+
+
+ El nivel general del Índice de precios al consumidor registró un alza mensual de 2,7% en diciembre de 2024, y acumuló en
+ el año una variación de 117,8%.
+
+
+
+
+ Destacados del mes
+ La división de mayor aumento en el mes fue Vivienda, agua, electricidad, gas y otros combustibles (5,3%), por los
+ incrementos en Alquiler de la vivienda y gastos conexos y Electricidad, gas y otros combustibles. Le siguió la división
+ Comunicación (5,0%), por las subas en Servicios de tele
+
+---
+
+Informes técnicos / Vol. 9, n° 7 ISSN 2545-6636
+
+
+
+
+Índices de precios
+Vol. 9, n° 1
+
+
+
+Índice de precios al consumidor (IPC)
+Diciembre de 2024
+Informes técnicos. Vol. 9, nº 7 Índice Pág.
+ISSN 2545-6636
+Índices de precios. Vol. 9, nº 1
+ Resumen ejecutivo....................................................................................
+
+---
+
+ariaciones de diciembre con respecto al mismo mes de 2023,
+ según bienes y servicios. Total nacional y regiones................................................ .6
+Este informe técnico fue producido por los equipos de trabajo de:
+ Cuadro 5. Incidencia de las divisiones en las variaciones del nivel general
+Dirección Nacional de Estadísticas de Precios
+ del IPC, según regiones. Resultados con respecto al mes anterior. ........................ .6
+Mariano Poledo
+Dirección de Índices de Precios de Consumo Cuadro 6. Incidencia acumulada de las divisiones en las variaciones del
+Georgina Giglio
+```
+
+
+### S4_MERCOPRESS_PIIE_20250128 excerpt
+# Excerpt S4_MERCOPRESS_PIIE_20250128
+
+Title: Milei's 2025 challenges: Between Argentina's mid-term elections and the IMF
+Publisher: Mercopress / PIIE syndicated analysis
+Published date: 2025-01-28
+URL: https://en.mercopress.com/2025/01/28/milei-s-2025-challenges-between-argentina-s-mid-term-elections-and-the-imf
+Allowed before x: true
+
+```text
+Milei’s 2025 challenges: Between Argentina's mid-term elections and the IMF — MercoPress Current Edition Topics Agriculture Economy Energy & Oil Entertainment Environment Fisheries Health & Science Investments Politics Real Estate Tourism Regions Antarctica Argentina Brazil Chile Falkland Islands International Latin America Mercosur Pacific Alliance Paraguay Unasur United States Uruguay Venezuela News Archive MercoPress, en Español Search Login Search Get our news on your inbox! Suscribe x
+
+---
+
+Milei’s 2025 challenges: Between Argentina's mid-term elections and the IMF — MercoPress Current Edition Topics Agriculture Economy Energy & Oil Entertainment Environment Fisheries Health & Science Investments Politics Real Estate Tourism Regions Antarctica Argentina Brazil Chile Falkland Islands International Latin America Mercosur Pacific Alliance Paraguay Unasur United States Uruguay Venezuela News Archive MercoPress, en Español Search Login Search Get our news on your inbox! Suscribe x Oops! Wrong login informati
+
+---
+
+nd Argentina. After just one year in office, Milei has achieved significant milestones: eliminating the fiscal deficit, bringing inflation to moderate levels, reducing the gap between the official and the parallel exchange rate (a free but illiquid market), and implementing the most ambitious liberalization and deregulation program Argentina has seen this century. These accomplishments are even more striking given his outsider status and limited congressional representation. Milei’s approval ratings have held steady at around 50 percent, notwithstanding an economy contracting at an expected rate of approximately 3.5 percent (with a nonagricultural GDP contraction larger than 5 percent) and poverty surpassing 50 percent at one point during the year. As 2025 begins, Milei's administration faces two pivotal challenges that will determine the sustainability of his stabilization program. The
+
+---
+
+ilei’s approval ratings have held steady at around 50 percent, notwithstanding an economy contracting at an expected rate of approximately 3.5 percent (with a nonagricultural GDP contraction larger than 5 percent) and poverty surpassing 50 percent at one point during the year. As 2025 begins, Milei's administration faces two pivotal challenges that will determine the sustainability of his stabilization program. The upcoming mid-term elections in October will be a test of his political strength, so the first challenge is securing a strong performance in these elections. With half of the seats in the lower house of Argentina’s Congress and a third of the Senate up for renewal, the stakes are high. Currently, Milei's political party, La Libertad Avanza, has minimal representation in Congress. A favorable mid-term outcome, buoyed by Milei's consistent approval ratings, could cement his party
+
+---
+
+r the continuation of Milei’s economic reforms should he be reelected. The second challenge lies in addressing the overvaluation of the Argentine peso. Over the past year, inflation was 117 percent, yet the peso depreciated by less than 30 percent, leaving it at one of its strongest levels in decades. This overvaluation poses a significant risk to Milei's exchange rate-based stabilization program, especially given the central bank’s negative net reserves and the slow accumulation of international reserves. The authorities question this assessment arguing that the government’s structural reforms and an improving energy balance justify a stronger equilibrium real exchange rate. Latin America’s history with exchange rate-based stabilizations is filled with similar stories of early disinflation victories coupled with overvalued exchange rates and the build-up of external disequilibria and fi
+```
+
+
+### S5_BATIMES_POLL_202501 excerpt
+# Excerpt S5_BATIMES_POLL_202501
+
+Title: Milei's approval rating holds as Argentines worry more about jobs
+Publisher: Buenos Aires Times
+Published date: 2025-01-19
+URL: https://www.batimes.com.ar/news/argentina/mileis-approval-rating-holds-as-argentines-worry-more-about-jobs.phtml
+Allowed before x: true
+
+```text
+Milei's approval rating holds as Argentines worry more about jobs | Buenos Aires Times Thursday, May 21, 2026 Argentina Economy Latin America World Culture Sports Opinion ARGENTINA | 08-07-2025 15:39 Milei's approval rating holds as Argentines worry more about jobs Milei’s approval rating and positive image remains well above domestic peers even as Argentines became increasingly worried about the job market. James Grainger Editor-in-Chief, Buenos Aires T
+
+---
+
+Milei's approval rating holds as Argentines worry more about jobs | Buenos Aires Times Thursday, May 21, 2026 Argentina Economy Latin America World Culture Sports Opinion ARGENTINA | 08-07-2025 15:39 Milei's approval rating holds as Argentines worry more about jobs Milei’s approval rating and positive image remains well above domestic peers even as Argentines became increasingly worried about the job market. James Grainger Editor-in-Chief, Buenos Aires Times. Share this News President Javier Milei. | Aless
+
+---
+
+statistics. Meanwhile, the government has cut more than 50,000 state jobs. Read more... Economic activity rebounds: March data shows 3.5% jump Informal jobs in Argentina, which tend to have lower salaries and fewer benefits, rose by 224,000 in the first quarter from a year ago, the INDEC national statistics bureau reported. Despite economic growth projected to top five percent this year, the job cuts have translated into weaker wage growth: From January to April, private sector salaries rose 9.6 percent compared to 11.6 percent inflation over that time, according to INDEC data. Last year, those wages soared 148 percent, galloping past 118 percent annual inflation. by Patrick Gillespie, Bloomberg In this news personalities: Javier Milei topics: Argentina Polling Economy Milei Atlastintel Survey Jobs Employment Comments More in (in spanish) Pelea de periodistas: Tenembaum contra Fantino po
+
+---
+
+s Milei’s approval rating and positive image remains well above domestic peers even as Argentines became increasingly worried about the job market. James Grainger Editor-in-Chief, Buenos Aires Times. Share this News President Javier Milei. | Alessia Pierdomenico/Bloomberg President Javier Milei’s approval rating and positive image remained well above domestic peers in June even as Argentines became increasingly worried about the job market after unemployment rose earlier this year. Milei’s approval and disapproval ratings both stood at 44 percent last month while nearly 12 percent of respondents were unsure about the libertarian leader, according to LatAm Pulse, a monthly poll conducted by AtlasIntel for Bloomberg News. With tumbling inflation amid a stable currency, Milei also maintained the highest positive image of all major Argentine political leaders at 47 percent. The encouraging p
+
+---
+
+Milei's approval rating holds as Argentines worry more about jobs | Buenos Aires Times Thursday, May 21, 2026 Argentina Economy Latin America World Culture Sports Opinion ARGENTINA | 08-07-2025 15:39 Milei's approval rating holds as Argentines worry more about jobs Milei’s approval rating and positive image remains well above domestic peers even as Argentines became increasingly worried about the job market. James Grainger Editor-in-Chief, Buenos Aires Times. Share this News President Javi
+```
+
+
+### S6_AQ_SNAPSHOT_202501 excerpt
+# Excerpt S6_AQ_SNAPSHOT_202501
+
+Title: Argentina: A 2025 Snapshot
+Publisher: Americas Quarterly
+Published date: 2025-01-15
+URL: https://www.americasquarterly.org/article/argentina-a-2025-snapshot/
+Allowed before x: true
+
+```text
+Argentina: A 2025 Snapshot Skip to content Politics, Business & Culture in the Americas SUBSCRIBE Subscribe DONATE Subscribe DONATE Menu Magazine New Issue PDF Past Issues The Trump Doctrine China and Latin America COP30 Arévalo’s Guatemala Navigating Trump Latin America’s Food Security Paradox What the U.S. Election Means for Latin America Latin America’s Ports Elections Super Cycle Countries Argentina Bolivia Brazil Chile Colombia Ecuador Guatemala Mexico P
+
+---
+
+Reaction Stories Long View Q&A AI Photo Essay Corruption Index Events Podcast Culture About Editorial Team Editorial Board Masthead Advertise 2025 Trends to Watch Argentina: A 2025 Snapshot By Emilie Sweigart | January 14, 2025 AQ tracks political and economic trends to watch and key indicators in 2025. Reading Time: 2 minutes This article is adapted from AQ’ s special report on trends to watch in Latin America in 2025 Argentina PRESIDENT Javier Milei IN OFFICE 2023-2027 While Argentina’s economy emerged from a recession in the third quarter of 2024, the country faces renewed challenges, with midterm legislative elections on the horizon. After implementing economic “shock therapy” in his first year in office, President Javier Milei needs to find access to international funding, as capital controls may dampen the recovery, and fight against inflation. Monthly inflation followed a downward
+
+---
+
+atin America in 2025 Argentina PRESIDENT Javier Milei IN OFFICE 2023-2027 While Argentina’s economy emerged from a recession in the third quarter of 2024, the country faces renewed challenges, with midterm legislative elections on the horizon. After implementing economic “shock therapy” in his first year in office, President Javier Milei needs to find access to international funding, as capital controls may dampen the recovery, and fight against inflation. Monthly inflation followed a downward trend in 2024 and annual inflation registered 166% in November. With chronically diminished reserves, Argentina is scheduled to make a $3 billion payment in interest to the IMF and bond payments are due in January and July, close to $4.3 billion in each instance. In a geopolitical reversal, Milei was expected to visit China in January for a joint summit hosted by the Asian country and the Community
+
+---
+
+nds to Watch Argentina: A 2025 Snapshot By Emilie Sweigart | January 14, 2025 AQ tracks political and economic trends to watch and key indicators in 2025. Reading Time: 2 minutes This article is adapted from AQ’ s special report on trends to watch in Latin America in 2025 Argentina PRESIDENT Javier Milei IN OFFICE 2023-2027 While Argentina’s economy emerged from a recession in the third quarter of 2024, the country faces renewed challenges, with midterm legislative elections on the horizon. After implementing economic “shock therapy” in his first year in office, President Javier Milei needs to find access to international funding, as capital controls may dampen the recovery, and fight against inflation. Monthly inflation followed a downward trend in 2024 and annual inflation registered 166% in November. With chronically diminished reserves, Argentina is scheduled to make a $3 billion pay
+```
+
+
+## Original local sources, extracted/truncated
+
+### S1_BBVA_2024Q4 — Argentina Economic Outlook 4Q24
+Local path: input_pack_pre_x/sources/S1_BBVA_Argentina_Economic_Outlook_4Q24.pdf
+
+Argentina economic
+outlook
+
+December 2024
+ BBVA Research / Argentina economic outlook– December 2024 2
+
+
+
+
+Main messages. International
+
+
+ Inflation has eased further, partly due to lower oil prices (despite escalating geopolitical
+ Recent tensions) and excess supply in China (despite rising stimuli), but growth and core
+ developments inflation remain resilient. The latter, together with expectations that Trump policies will
+ spur inflation and raise fiscal risk, has boosted US sovereign yields and the USD.
+
+ As the new US administration would raise import tariffs, mainly on China, global
+ growth is forecast to slow from 2.7% in 2024 to 2.1% in 2025 in the US, and from
+ Growth
+ 4.8% to 4.1% in China, where policy measures will provide some cushion. In the
+ outlook
+ Eurozone, protectionism will add to other challenges and keep growth low, 0.8% in
+ 2024 and 1.0% in 2025.
+
+ Inflation will accelerate in the US but remain subdued in the Eurozone and China,
+ Inflation and where the effects of weaker demand and lower oil prices will prevail. There will be less
+ rates outlook room for monetary easing in the US (with rates forecast at 4.0% by end-2025 and
+ 3.0% by end-2026) but greater scope for lower rates in the Eurozone and in China.
+
+ The balance of risks for the global economy has deteriorated. Uncertainty is large, but
+ trade and migration policies by the new Trump government, and escalating
+ Risks
+ geopolitical tensions, may create negative supply shocks. More expansionary fiscal
+ policies may add to the ongoing upward pressures on inflation and interest rates.
+ BBVA Research / Argentina economic outlook– December 2024 3
+
+
+
+
+Key messages – Argentina
+
+
+
+ The government has recovered public support in the last months and consumer
+ Political
+ confidence continues to rebound, reaching its historical long-term average. Trump’s
+ environment
+ second administration should entail net positive effects for Argentina.
+
+ Fiscal performance has exceeded expectations. Based on a sharp reduction in
+ Fiscal spending, the Treasury will achieve a primary fiscal surplus of 1.7% of GDP and a
+ balance balanced financial result in 2024. We expect that the government will maintain the
+ fiscal equilibrium again in 2025.
+
+ Since the current government took office, the BCRA has not issued pesos to assist the
+ Monetary Treasury. The current monetary scheme, which freezes the monetary aggregate
+ policy known as “Broad Monetary Base”, has paved the way for an incipient process of
+ remonetization of the economy through genuine increase of demand for pesos.
+
+ In October, prices continued to slow down (below the 3% MoM threshold), with
+ different dynamics between goods and services. We forecast inflation to reach 120%
+ Inflation
+ this year and 35% in 2025 (with the balance of risks tilted towards a lower inflation) as
+ lingering relative price imbalances are digested.
+ BBVA Research / Argentina economic outlook– December 2024 4
+
+
+
+
+Key messages – Argentina
+
+
+
+ The maintenance of the crawling peg at 2% MoM throughout the year contributed to the
+ disinflation process, but slowed the build-up of reserves by the BCRA. We expect the
+ Exchange rate
+ government to gradually lift capital controls during 2025, even though a complete
+ liberalization is unlikely before October elections.
+
+ The recession ended in 2Q24 and economic activity performed better than expected
+ Economic in 3Q24, with the incoming data showing an incipient recovery of real wages. Thus,
+ activity GDP is expected to fall by 3.8% this year and grow to 5.5% in 2025, driven by private
+ consumption and investment.
+ The recovery of agricultural exports and the rising surplus in the energy sector are the
+ External main drivers explaining the trade surplus of USD 17.6 bn expected for 2024. For
+ sector 2025, we forecast a lower trade surplus of USD 14.2 bn, due to the increase of
+ imports in a context of economic recovery and trade liberalization.
+ The main potential risks are: a loss of public support that could complicate the
+ continuity of fiscal-monetary equilibrium and an increase in FX rate tensions caused
+ Risks
+ by the delay in lifting capital controls. Nevertheless, both scenarios seem unlikely in
+ the near future.
+01
+Global Economic Outlook
+4Q24
+ BBVA Research / Argentina economic outlook– December 2024 6
+
+
+
+
+Recent supply improvements have allowed further declines in headline
+inflation and supported growth ahead of a new Trump government in the US
+ Previous
+ + equilibrium
+
+
+
+
+ Current
+ equilibrium
+ GDP GROWTH
+- +
+
+
+
+
+ Supply improvements Solid demand
+ lower commodity prices, excess supply in monetary easing, slow fiscal consolidation,
+
+
+ INFLATION
+ China, higher labor supply, productivity lower inflation, extra stimulus in China,
+ gains in the US dynamic labor markets
+
+ -
+ BBVA Research / Argentina economic outlook– December 2024 7
+
+
+
+
+What to expect from a new Trump government in the US?
+
+
+
+ BBVA Research base scenario
+ Higher import tariffs: Low taxes: Uncertainty on various fronts:
+ 60% US tariffs on China, 10% US tax cuts remain in place extra shocks (on immigration,
+ tariffs on all other countries; retaliation (i.e the 2017 Tax Cut and Job deregulation, pro-oil agenda, Fed’s
+ by China (60% tariffs on targeted US Act is renewed). autonomy, foreign policy...) are
+ goods), but not by others possible, but are not assumed.
+
+
+ Overall impact will depend on cyclical position (better in the US) and margin for response
+ (higher in China and in the US)
+ US CHINA EUROZONE
+ GDP Slightly lower Slightly lower Much lower (no recession)
+ INFLATION Higher (one-off impact) Much lower Lower
+ RATES Higher Lower Lower
+ CURRENCY USD: stronger RMB: weaker EUR: weaker
+ BBVA Research / Argentina economic outlook– December 2024 8
+
+
+
+
+Base scenario: protectionism will fuel uncertainty, pressure global growth
+downwards and inflation upwards, with important differences across
+countries
+ +
+
+
+
+
+ Base scenario Current
+ equilibrium
+ GDP GROWTH
+- +
+
+
+
+ Negative supply shock Demand moderation
+ 60% US tariffs on China (with retaliation) and 10% on rising uncertainty and still tight monetary policy,
+
+
+ INFLATION
+ US tariffs on other countries (with no retaliation) despite new stimulus in China, low US taxes and
+ slow fiscal consolidation in EZ
+
+ -
+ BBVA Research / Argentina economic outlook– December 2024 9
+
+
+
+
+Slower growth ahead, despite both stronger GDP expansion in 2024 and likely
+measures to mitigate the impact of higher trade tariffs (mainly in China)
+GDP GROWTH (*)
+(%, CHANGE WITH RESPECT TO PREVIOUS FORECAST IN PARENTHESES)
+
+
+
+ Fiscal policy and demand resiliency Tariffs add to structural/cyclical challenges; Policy stimuli and a weaker currency
+ help to offset the impact of trade tariffs limited room for counter-cyclical policies will cushion the impact of US tariffs
+
+
+
+
+(*) Global GDP growth: 3.2% (+0.1pp) in 2024, 3.1% (-0.2pp) in 2025 and 3.3% (+0.1pp) in 2026.
+(f): forecast.
+Source: BBVA Research.
+ BBVA Research / Argentina economic outlook– December 2024 10
+
+
+
+
+Trump policies will pressure inflation, mainly in the US; in other regions, it
+will likely ease due to weaker growth, lower oil prices and excess supply in
+China
+HEADLINE CPI INFLATION
+(Y/Y %, END OF PERIOD, CHANGE WITH RESPECT TO PREVIOUS FORECAST IN PARENTHESES)
+
+
+
+ Inflation will be higher than expected Inflation is forecast to be slightly Demand weakness will pave the way
+ and remain well above the 2% target below the 2% target for very low inflation levels
+
+
+
+
+(f): forecast.
+Source: BBVA Research.
+ BBVA Research / Argentina economic outlook– December 2024 11
+
+
+
+
+The Fed will have less room to ease monetary conditions, while more rate
+cuts than previously forecast are likely in the EZ and in China
+POLICY INTEREST RATES (*)
+(%, END OF PERIOD, CHANGE WITH RESPECT TO PREVIOUS FORECAST IN PARENTHESES)
+
+
+
+ Rates will remain at more restrictive Monetary conditions will become Rates will be at low levels, adding to
+ levels for longer slightly expansive ahead fiscal stimuli and supporting growth
+
+
+
+
+(f): forecast.
+(*) In the case of the Eurozone, interest rates of the deposit facility.
+Source: BBVA Research.
+ BBVA Research / Argentina economic outlook– December 2024 12
+
+
+
+
+Risks: policies by the new US administration, and geopolitical events, may
+lead to more negative global macro scenarios
+ Risk 2: strong demand
+ (more likely than in 3Q24)
+ Risk 1: negative supply shocks fiscal policy (US tax cuts, China stimulus), monetary
+ + easing (political pressures on the Fed), service strength
+ (much more likely than in 3Q24)
+ US trade/migration policies,
+ conflicts, weather shocks
+ Base
+ scenario
+
+ Current GDP GROWTH
+- +
+ equilibrium
+
+
+
+
+ Risk 4: positive supply shocks
+ Risk 3: hard-landing (more likely than in 3Q24)
+
+
+ INFLATION
+ (broadly as likely as in 3Q24) lower oil prices (pro-oil US policies), productivity
+ raising uncertainty, structural challenges in Europe gains (pro-business US policies, AI)
+ and China, still tight monetary policy
+ -
+02
+Argentina Economic
+Outlook –
+December 2024
+ BBVA Research / Argentina economic outlook– December 2024 14
+
+
+
+
+What could Trump’s second administration mean for Argentina?
+
+ Economic IMF and the
+ activity Inflation
+ external sector
+Political alignment with the USA, including Trump may accelerate an IMF deal that Although local inflation will continue to fall due to
+its more subdued interest in climate change, includes fresh funding (and probably a the fiscal anchor and monetary tightening, lower
+could accelerate investment flows to sectors gradual liberalization of capital controls). exchange rate tensions (caused by the "strategic
+such as energy and mining, which will be This would help lower country risk, support alliance") will lead to lower depreciation
+key players in the economic recovery over the Treasury in once again placing debt on expectations and thus lower inflation expectations.
+the coming years. the global market, and increase capital
+ inflows. These improvements would be
+ partially offset by lower commodity prices
+ and a stronger dollar.
+
+
+
+ Interest rates Medium and
+ Fiscal
+ long term
+Domestic rates will be adjusted upward A higher Fed interest rate scenario would Negative impact: similar to effect expected for
+endogenously (in real terms) due to the generate higher interest debt payments, other emerging economies. Higher inflation
+regularization of the monetary imbalance. The which would in turn imply the need of larger expected for the USA due to fiscal expansion will
+impact of further Fed easing (higher rates) will primary spending cuts to safeguard fiscal prompt the Fed to hike interest rates, thus
+be felt on public and private debt issuance in equilibrium. strengthening the dollar, pushing up borrowing
+the international markets. costs, deepening the depreciation of regional
+ currencies and exerting more pressure on foreign
+ trade due to cheaper commodities.
+ BBVA Research / Argentina economic outlook– December 2024 15
+
+
+
+
+Government approval and consumer confidence significantly improved in the
+past two months
+
+CONFIDENCE INDICATORS An incipient decline in public support to the
+(BASE 100 = HISTORICAL AVERAGE)
+ government took place since July, but this fall
+ was ultimately reversed in October and
+ November. Both Consumer Confidence and
+ “Trust in Government” significantly increased
+ in the past two months.
+ Excluding the exceptional situation in Oct-Nov
+ 2023, when consumption spiked as a
+ “defense” against inflation and political
+ uncertainty, consumer confidence is back to
+ levels not seen since January 2018.
+ With the sharp drop in inflation, this variable is
+ no longer one of the main concern affecting
+ society, now unemployment has become a
+ new priority for the people.
+
+Source: UTDT and BBVA Research.
+ BBVA Research / Argentina economic outlook– December 2024 16
+
+
+
+
+The government will end its first year in office with fiscal equilibrium, thanks
+to heavy cuts in public spending…
+PRIMARY AND TOTAL FISCAL BALANCE CUMULATIVE CUT IN PUBLIC SPENDING, JAN-OCT
+(% OF GDP, YEAR-TO-DATE 2024) 2024 (CHG. % ACTUAL AND INCIDENTS, YOY)
+
+
+
+
+Source: INDEC, Ministry of Economy and BBVA Research. Source: INDEC, Ministry of Economy and BBVA Research.
+
+
+ Through October, the government had accumulated a primary surplus of 1.8% of GDP and a total surplus of 0.5% of GDP, a
+ 180º turnaround from the trend in recent years. It will head into December with enough savings to cope with a month
+ characterized by seasonally high spending.
+
+
+[TRUNCATED at 20000 chars from extracted PDF]
+
+### S2_BCRA_CRAWL_20250116 — The BCRA sets the crawling peg at 1% per month
+Local path: input_pack_pre_x/sources/S2_BCRA_crawling_peg_20250116.html
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+The BCRA sets the crawling peg at 1% per month | BCRA
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
Comments
+ +